<Research> CLSA Anticipates Multiple Catalysts for Hong Kong Conglomerates in the Coming Year; Preferred Selections Include CKH Holdings and CTF Services
Forecast for Hong Kong Conglomerates: CLSA predicts a 5% growth in recurring profits for Hong Kong conglomerates in 2026, with dividends expected to increase by 3% year-over-year.
Market Conditions: The weak USD is anticipated to support conglomerates, which are currently trading at a 32% discount to their net asset value per share, with a projected dividend yield of 4.6%.
Top Stock Picks: CLSA's top stock picks include CKH HOLDINGS and CTF SERVICES, with target prices raised to $61 and $9.6, respectively, both rated as Outperform.
Additional Recommendations: FIRST PACIFIC and SWIRE PACIFIC A are also favored, with target prices set at $8.2 and $74, respectively, and all recommended stocks are considered to offer attractive risk-reward profiles.
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HSI Declines by 37 Points; Commodities Maintain Recovery; TENCENT Under Pressure
Market Overview: The HSI opened lower by 0.1% at 26,797, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also experiencing declines of 0.15% and 0.9%, respectively.
Resource Stocks Performance: Gold and silver stocks saw gains, with CHINAGOLDINTL up 2.8% and JIANGXI COPPER rising 3.0%, while ZIJIN MINING rallied by 2.1%.
Tech Stocks Decline: Major tech companies like TENCENT and BABA-W faced losses of 2.6% and 1.1%, respectively, with significant short selling activity noted across the sector.
Carmakers and Other Stocks: Carmakers BYD and LEAPMOTOR opened lower, while LI AUTO saw a slight increase of 2.2%. CKH HOLDINGS remained flat amid ongoing arbitration actions.
HMO: Panama Court Decision Significantly Erodes Rule of Law and Contract Integrity
Supreme Court Ruling: The Supreme Court of Justice of Panama declared the contracts and regulations of two ports operated by Panama Ports Company unconstitutional, impacting CKH HOLDINGS.
Chinese Government Response: The Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office criticized the ruling, claiming it undermines the rights of Chinese enterprises and violates principles of rule of law and contract integrity.
CKH Firmly Opposes Panama's Decision and Actions, Plans to Actively Pursue Arbitration Proceedings
Supreme Court Decision: The Supreme Court of Justice of Panama declared Law No. 5 of 16 January 1997 unconstitutional, which has been the basis for Panama Ports Company S.A.'s operations for nearly 30 years.
Impact on Operations: The decision may take effect in early February 2026, and Panama Ports Company (PPC) believes it contradicts the legal framework supporting their concession contract.
Legal Actions: PPC has initiated arbitration proceedings against the Republic of Panama, asserting their rights under the concession contract and the International Chamber of Commerce's arbitration rules.
Company's Stance: The Board of CKH Holdings strongly disagrees with the court's ruling and is consulting legal counsel to explore further national and international legal options.
<Daily Summary> HSI Ends at 26,834, Gaining 59 Points; HSTI Finishes at 5,467, Losing 59 Points; CSPC PHARMA Surges Over 8%; NEW ORIENTAL, HSBC HOLDINGS, MTR CORPORATION, POWER ASSETS, CIMC Reach New Peaks; Market Turnover Increases
Market Performance: The HSI rose by 59 points (0.2%) to 26,834, while the HSTI and HSCEI fell by 59 points (1.1%) and 27 points (0.3%) respectively, with a total market turnover of $335.15 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Tencent, Meituan, and Alibaba saw declines, with Tencent closing down 2.9% at $581, while Ping An was the only heavyweight to gain, closing up 0.8% at $71.3.
Notable Movers: CSPC Pharma and New Oriental experienced significant gains, rising 8.1% and 6.4% respectively, while Kuaishou-W and Baidu-SW faced notable declines, down 4.6% and 3.6%.
High Performers: CIMC and Wanguo Gold GP were standout performers, with CIMC surging 15% and Wanguo Gold GP increasing by 13.6%, both hitting new highs.
HSI Jumps 54 Points at Midday, Weighed Down by TENCENT and KUAISHOU; Banks and Homebuilders Rise
Market Overview: The HSI rose by 54 points (0.2%) to 26,830, while the HSCEI fell by 19 points (0.2%) to 9,060, and the HSTECH dropped by 72 points (1.3%) to 5,453, with a total half-day turnover of $195.285 billion.
Tech Sector Performance: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and BIDU-SW saw significant declines of 4.1% and 3.8%, respectively, with TENCENT's turnover nearing $26 billion, while other tech companies also experienced losses.
Banking Sector Gains: Banks such as HSBC and BOC HONG KONG reported gains of 2.3% and 2.5%, respectively, contributing to a positive trend in the banking sector, alongside notable increases in Chinese insurers.
Commodity and Real Estate Stocks: Commodity prices rose, with companies like ZIJIN GOLD INTL and CMOC increasing by over 4%, while Hong Kong homebuilders also saw gains, with HENDERSON LAND and SHK PPT rising by 2.1% and 1.7%.
<Midday Update> HSI Ends Midday at 26,830, Gaining 54 Points; HSTI Ends Midday at 5,453, Losing 72 Points; TENCENT Falls More Than 3%; MTR CORPORATION, POWER ASSETS, CIMC, ZOOMLION, FIH Reach New Peaks
Market Performance: The HSI rose by 54 points (0.2%) to 26,830, while the HSTI and HSCEI fell by 72 points (1.3%) and 19 points (0.2%) respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Tencent, Alibaba, and Meituan experienced declines, with Tencent down 4.0% and Alibaba down 2.3%, while Ping An saw a slight increase of 0.9%.
Notable Movers: CSPC Pharma and CKH Holdings saw significant gains, up 3.5% and 3.4% respectively, while Kuaishou-W dropped 5.1%.
High Performers: Stocks like Fangzhou Jianke and CIMC achieved notable increases of 15.3% and 16.1%, reaching new highs in their respective performances.
HSI Declines by 37 Points; Commodities Maintain Recovery; TENCENT Under Pressure
Market Overview: The HSI opened lower by 0.1% at 26,797, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also experiencing declines of 0.15% and 0.9%, respectively.
Resource Stocks Performance: Gold and silver stocks saw gains, with CHINAGOLDINTL up 2.8% and JIANGXI COPPER rising 3.0%, while ZIJIN MINING rallied by 2.1%.
Tech Stocks Decline: Major tech companies like TENCENT and BABA-W faced losses of 2.6% and 1.1%, respectively, with significant short selling activity noted across the sector.
Carmakers and Other Stocks: Carmakers BYD and LEAPMOTOR opened lower, while LI AUTO saw a slight increase of 2.2%. CKH HOLDINGS remained flat amid ongoing arbitration actions.
HMO: Panama Court Decision Significantly Erodes Rule of Law and Contract Integrity
Supreme Court Ruling: The Supreme Court of Justice of Panama declared the contracts and regulations of two ports operated by Panama Ports Company unconstitutional, impacting CKH HOLDINGS.
Chinese Government Response: The Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office criticized the ruling, claiming it undermines the rights of Chinese enterprises and violates principles of rule of law and contract integrity.
CKH Firmly Opposes Panama's Decision and Actions, Plans to Actively Pursue Arbitration Proceedings
Supreme Court Decision: The Supreme Court of Justice of Panama declared Law No. 5 of 16 January 1997 unconstitutional, which has been the basis for Panama Ports Company S.A.'s operations for nearly 30 years.
Impact on Operations: The decision may take effect in early February 2026, and Panama Ports Company (PPC) believes it contradicts the legal framework supporting their concession contract.
Legal Actions: PPC has initiated arbitration proceedings against the Republic of Panama, asserting their rights under the concession contract and the International Chamber of Commerce's arbitration rules.
Company's Stance: The Board of CKH Holdings strongly disagrees with the court's ruling and is consulting legal counsel to explore further national and international legal options.
<Daily Summary> HSI Ends at 26,834, Gaining 59 Points; HSTI Finishes at 5,467, Losing 59 Points; CSPC PHARMA Surges Over 8%; NEW ORIENTAL, HSBC HOLDINGS, MTR CORPORATION, POWER ASSETS, CIMC Reach New Peaks; Market Turnover Increases
Market Performance: The HSI rose by 59 points (0.2%) to 26,834, while the HSTI and HSCEI fell by 59 points (1.1%) and 27 points (0.3%) respectively, with a total market turnover of $335.15 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Tencent, Meituan, and Alibaba saw declines, with Tencent closing down 2.9% at $581, while Ping An was the only heavyweight to gain, closing up 0.8% at $71.3.
Notable Movers: CSPC Pharma and New Oriental experienced significant gains, rising 8.1% and 6.4% respectively, while Kuaishou-W and Baidu-SW faced notable declines, down 4.6% and 3.6%.
High Performers: CIMC and Wanguo Gold GP were standout performers, with CIMC surging 15% and Wanguo Gold GP increasing by 13.6%, both hitting new highs.
HSI Jumps 54 Points at Midday, Weighed Down by TENCENT and KUAISHOU; Banks and Homebuilders Rise
Market Overview: The HSI rose by 54 points (0.2%) to 26,830, while the HSCEI fell by 19 points (0.2%) to 9,060, and the HSTECH dropped by 72 points (1.3%) to 5,453, with a total half-day turnover of $195.285 billion.
Tech Sector Performance: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and BIDU-SW saw significant declines of 4.1% and 3.8%, respectively, with TENCENT's turnover nearing $26 billion, while other tech companies also experienced losses.
Banking Sector Gains: Banks such as HSBC and BOC HONG KONG reported gains of 2.3% and 2.5%, respectively, contributing to a positive trend in the banking sector, alongside notable increases in Chinese insurers.
Commodity and Real Estate Stocks: Commodity prices rose, with companies like ZIJIN GOLD INTL and CMOC increasing by over 4%, while Hong Kong homebuilders also saw gains, with HENDERSON LAND and SHK PPT rising by 2.1% and 1.7%.
<Midday Update> HSI Ends Midday at 26,830, Gaining 54 Points; HSTI Ends Midday at 5,453, Losing 72 Points; TENCENT Falls More Than 3%; MTR CORPORATION, POWER ASSETS, CIMC, ZOOMLION, FIH Reach New Peaks
Market Performance: The HSI rose by 54 points (0.2%) to 26,830, while the HSTI and HSCEI fell by 72 points (1.3%) and 19 points (0.2%) respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Tencent, Alibaba, and Meituan experienced declines, with Tencent down 4.0% and Alibaba down 2.3%, while Ping An saw a slight increase of 0.9%.
Notable Movers: CSPC Pharma and CKH Holdings saw significant gains, up 3.5% and 3.4% respectively, while Kuaishou-W dropped 5.1%.
High Performers: Stocks like Fangzhou Jianke and CIMC achieved notable increases of 15.3% and 16.1%, reaching new highs in their respective performances.
