Sees FY26 Core AFFO at $7.32-$7.68
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1d ago
0mins
Should l Buy MAA?
Sees FY26 core AFFO $7.32-$7.68. Sees FY26 same store portfolio property revenue growth of (0.20%)-1.30%.
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Analyst Views on MAA
Wall Street analysts forecast MAA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MAA is 147.24 USD with a low forecast of 132.11 USD and a high forecast of 167.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
18 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 135.050
Low
132.11
Averages
147.24
High
167.00
Current: 135.050
Low
132.11
Averages
147.24
High
167.00
About MAA
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. is a multifamily-focused, self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. The Company owns, operates, acquires and selectively develops apartment communities primarily located in the Southeast, Southwest and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. Its segments include Same Store and Non-Same Store and Other. The Same Store segment represents those apartment communities that have been owned and stabilized for at least 12 months as of the first day of the calendar year. The Non-Same Store and Other segment includes recently acquired communities, communities being developed or on lease-up, communities that have been disposed of or identified for disposition and others. The Non-Same Store and Other segment also includes non-multifamily activities and expenses related to severe weather events. It has ownership interest in apartment units, including communities in development, across 16 states and the District of Columbia.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Mid-America Apartment Communities Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Core Earnings Performance: Mid-America Apartment Communities reported a core FFO of $2.23 per diluted share for Q4 2025, meeting expectations, with a full-year core FFO of $8.74, demonstrating resilience and stability amid elevated supply levels.
- Rental Growth Outlook: Management projects core FFO for 2026 to range between $8.35 and $8.71 per share, with blended rental pricing expected between 1% and 1.5%, reflecting confidence in future market conditions and a positive outlook for rental recovery.
- Development Pipeline Expansion: The acquisition of a shovel-ready project in Scottsdale, Arizona, brings the active development pipeline to $932 million, aiming for stabilized NOI yields between 6% and 6.5%, enhancing the company's long-term growth potential.
- Increased Capital Investment: Management plans to increase capital investment by over 10% in repositioning and redevelopment projects for 2026, indicating a sustained commitment to technology and infrastructure improvements to enhance operational efficiency and market competitiveness.
See More
Mid-America REIT Offers Reliable Dividend Growth
- Dividend Yield Advantage: Mid-America Apartment Communities currently offers a dividend of $6.08 per share, translating to a yield of 4.59%, making it an attractive option for investors seeking stable returns in the REIT sector.
- Stable Financial Performance: Despite a decline in cash flow over the past 12 months, the company maintains a positive cash position, and its latest quarterly revenue shows a slight year-over-year growth of 0.6%, indicating resilience and ongoing dividend capability.
- Regional Growth Potential: Operating primarily in the fast-growing southern U.S., Mid-America benefits from significant population increases in states like South Carolina (1.5%), North Carolina (1.3%), and Texas (1.2%), which bolsters future rental income prospects.
- Shareholder Return Expectations: The company projects a 6.3% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for funds from operations (FFO) per share over the next five years, with expected shareholder returns of 5.1%, significantly higher than the peer average, highlighting strong long-term investment value.
See More
Mid-America Apartment Communities Executive Buys Shares
- Insider Buying Signal: Adrian Hill, the Chief Investment Officer of Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA), purchased 758 shares at $131.83 each on December 12, totaling $99,927.14, indicating confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Current Price Advantage: Investors can buy MAA shares at $129.60, which is 1.7% lower than Hill's purchase price, providing a relatively cheaper entry point for potential investors.
- Dividend Yield Analysis: Since the purchase, Hill has collected $1.53 per share in dividends, resulting in a 0.5% decline in total return; however, the company's strong dividend history and profitability continue to attract value investors' interest.
- Valuation and Profitability: The DividendRank report highlights MAA's attractive valuation and strong profitability metrics, with an annualized dividend of $6.12 per share, indicating the company's potential for long-term growth and shareholder returns.
See More
MAA Reports 2025 Financial Results and 2026 Outlook
- Financial Performance Overview: MAA reported a diluted earnings per share of $0.48 for Q4 2025, a 66.9% decline from Q4 2024, with an annual EPS of $3.78, indicating the impact of economic uncertainty on profitability.
- Operational Data Analysis: Same-store revenues decreased by 0.1% in 2025, while expenses rose by 0.7%, leading to a 0.5% decline in net operating income (NOI), reflecting ongoing competitive pressures and rental rate challenges.
- Acquisition and Development Dynamics: MAA acquired land parcels in Kansas City and Phoenix in October 2025, planning to develop multifamily apartments, which is expected to support future revenue growth, particularly in high-demand regions.
- Sustainability Progress: As of December 31, 2025, MAA achieved a 29% reduction in energy use intensity and a 44% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions intensity, demonstrating the company's commitment and effectiveness in sustainability initiatives.
See More
Mid-America Apartment Communities Set to Release Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 4th after market close, with market participants keenly awaiting its financial performance.
- FFO and Revenue Estimates: Analysts have consensus estimates of $2.22 for FFO per share and $556.79 million in revenue, indicating strong market confidence in MAA's stable cash flow generation.
- Credit Profile Analysis: MAA demonstrates a robust credit profile, and while investment opportunities may be selective, its performance amid the 'Sunbelt recovery' is noteworthy, especially in the current high-yield environment.
- Historical Financial Data Review: Historical earnings data indicates that MAA has shown stability in past performances, prompting investors to carefully assess the fair value of its common stock against the risks associated with its preferred shares.
See More
MAA Announces Taxable Composition of 2025 Distributions, No Return of Capital Expected
- Dividend Distribution Overview: MAA announced a cash distribution of $1.515 per share for 2025, with all distributions classified as ordinary taxable distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Preferred Stock Distribution Details: The 8.5% Series I Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock will have a cash distribution of $1.0625 per share, reflecting the company's attractiveness to preferred shareholders and enhancing the stability of its capital structure.
- Tax Compliance Statement: The company confirmed that there will be no return of capital in its 2025 distributions and that no foreign taxes were incurred, ensuring transparency and ease for shareholders in their tax treatment.
- Future Outlook: MAA expects no material changes in the taxable composition of its 2025 distributions based on preliminary tax filing work, demonstrating confidence in the company's future financial stability.
See More
Mid-America Apartment Communities Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Core Earnings Performance: Mid-America Apartment Communities reported a core FFO of $2.23 per diluted share for Q4 2025, meeting expectations, with a full-year core FFO of $8.74, demonstrating resilience and stability amid elevated supply levels.
- Rental Growth Outlook: Management projects core FFO for 2026 to range between $8.35 and $8.71 per share, with blended rental pricing expected between 1% and 1.5%, reflecting confidence in future market conditions and a positive outlook for rental recovery.
- Development Pipeline Expansion: The acquisition of a shovel-ready project in Scottsdale, Arizona, brings the active development pipeline to $932 million, aiming for stabilized NOI yields between 6% and 6.5%, enhancing the company's long-term growth potential.
- Increased Capital Investment: Management plans to increase capital investment by over 10% in repositioning and redevelopment projects for 2026, indicating a sustained commitment to technology and infrastructure improvements to enhance operational efficiency and market competitiveness.
See More
Mid-America REIT Offers Reliable Dividend Growth
- Dividend Yield Advantage: Mid-America Apartment Communities currently offers a dividend of $6.08 per share, translating to a yield of 4.59%, making it an attractive option for investors seeking stable returns in the REIT sector.
- Stable Financial Performance: Despite a decline in cash flow over the past 12 months, the company maintains a positive cash position, and its latest quarterly revenue shows a slight year-over-year growth of 0.6%, indicating resilience and ongoing dividend capability.
- Regional Growth Potential: Operating primarily in the fast-growing southern U.S., Mid-America benefits from significant population increases in states like South Carolina (1.5%), North Carolina (1.3%), and Texas (1.2%), which bolsters future rental income prospects.
- Shareholder Return Expectations: The company projects a 6.3% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for funds from operations (FFO) per share over the next five years, with expected shareholder returns of 5.1%, significantly higher than the peer average, highlighting strong long-term investment value.
See More
Mid-America Apartment Communities Executive Buys Shares
- Insider Buying Signal: Adrian Hill, the Chief Investment Officer of Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA), purchased 758 shares at $131.83 each on December 12, totaling $99,927.14, indicating confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Current Price Advantage: Investors can buy MAA shares at $129.60, which is 1.7% lower than Hill's purchase price, providing a relatively cheaper entry point for potential investors.
- Dividend Yield Analysis: Since the purchase, Hill has collected $1.53 per share in dividends, resulting in a 0.5% decline in total return; however, the company's strong dividend history and profitability continue to attract value investors' interest.
- Valuation and Profitability: The DividendRank report highlights MAA's attractive valuation and strong profitability metrics, with an annualized dividend of $6.12 per share, indicating the company's potential for long-term growth and shareholder returns.
See More
MAA Reports 2025 Financial Results and 2026 Outlook
- Financial Performance Overview: MAA reported a diluted earnings per share of $0.48 for Q4 2025, a 66.9% decline from Q4 2024, with an annual EPS of $3.78, indicating the impact of economic uncertainty on profitability.
- Operational Data Analysis: Same-store revenues decreased by 0.1% in 2025, while expenses rose by 0.7%, leading to a 0.5% decline in net operating income (NOI), reflecting ongoing competitive pressures and rental rate challenges.
- Acquisition and Development Dynamics: MAA acquired land parcels in Kansas City and Phoenix in October 2025, planning to develop multifamily apartments, which is expected to support future revenue growth, particularly in high-demand regions.
- Sustainability Progress: As of December 31, 2025, MAA achieved a 29% reduction in energy use intensity and a 44% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions intensity, demonstrating the company's commitment and effectiveness in sustainability initiatives.
See More
Mid-America Apartment Communities Set to Release Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 4th after market close, with market participants keenly awaiting its financial performance.
- FFO and Revenue Estimates: Analysts have consensus estimates of $2.22 for FFO per share and $556.79 million in revenue, indicating strong market confidence in MAA's stable cash flow generation.
- Credit Profile Analysis: MAA demonstrates a robust credit profile, and while investment opportunities may be selective, its performance amid the 'Sunbelt recovery' is noteworthy, especially in the current high-yield environment.
- Historical Financial Data Review: Historical earnings data indicates that MAA has shown stability in past performances, prompting investors to carefully assess the fair value of its common stock against the risks associated with its preferred shares.
See More
MAA Announces Taxable Composition of 2025 Distributions, No Return of Capital Expected
- Dividend Distribution Overview: MAA announced a cash distribution of $1.515 per share for 2025, with all distributions classified as ordinary taxable distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Preferred Stock Distribution Details: The 8.5% Series I Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock will have a cash distribution of $1.0625 per share, reflecting the company's attractiveness to preferred shareholders and enhancing the stability of its capital structure.
- Tax Compliance Statement: The company confirmed that there will be no return of capital in its 2025 distributions and that no foreign taxes were incurred, ensuring transparency and ease for shareholders in their tax treatment.
- Future Outlook: MAA expects no material changes in the taxable composition of its 2025 distributions based on preliminary tax filing work, demonstrating confidence in the company's future financial stability.
See More
