Sees FY26 Adjusted EBITDA at $520M-$560M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
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Should l Buy KNF?
Sees FY26 adjusted EBITDA $520M-$560M
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Analyst Views on KNF
Wall Street analysts forecast KNF stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 91.510
Low
75.00
Averages
88.00
High
106.00
Current: 91.510
Low
75.00
Averages
88.00
High
106.00
About KNF
Knife River Corporation is an aggregates-based construction materials and contracting services provider. Its segments include West, Mountain, Central and Energy Services. Each geographic segment offers a vertically integrated suite of products and services, including aggregates, ready-mix concrete, asphalt, and contracting services, while the Energy Services segment, which has locations throughout the Company’s geographic footprint, produces and supplies liquid asphalt and related services, primarily for use in asphalt road construction, and is a supplier to some of the other segments. Through its network of 182 active aggregate sites, 106 ready-mix plants and 51 asphalt plants, and 9 liquid asphalt terminals. It supplies construction materials and contracting services to customers in 14 states. Its construction materials are sold to public and private-sector customers, including federal, state, and municipal governments, as well as industrial, commercial, and residential developers.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Knife River Reports Strong Q1 Earnings with Revenue Growth
- Earnings Beat: Knife River's Q1 GAAP EPS of -$1.40 exceeded expectations by $0.03, demonstrating resilience despite ongoing losses, which could bolster investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company reported Q1 revenue of $410.1 million, a 16.0% year-over-year increase that surpassed market expectations by $23.06 million, indicating strong market demand and effective business expansion.
- Record Backlog: Knife River achieved a record first-quarter backlog of $1.2 billion, highlighting robust future revenue potential and the company's competitive position within the industry.
- Clear Strategic Goals: The company targets $3.3 billion to $3.5 billion in revenue and $520 million to $560 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2026, reflecting its ongoing commitment to vertical integration and growth potential.
See More
Packaging & Containers Stocks Lagging Market Performance
- Market Decline: On Thursday, the packaging and containers sector fell approximately 1.5%, indicating a weak performance that could undermine investor confidence in the industry.
- Smurfit Westrock Leads Decline: Smurfit Westrock's stock dropped about 2.7%, which may negatively impact its future market performance and attractiveness to investors.
- International Paper Also Affected: International Paper's shares also fell by approximately 2.7%, reflecting challenges the company faces in the current economic environment, potentially affecting its profitability and market share.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: The overall market weakness has cast uncertainty over the future prospects of the packaging and containers sector, prompting investors to reassess their strategies to mitigate potential risks.
See More
Knife River Acquires Donaldson Brothers Ready Mix Assets
- Acquisition Expansion: Knife River Corporation announced the acquisition of Donaldson Brothers Ready Mix Inc. assets, marking its third acquisition in 2026, which further solidifies its market position in western Montana.
- Market Penetration: Donaldson Brothers is a leading supplier of aggregates and ready-mix in the Bitterroot Valley with over 30 years of supply history, and this acquisition provides Knife River with strategic aggregate reserves to support its expansion into a new market.
- Growth Strategy: Knife River President and CEO Brian Gray stated that this acquisition aligns with the company's strategy of targeting vertically integrated opportunities in mid-size, higher-growth markets, enhancing its operational capabilities in western Montana.
- Industry Outlook: With Montana's economic growth, Knife River's enhanced market position through this acquisition is expected to better support future business development and meet increasing market demand.
See More
Knife River Acquires Morgan Asphalt Inc. to Expand Operations
- Strategic Expansion: Knife River Corporation announced the acquisition of Morgan Asphalt Inc., aiming to establish a footprint in the rapidly growing Salt Lake City market, which is expected to provide a new growth platform for the company.
- Market Integration: With over 30 years of experience in aggregate production and asphalt paving in northern Utah, Morgan Asphalt's acquisition will allow Knife River to integrate its existing regional operations, enhancing market competitiveness.
- Employee Scale: Morgan Asphalt employs approximately 250 people during peak construction season, and this acquisition will bolster Knife River's human resource allocation to support its expansion across 15 states.
- Future Outlook: Knife River CEO Brian Gray stated that this acquisition not only prepares the company for the upcoming 2026 construction season but also creates additional growth opportunities in both public and private sector projects.
See More
Knife River Corporation Acquires Morgan Asphalt in Salt Lake City
Acquisition Announcement: Knife River Corporation has acquired Morgan Asphalt, expanding its operations in Salt Lake City.
Strategic Growth: This acquisition is part of Knife River's strategy to enhance its market presence and service offerings in the asphalt industry.
See More
US Stocks Close Higher on Strong Economic Data
- Strong Economic Data: US December capital goods new orders rose 0.6% month-over-month, exceeding expectations of 0.3%, indicating a rebound in capital spending that boosts market confidence and drives stock prices higher.
- Housing Market Recovery: December housing starts increased by 6.2% month-over-month to 1.404 million, significantly surpassing the expected 1.304 million, suggesting a recovery in the housing market that could stimulate investment and consumption in related sectors.
- Manufacturing Production Growth: January manufacturing production rose by 0.6% month-over-month, stronger than the expected 0.4%, marking the largest increase in 11 months, indicating a recovery in manufacturing that supports overall economic growth expectations.
- Optimistic Stock Market Performance: Over 75% of S&P 500 companies reported earnings that beat expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, providing strong support for the stock market despite lingering doubts about future interest rate policies.
See More
Knife River Reports Strong Q1 Earnings with Revenue Growth
- Earnings Beat: Knife River's Q1 GAAP EPS of -$1.40 exceeded expectations by $0.03, demonstrating resilience despite ongoing losses, which could bolster investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company reported Q1 revenue of $410.1 million, a 16.0% year-over-year increase that surpassed market expectations by $23.06 million, indicating strong market demand and effective business expansion.
- Record Backlog: Knife River achieved a record first-quarter backlog of $1.2 billion, highlighting robust future revenue potential and the company's competitive position within the industry.
- Clear Strategic Goals: The company targets $3.3 billion to $3.5 billion in revenue and $520 million to $560 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2026, reflecting its ongoing commitment to vertical integration and growth potential.
See More
Packaging & Containers Stocks Lagging Market Performance
- Market Decline: On Thursday, the packaging and containers sector fell approximately 1.5%, indicating a weak performance that could undermine investor confidence in the industry.
- Smurfit Westrock Leads Decline: Smurfit Westrock's stock dropped about 2.7%, which may negatively impact its future market performance and attractiveness to investors.
- International Paper Also Affected: International Paper's shares also fell by approximately 2.7%, reflecting challenges the company faces in the current economic environment, potentially affecting its profitability and market share.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: The overall market weakness has cast uncertainty over the future prospects of the packaging and containers sector, prompting investors to reassess their strategies to mitigate potential risks.
See More
Knife River Acquires Donaldson Brothers Ready Mix Assets
- Acquisition Expansion: Knife River Corporation announced the acquisition of Donaldson Brothers Ready Mix Inc. assets, marking its third acquisition in 2026, which further solidifies its market position in western Montana.
- Market Penetration: Donaldson Brothers is a leading supplier of aggregates and ready-mix in the Bitterroot Valley with over 30 years of supply history, and this acquisition provides Knife River with strategic aggregate reserves to support its expansion into a new market.
- Growth Strategy: Knife River President and CEO Brian Gray stated that this acquisition aligns with the company's strategy of targeting vertically integrated opportunities in mid-size, higher-growth markets, enhancing its operational capabilities in western Montana.
- Industry Outlook: With Montana's economic growth, Knife River's enhanced market position through this acquisition is expected to better support future business development and meet increasing market demand.
See More
Knife River Acquires Morgan Asphalt Inc. to Expand Operations
- Strategic Expansion: Knife River Corporation announced the acquisition of Morgan Asphalt Inc., aiming to establish a footprint in the rapidly growing Salt Lake City market, which is expected to provide a new growth platform for the company.
- Market Integration: With over 30 years of experience in aggregate production and asphalt paving in northern Utah, Morgan Asphalt's acquisition will allow Knife River to integrate its existing regional operations, enhancing market competitiveness.
- Employee Scale: Morgan Asphalt employs approximately 250 people during peak construction season, and this acquisition will bolster Knife River's human resource allocation to support its expansion across 15 states.
- Future Outlook: Knife River CEO Brian Gray stated that this acquisition not only prepares the company for the upcoming 2026 construction season but also creates additional growth opportunities in both public and private sector projects.
See More
Knife River Corporation Acquires Morgan Asphalt in Salt Lake City
Acquisition Announcement: Knife River Corporation has acquired Morgan Asphalt, expanding its operations in Salt Lake City.
Strategic Growth: This acquisition is part of Knife River's strategy to enhance its market presence and service offerings in the asphalt industry.
See More
US Stocks Close Higher on Strong Economic Data
- Strong Economic Data: US December capital goods new orders rose 0.6% month-over-month, exceeding expectations of 0.3%, indicating a rebound in capital spending that boosts market confidence and drives stock prices higher.
- Housing Market Recovery: December housing starts increased by 6.2% month-over-month to 1.404 million, significantly surpassing the expected 1.304 million, suggesting a recovery in the housing market that could stimulate investment and consumption in related sectors.
- Manufacturing Production Growth: January manufacturing production rose by 0.6% month-over-month, stronger than the expected 0.4%, marking the largest increase in 11 months, indicating a recovery in manufacturing that supports overall economic growth expectations.
- Optimistic Stock Market Performance: Over 75% of S&P 500 companies reported earnings that beat expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, providing strong support for the stock market despite lingering doubts about future interest rate policies.
See More
