Oklo Stock Volatility and Future Potential
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 17 2026
0mins
Should l Buy OKLO?
Source: Fool
- Stock Volatility: Oklo's stock has dropped approximately 66% from its mid-October peak of $190, currently trading around $66, reflecting market concerns about its future profitability.
- Partnership Agreement: Oklo's agreement with Meta Platforms to develop a 1.2 gigawatt power campus in Ohio signifies a crucial advancement in its clean energy initiatives, supporting Meta's data centers.
- Market Opportunity: The global small modular reactor market is projected to grow from about $160 million in 2024 to over $5 billion by 2035, with a compound annual growth rate of 42%, presenting significant potential for Oklo.
- Regulatory Risks: Without a license from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and with zero revenue, Oklo faces risks of stock dilution or debt if projects are delayed or costs exceed expectations, leading to further stock price volatility.
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Analyst Views on OKLO
Wall Street analysts forecast OKLO stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 48.070
Low
90.00
Averages
125.11
High
175.00
Current: 48.070
Low
90.00
Averages
125.11
High
175.00
About OKLO
Oklo Inc. is an advanced nuclear technology company. The Company is engaged in developing fast fission power plants to provide clean, reliable, and affordable energy at scale. It is developing advanced fuel recycling technologies in collaboration with the United States Department of Energy and United States National Laboratories. It provides 24/7 clean energy to data centers, factories, industrial sites, communities, and defense facilities. It offers heat and power through power purchase agreements. Its powerhouse product line, Aurora, is designed to be inherently safe, to be able to run on fresh or recycled fuel, and to produce 15-50 megawatts electric (MWe) and with the potential to expand powerhouse size to produce 100 MWe of electricity. The Company intends to develop specialized radioisotope production capabilities to address urgent supply shortages in life-saving medical radioisotopes and advanced industrial applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Oklo's Microreactor Potential Sparks Investor Interest
- Strong Stock Performance: Oklo went public nearly two years ago through a SPAC merger, opening at $15.50 per share and currently trading around $48, representing over a threefold increase despite not yet deploying microreactors or generating significant revenue, indicating high market expectations for its future potential.
- Growing Market Demand: The rapid growth of cloud computing, data centers, and AI markets has led more countries to reconsider nuclear power as an alternative to fossil fuels, with Oklo's Aurora microreactor designed for modular deployment, making it ideal for remote areas to meet increasing energy demands.
- Clear Technological Advantages: The Aurora microreactor utilizes metallic uranium fuel pellets that are denser, more heat-resistant, and cheaper to produce than conventional uranium dioxide fuel, while its closed-loop recycling system allows the fuel to last about a decade, significantly reducing operational costs.
- Future Growth Potential: Oklo broke ground on its first Powerhouse reactor in Idaho last September, with significant revenue expected to begin in 2027, as analysts project revenue growth from under $1 million in 2027 to $36 million in 2028, with further expansion anticipated through securing long-term contracts over the next decade.
See More
Oklo Partners with Meta to Develop Nuclear Power Campus
- Nuclear Project Partnership: Oklo has partnered with Meta Platforms to develop a 1.2 gigawatt nuclear power campus in Ohio, aimed at addressing the increasing energy demands of data centers, showcasing Oklo's potential in the nuclear sector.
- Surging Market Demand: With the rapid growth of artificial intelligence, global data center investments are projected to reach approximately $6.7 trillion by 2030, providing a massive market opportunity for Oklo's energy solutions, despite its current market cap of only $7.9 billion.
- Significant Investment Risks: Oklo is not yet profitable, and its first power campus may not be operational for at least another year, presenting high risks for investors, particularly as the company is still in its early growth stages.
- High Valuation Concerns: While Oklo has substantial future potential, its current valuation appears high, prompting investors to carefully consider entering the market under significant risk, as they may miss out on future gains.
See More
Oklo Faces High Valuation Amid Growth Potential
- Surging Market Demand: McKinsey estimates that global investment in data centers will reach nearly $6.7 trillion by 2030, highlighting the urgent need for clean energy solutions, with Oklo's powerhouses poised to play a critical role in this context.
- Strategic Partnership: Oklo has partnered with social media giant Meta Platforms to develop a 1.2 gigawatt power campus in Ohio, showcasing Oklo's market potential and potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Significant Financial Risks: Despite a market valuation of $7.9 billion, Oklo currently generates no revenue, and its first powerhouse may not be operational for at least another year, exposing investors to considerable financial risks.
- Notable Stock Volatility: Oklo's stock has fallen approximately 60% in the past six months, reflecting market concerns about its future profitability, although there remain potential growth opportunities amid surging demand for AI and data centers.
See More
Investment Opportunities Amid Market Pullback
- CoreWeave's Strong Performance: CoreWeave's stock has doubled over the past year, despite currently trading 63% below its 52-week high, with analysts projecting a 143% revenue growth this year, highlighting its robust demand in the AI sector and market potential.
- Oklo's Growth Potential: Oklo's stock has quadrupled in the past year, and while it has yet to generate significant revenue, its fast fission technology shows strong market adaptability in the AI boom, with expectations to reach $100 million in annual revenue within three years.
- DoorDash's Financial Stability: DoorDash achieved a 38% year-over-year growth rate in its latest quarter, despite a 35% drop in stock price this year, indicating strong financial performance and attractiveness amid economic uncertainties.
- Investor Confidence Rebounds: Cathie Wood's decision to increase her holdings in CoreWeave, Oklo, and DoorDash during the market pullback signals her optimism about their long-term growth potential, potentially providing a buying signal for other investors.
See More
Iran Conflict Drives Surge in Green Energy Stocks
- Oil Price Impact: Iran's attacks on key energy sites and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have driven global oil prices higher, prompting investors to rotate towards energy stocks while simultaneously generating strong tailwinds for green energy stocks.
- Oklo's Market Potential: Oklo's modular microreactors are set to deploy in Idaho by late 2027, with analysts projecting revenue growth from under $1 million in 2027 to $36.2 million in 2028; despite its enterprise value of $8.06 billion suggesting a high valuation, it still holds long-term growth potential.
- CleanSpark's Growth Outlook: CleanSpark provides green energy solutions through its modular microgrids for Bitcoin miners, with revenue expected to grow at a 23% CAGR from 2025 to 2028; although its stock has recently cooled, it appears undervalued at three times this year's sales, indicating strong investment appeal.
- GE Vernova's Stability: As GE's former energy division, GE Vernova is projected to see revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth rates of 15% and 55% respectively from 2025 to 2028; while its enterprise value stands at $221 billion, its balanced growth justifies the higher valuation.
See More
Oklo's Stock Volatility and Future Prospects
- Stock Volatility: Oklo's stock has experienced extreme volatility over the past year, surging 230% at one point but currently trading at $52 per share, significantly below its all-time high of $193, indicating high market uncertainty regarding its future profitability.
- Acquisition and Capabilities: The company acquired Atomic Alchemy for $25 million and received a license from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, enhancing its capabilities in nuclear fuel recycling and radioisotope production, which is expected to accelerate its path to commercialization.
- Partnership with Meta: Oklo has partnered with Meta to develop a 1.2GW power campus in Ohio, with Meta prepaying for power to ensure project funding, marking Oklo's first major commercial deal and potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue.
- Licensing Challenges Ahead: The company's future hinges on obtaining an NRC commercial operating license; success could lead to a significant stock price increase, while failure could result in cash burn and no revenue, necessitating careful risk assessment by investors.
See More
Oklo's Microreactor Potential Sparks Investor Interest
- Strong Stock Performance: Oklo went public nearly two years ago through a SPAC merger, opening at $15.50 per share and currently trading around $48, representing over a threefold increase despite not yet deploying microreactors or generating significant revenue, indicating high market expectations for its future potential.
- Growing Market Demand: The rapid growth of cloud computing, data centers, and AI markets has led more countries to reconsider nuclear power as an alternative to fossil fuels, with Oklo's Aurora microreactor designed for modular deployment, making it ideal for remote areas to meet increasing energy demands.
- Clear Technological Advantages: The Aurora microreactor utilizes metallic uranium fuel pellets that are denser, more heat-resistant, and cheaper to produce than conventional uranium dioxide fuel, while its closed-loop recycling system allows the fuel to last about a decade, significantly reducing operational costs.
- Future Growth Potential: Oklo broke ground on its first Powerhouse reactor in Idaho last September, with significant revenue expected to begin in 2027, as analysts project revenue growth from under $1 million in 2027 to $36 million in 2028, with further expansion anticipated through securing long-term contracts over the next decade.
See More
Oklo Partners with Meta to Develop Nuclear Power Campus
- Nuclear Project Partnership: Oklo has partnered with Meta Platforms to develop a 1.2 gigawatt nuclear power campus in Ohio, aimed at addressing the increasing energy demands of data centers, showcasing Oklo's potential in the nuclear sector.
- Surging Market Demand: With the rapid growth of artificial intelligence, global data center investments are projected to reach approximately $6.7 trillion by 2030, providing a massive market opportunity for Oklo's energy solutions, despite its current market cap of only $7.9 billion.
- Significant Investment Risks: Oklo is not yet profitable, and its first power campus may not be operational for at least another year, presenting high risks for investors, particularly as the company is still in its early growth stages.
- High Valuation Concerns: While Oklo has substantial future potential, its current valuation appears high, prompting investors to carefully consider entering the market under significant risk, as they may miss out on future gains.
See More
Oklo Faces High Valuation Amid Growth Potential
- Surging Market Demand: McKinsey estimates that global investment in data centers will reach nearly $6.7 trillion by 2030, highlighting the urgent need for clean energy solutions, with Oklo's powerhouses poised to play a critical role in this context.
- Strategic Partnership: Oklo has partnered with social media giant Meta Platforms to develop a 1.2 gigawatt power campus in Ohio, showcasing Oklo's market potential and potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Significant Financial Risks: Despite a market valuation of $7.9 billion, Oklo currently generates no revenue, and its first powerhouse may not be operational for at least another year, exposing investors to considerable financial risks.
- Notable Stock Volatility: Oklo's stock has fallen approximately 60% in the past six months, reflecting market concerns about its future profitability, although there remain potential growth opportunities amid surging demand for AI and data centers.
See More
Investment Opportunities Amid Market Pullback
- CoreWeave's Strong Performance: CoreWeave's stock has doubled over the past year, despite currently trading 63% below its 52-week high, with analysts projecting a 143% revenue growth this year, highlighting its robust demand in the AI sector and market potential.
- Oklo's Growth Potential: Oklo's stock has quadrupled in the past year, and while it has yet to generate significant revenue, its fast fission technology shows strong market adaptability in the AI boom, with expectations to reach $100 million in annual revenue within three years.
- DoorDash's Financial Stability: DoorDash achieved a 38% year-over-year growth rate in its latest quarter, despite a 35% drop in stock price this year, indicating strong financial performance and attractiveness amid economic uncertainties.
- Investor Confidence Rebounds: Cathie Wood's decision to increase her holdings in CoreWeave, Oklo, and DoorDash during the market pullback signals her optimism about their long-term growth potential, potentially providing a buying signal for other investors.
See More
Iran Conflict Drives Surge in Green Energy Stocks
- Oil Price Impact: Iran's attacks on key energy sites and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have driven global oil prices higher, prompting investors to rotate towards energy stocks while simultaneously generating strong tailwinds for green energy stocks.
- Oklo's Market Potential: Oklo's modular microreactors are set to deploy in Idaho by late 2027, with analysts projecting revenue growth from under $1 million in 2027 to $36.2 million in 2028; despite its enterprise value of $8.06 billion suggesting a high valuation, it still holds long-term growth potential.
- CleanSpark's Growth Outlook: CleanSpark provides green energy solutions through its modular microgrids for Bitcoin miners, with revenue expected to grow at a 23% CAGR from 2025 to 2028; although its stock has recently cooled, it appears undervalued at three times this year's sales, indicating strong investment appeal.
- GE Vernova's Stability: As GE's former energy division, GE Vernova is projected to see revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth rates of 15% and 55% respectively from 2025 to 2028; while its enterprise value stands at $221 billion, its balanced growth justifies the higher valuation.
See More
Oklo's Stock Volatility and Future Prospects
- Stock Volatility: Oklo's stock has experienced extreme volatility over the past year, surging 230% at one point but currently trading at $52 per share, significantly below its all-time high of $193, indicating high market uncertainty regarding its future profitability.
- Acquisition and Capabilities: The company acquired Atomic Alchemy for $25 million and received a license from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, enhancing its capabilities in nuclear fuel recycling and radioisotope production, which is expected to accelerate its path to commercialization.
- Partnership with Meta: Oklo has partnered with Meta to develop a 1.2GW power campus in Ohio, with Meta prepaying for power to ensure project funding, marking Oklo's first major commercial deal and potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue.
- Licensing Challenges Ahead: The company's future hinges on obtaining an NRC commercial operating license; success could lead to a significant stock price increase, while failure could result in cash burn and no revenue, necessitating careful risk assessment by investors.
See More
