Parsons Corporation's Fiscal 2026 Outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy PSN?
Source: stocktwits
- Critical Infrastructure Growth: Parsons Corporation's Critical Infrastructure segment has achieved double-digit total revenue growth, particularly in North America and the Middle East, despite pressure on its federal segment from the Confidential program, indicating resilience in overall business performance.
- Fiscal 2026 Forecast: The company projects fiscal 2026 revenue between $6.5 billion and $6.8 billion, with core profit expected to range from $615 million to $675 million, resetting expectations for investors and providing a clearer outlook.
- Contract Wins Support: Investor optimism has risen following several federal contract announcements in February, including a $91 million contract extension with the U.S. Department of State, with CEO Carey Smith noting a strategic contract win rate of 61%.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Despite a nearly 14% decline in share price over the past 12 months, retail sentiment has shifted from 'bullish' to 'extremely bullish', reflecting a recovery in investor confidence regarding the company's future prospects.
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Analyst Views on PSN
Wall Street analysts forecast PSN stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 63.720
Low
70.00
Averages
84.00
High
107.00
Current: 63.720
Low
70.00
Averages
84.00
High
107.00
About PSN
Parsons Corporation is a disruptive technology provider in the national security and global infrastructure markets, with capabilities across cyber and electronic warfare, space and missile defense, transportation, water and environment, urban development, and critical infrastructure protection. Its Federal Solutions segment provides advanced technical solutions to the United States government. This segment provides advanced technologies, supporting national security missions in cyber operations, missile defense, and military facility modernization, logistics support, hazardous material remediation and engineering services. Its Critical Infrastructure segment offers integrated engineering and management services for complex physical and digital infrastructure around the globe. This segment is a technology innovator focused on next-generation digital systems and complex structures. It also develops advanced, warfighter-focused solutions for military and security applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
SealingTech Receives US Cyber Command Contract
- Significant Contract Value: Sealing Technologies has received an Intent to Award notification from US Cyber Command for a contract valued at up to $500 million over three years, marking a crucial advancement in the company's efforts within the defense innovation sector and solidifying its leadership in the cybersecurity market.
- Support for Technological Innovation: This contract will facilitate the production of SealingTech's Joint Cyber Hunt Kit (JCHK) solution, aimed at enhancing the operational readiness and superiority of the U.S. military, showcasing the company's technological prowess in the defense and intelligence sectors.
- Long-term Partnership: With over a decade of collaboration with the U.S. Department of War and more than 500 Cyber Fly-Away Kits deployed, SealingTech has established itself as a trusted partner, thereby increasing its influence in national security.
- Strategic Acquisition Impact: Parsons' acquisition of SealingTech in 2023 aimed to enhance its full-spectrum cyber operations capabilities, and the success of this contract underscores the shared vision of both companies to meet customer needs and safeguard national security.
See More
Parsons Corporation's Fiscal 2026 Outlook
- Critical Infrastructure Growth: Parsons Corporation's Critical Infrastructure segment has achieved double-digit total revenue growth, particularly in North America and the Middle East, despite pressure on its federal segment from the Confidential program, indicating resilience in overall business performance.
- Fiscal 2026 Forecast: The company projects fiscal 2026 revenue between $6.5 billion and $6.8 billion, with core profit expected to range from $615 million to $675 million, resetting expectations for investors and providing a clearer outlook.
- Contract Wins Support: Investor optimism has risen following several federal contract announcements in February, including a $91 million contract extension with the U.S. Department of State, with CEO Carey Smith noting a strategic contract win rate of 61%.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Despite a nearly 14% decline in share price over the past 12 months, retail sentiment has shifted from 'bullish' to 'extremely bullish', reflecting a recovery in investor confidence regarding the company's future prospects.
See More
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- AI Market Outlook: The global AI market in defense and aerospace is projected to grow from $4.2 billion in 2026 to $42.8 billion by 2036, with a compound annual growth rate of 26.4%, indicating that defense budgets are driving rapid advancements in related technologies.
- Accelerated Corporate Investment: The DoD's IT budget for fiscal 2026 reached $66 billion, an increase of $1.8 billion from 2025, with every service branch boosting its AI allocations, and the Navy's AI spending alone rising by 22.7% year-over-year, reflecting a strong demand for intelligent technologies.
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- Defense Budget Increase: The U.S. Congress has passed an $839 billion defense spending bill, marking the Pentagon's first full-year appropriation since fiscal 2024, with $9.8 billion allocated specifically for the development of autonomous and unmanned systems, which is expected to drive investment and market growth for related companies.
- AI Market Outlook: The global AI market in defense and aerospace is projected to grow from $4.2 billion in 2026 to $42.8 billion by 2036, at a compound annual growth rate of 26.4%, indicating a rapid acceleration in demand for autonomous platforms and intelligent command systems, attracting significant institutional capital.
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- Revenue Decline: Overall revenue decreased by 8% year-over-year, with organic revenue down 10%, although growth was noted in space and defense services, transportation, and critical infrastructure protection; however, a decline in sales volume from a key confidential contract negatively impacted overall results.
- Cautious Outlook: Parsons anticipates a return to growth in 2026, targeting sales between $6.5 billion and $6.8 billion, which would represent a 4.5% annual revenue increase if the midpoint is achieved, yet investors express concerns over potential adverse effects from shifts in confidential contracts.
- Market Reaction: Following the earnings report, Parsons experienced significant stock volatility, with a current market cap of $7.5 billion and a trading volume of 4.7 million shares, reflecting heightened investor scrutiny and anxiety regarding the company's future prospects.
See More
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Parsons Corporation reported a 12% total revenue growth and an 8% organic revenue growth in Q4 2025, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding to a record 9.6%, indicating strong market demand and effective business execution.
- Outstanding Cash Flow Performance: The company achieved a 100% free cash flow conversion for fiscal year 2025, exceeding the high end of its cash flow guidance range, reflecting a healthy financial position that supports future investments and acquisitions.
- Strategic Contract Wins: In Q4, Parsons secured several key contracts, including a $392 million ten-year federal customer contract, showcasing its strong competitiveness in critical infrastructure and defense sectors, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Acquisitions and Expansion: The company acquired Applied Sciences Consulting and Altamira Technologies, enhancing its capabilities in national security and intelligence, indicating Parsons' strategic decisions in technology and market expansion aimed at boosting long-term growth potential.
See More
SealingTech Receives US Cyber Command Contract
- Significant Contract Value: Sealing Technologies has received an Intent to Award notification from US Cyber Command for a contract valued at up to $500 million over three years, marking a crucial advancement in the company's efforts within the defense innovation sector and solidifying its leadership in the cybersecurity market.
- Support for Technological Innovation: This contract will facilitate the production of SealingTech's Joint Cyber Hunt Kit (JCHK) solution, aimed at enhancing the operational readiness and superiority of the U.S. military, showcasing the company's technological prowess in the defense and intelligence sectors.
- Long-term Partnership: With over a decade of collaboration with the U.S. Department of War and more than 500 Cyber Fly-Away Kits deployed, SealingTech has established itself as a trusted partner, thereby increasing its influence in national security.
- Strategic Acquisition Impact: Parsons' acquisition of SealingTech in 2023 aimed to enhance its full-spectrum cyber operations capabilities, and the success of this contract underscores the shared vision of both companies to meet customer needs and safeguard national security.
See More
Parsons Corporation's Fiscal 2026 Outlook
- Critical Infrastructure Growth: Parsons Corporation's Critical Infrastructure segment has achieved double-digit total revenue growth, particularly in North America and the Middle East, despite pressure on its federal segment from the Confidential program, indicating resilience in overall business performance.
- Fiscal 2026 Forecast: The company projects fiscal 2026 revenue between $6.5 billion and $6.8 billion, with core profit expected to range from $615 million to $675 million, resetting expectations for investors and providing a clearer outlook.
- Contract Wins Support: Investor optimism has risen following several federal contract announcements in February, including a $91 million contract extension with the U.S. Department of State, with CEO Carey Smith noting a strategic contract win rate of 61%.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Despite a nearly 14% decline in share price over the past 12 months, retail sentiment has shifted from 'bullish' to 'extremely bullish', reflecting a recovery in investor confidence regarding the company's future prospects.
See More
Congress Passes $839 Billion Defense Budget for 2026
- Defense Budget Increase: Congress has passed an $839 billion defense spending bill, marking the Pentagon's first full-year appropriation since fiscal 2024, with $9.8 billion specifically allocated for the development of autonomous and unmanned systems, highlighting a commitment to modern military technology.
- AI Market Outlook: The global AI market in defense and aerospace is projected to grow from $4.2 billion in 2026 to $42.8 billion by 2036, with a compound annual growth rate of 26.4%, indicating that defense budgets are driving rapid advancements in related technologies.
- Accelerated Corporate Investment: The DoD's IT budget for fiscal 2026 reached $66 billion, an increase of $1.8 billion from 2025, with every service branch boosting its AI allocations, and the Navy's AI spending alone rising by 22.7% year-over-year, reflecting a strong demand for intelligent technologies.
- Strategic Partnership Opportunities: VisionWave Holdings' subsidiary Solar Drone held meetings in Italy with potential customers in the Middle East to discuss drone cleaning solutions, indicating the company's pursuit of new business opportunities in the rapidly growing solar market in the region.
See More
Congress Passes $839 Billion Defense Budget for 2026
- Defense Budget Increase: The U.S. Congress has passed an $839 billion defense spending bill, marking the Pentagon's first full-year appropriation since fiscal 2024, with $9.8 billion allocated specifically for the development of autonomous and unmanned systems, which is expected to drive investment and market growth for related companies.
- AI Market Outlook: The global AI market in defense and aerospace is projected to grow from $4.2 billion in 2026 to $42.8 billion by 2036, at a compound annual growth rate of 26.4%, indicating a rapid acceleration in demand for autonomous platforms and intelligent command systems, attracting significant institutional capital.
- Howmet's Strong Performance: Howmet Aerospace reported $2.2 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, a 15% year-over-year increase, with full-year revenue reaching a record $8.3 billion and adjusted EPS rising 40% to $3.77, reflecting robust growth in commercial and defense aerospace sectors.
- Curtiss-Wright Contract Win: Curtiss-Wright has been selected by Boeing to supply mission computers for the U.S. Air Force's C-17 Globemaster III, with an estimated contract value exceeding $400 million, enhancing the operational life of this critical military platform and reinforcing Curtiss-Wright's pivotal role in defense modernization.
See More
Parsons Stock Plummets After Disappointing Q4 Earnings Report
- Earnings Miss: Parsons' Q4 report revealed adjusted earnings per share of $0.75 and sales of $1.6 billion, both falling short of Wall Street expectations, resulting in a 14.4% drop in stock price, indicating investor disappointment with the company's performance.
- Revenue Decline: Overall revenue decreased by 8% year-over-year, with organic revenue down 10%, although growth was noted in space and defense services, transportation, and critical infrastructure protection; however, a decline in sales volume from a key confidential contract negatively impacted overall results.
- Cautious Outlook: Parsons anticipates a return to growth in 2026, targeting sales between $6.5 billion and $6.8 billion, which would represent a 4.5% annual revenue increase if the midpoint is achieved, yet investors express concerns over potential adverse effects from shifts in confidential contracts.
- Market Reaction: Following the earnings report, Parsons experienced significant stock volatility, with a current market cap of $7.5 billion and a trading volume of 4.7 million shares, reflecting heightened investor scrutiny and anxiety regarding the company's future prospects.
See More
Parsons Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Significant Revenue Growth: Parsons Corporation reported a 12% total revenue growth and an 8% organic revenue growth in Q4 2025, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding to a record 9.6%, indicating strong market demand and effective business execution.
- Outstanding Cash Flow Performance: The company achieved a 100% free cash flow conversion for fiscal year 2025, exceeding the high end of its cash flow guidance range, reflecting a healthy financial position that supports future investments and acquisitions.
- Strategic Contract Wins: In Q4, Parsons secured several key contracts, including a $392 million ten-year federal customer contract, showcasing its strong competitiveness in critical infrastructure and defense sectors, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Acquisitions and Expansion: The company acquired Applied Sciences Consulting and Altamira Technologies, enhancing its capabilities in national security and intelligence, indicating Parsons' strategic decisions in technology and market expansion aimed at boosting long-term growth potential.
See More
