Market Probability of Decline: The options market indicates an 8-10% chance of a 30% or greater decline in the S&P 500 by 2026, aligning with historical averages of market crashes occurring approximately every 12.5 years.
Frequency of Market Crashes: Market declines tend to occur in streaks, with a notable increase in crashes from 1966 to 1982 compared to fewer occurrences from 1982 to 2019, influenced by the misery index, which has recently risen.
Impact of the Gig Economy: The gig economy is providing a buffer for job losses, as many workers are turning to gig jobs that offer better pay than unemployment benefits, contributing to a rise in self-employment and multiple jobholders.
Equity Market Valuation Concerns: Despite a backdrop of economic stress and a rising misery index, the equity market is considered overvalued, with caution advised against the consensus view of stronger growth and inflation leading into 2026.
Wall Street analysts forecast IVV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IVV is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast IVV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IVV is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 688.320
Low
Averages
High
Current: 688.320
Low
Averages
High
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About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
