Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI): A Bull Case Theory
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 24 2025
0mins
Source: Yahoo Finance
Bullish Thesis on Ollie's Bargain Outlet: TQI Capital highlights Ollie’s Bargain Outlet's strong Q1 FY25 performance, with record store openings and a 13% increase in net sales, driven by strategic expansion and capturing market share from competitors like Big Lots. The company maintains a solid balance sheet and effective inventory management, positioning it as a promising long-term investment.
Market Position and Investment Sentiment: Despite not being among the top 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, Ollie’s has shown resilience and growth potential. However, there is a belief that other AI stocks may offer better returns with lower risk, indicating a cautious approach towards investing in OLLI compared to emerging tech opportunities.
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Analyst Views on OLLI
Wall Street analysts forecast OLLI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OLLI is 144.46 USD with a low forecast of 120.00 USD and a high forecast of 162.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 106.830
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
Current: 106.830
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
About OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory. The Company and its subsidiaries principally buys overproduced, overstocked, and closeout merchandise from manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, brokers, and other retailers. In addition, it augments its name-brand closeout deals with private label products. It offers customers a selection of brand name products, including housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics. The Company operates over 575 stores in 31 states. The Company's retail locations are located in Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and West Virginia.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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Congress Asset Sells 670,615 Shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet for Estimated $80.86 Million
- Share Sale: Congress Asset Management sold 670,615 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4 for an estimated $80.86 million, indicating a cautious stance on the company's future growth potential.
- Holding Status: Post-sale, Ollie's represented only 0.68% of Congress's reportable U.S. equity AUM, reflecting a diminished significance in the investment portfolio.
- Financial Performance: Despite the share sale, Ollie's reported a robust 18.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $613.6 million in Q3 of fiscal 2025, underscoring strong fundamentals.
- Future Outlook: Ollie's projects fiscal 2025 revenue of $2.65 billion and adjusted EPS between $3.81 and $3.87, indicating continued expansion capability and market potential.
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