Oklo and NuScale Compete in Nuclear Power Market
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Source: Fool
- Market Demand Outlook: Oklo and NuScale are both targeting the next wave of nuclear power demand, yet their strategic paths are markedly different, with Oklo's ownership model potentially generating decades of recurring power revenue if successfully executed.
- Regulatory Advantage: NuScale holds a regulatory head start, allowing it to advance projects more swiftly and capture market share, positioning itself favorably in the nuclear energy sector.
- Stock Performance: As of May 22, 2026, Oklo and NuScale's stock prices increased by 7.27% and 7.25%, respectively, indicating market optimism regarding both companies' future developments.
- Execution Challenges: While Oklo's business model holds significant potential, its success hinges on the ability to effectively execute its strategy and overcome market and technical challenges to achieve the anticipated revenue growth.
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Analyst Views on SMR
Wall Street analysts forecast SMR stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 12.890
Low
18.50
Averages
32.77
High
60.00
Current: 12.890
Low
18.50
Averages
32.77
High
60.00
About SMR
NuScale Power Corporation is a provider of proprietary advanced small modular reactor (SMR) nuclear technology. The NuScale Power Module, the Company's SMR technology, is a small pressurized water reactor that can generate approximately 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe) or 250 megawatts thermal (gross) and can be scaled to meet customer needs through an array of flexible configurations of up to 924 MWe (12 modules) of output. In addition to the sale of NPMs, it offers a diversified suite of services throughout the development and operating life of the power plant. The Company's suite of services is planned to include licensing support, testing, training, fuel supply services and program management, among others. It serves a range of customers consisting of domestic and international governments, utilities, state-owned enterprises and technology and industrial companies in need of carbon-free, reliable energy.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Opportunity: NuScale Power is pursuing sales of its small modular reactors (SMRs), yet it has not signed any contracts, placing the company at a pivotal moment amid rising electricity demands, particularly from data centers and electric vehicles.
- Potential Collaboration: Ongoing talks with South Korea could provide NuScale with investment and reactor project opportunities; however, the current partnerships remain in preliminary stages without actual sales.
- Business Model Risks: Although NuScale has regulatory approval for its SMR plans, it must first sign and deliver its first SMR to establish a sustainable business model, which is critical for the company's future.
- Investor Caution: As NuScale Power continues to incur losses and is unlikely to achieve profitability in the coming years, risk-averse investors may want to wait until the company demonstrates sustainable profitability before considering an investment.
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- Market Demand Outlook: Oklo and NuScale are both targeting the next wave of nuclear power demand, yet their strategic paths are markedly different, with Oklo's ownership model potentially generating decades of recurring power revenue if successfully executed.
- Regulatory Advantage: NuScale holds a regulatory head start, allowing it to advance projects more swiftly and capture market share, positioning itself favorably in the nuclear energy sector.
- Stock Performance: As of May 22, 2026, Oklo and NuScale's stock prices increased by 7.27% and 7.25%, respectively, indicating market optimism regarding both companies' future developments.
- Execution Challenges: While Oklo's business model holds significant potential, its success hinges on the ability to effectively execute its strategy and overcome market and technical challenges to achieve the anticipated revenue growth.
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- Market Positioning: Both Oklo and NuScale are vying for the nuclear power market, but NuScale's regulatory head start gives it a competitive edge that could impact Oklo's market share.
- Revenue Model Potential: If Oklo's ownership model is successfully executed, it could generate decades of recurring power revenue, supporting its long-term financial stability and boosting investor confidence.
- Investment Advisory Caution: Although NuScale is recommended by The Motley Fool, analysts have noted it did not make the current list of top investment stocks, indicating a cautious market outlook that could affect its stock performance.
- Historical Return Comparison: According to The Motley Fool, previously recommended stocks like Netflix and Nvidia achieved returns of 462,983% and 1,375,447%, respectively, providing investors with a benchmark and emphasizing the importance of stock selection.
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- Nuclear Renaissance Potential: According to Bank of America analysts, the nuclear energy market is viewed as a $10 trillion opportunity, expected to be key in addressing global power shortages, particularly amid surging electricity demand.
- Optimistic Investment Outlook: Morgan Stanley predicts that global nuclear capacity could double to 860 gigawatts by 2050, with investments in the nuclear value chain potentially reaching $2.2 trillion over the next 25 years, reflecting strong market confidence in nuclear energy.
- AI-Driven Demand Surge: With data centers driving a surge in electricity demand, U.S. electricity usage is expected to hit new highs in 2026 and 2027, positioning nuclear energy as a critical solution for the AI and data center industries.
- Watch Nuclear Stocks: Oklo and NuScale Power are two nuclear companies to watch; Oklo focuses on small modular reactors while NuScale partners with electric utilities, and although neither currently operates plants, interest is rapidly growing in the market.
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- Analyst Optimism: George Gianarikas from Canaccord Genuity reiterates a 'buy' rating for NuScale Power with a $25 price target, suggesting over 100% upside potential, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Market Performance Analysis: With a current stock price of $12.90 and a market cap of $4.4 billion, Gianarikas's target price is significantly above the average of $15.67 set by 15 analysts, indicating his optimistic view on the company's project pipeline.
- Significant Technical Advantage: NuScale specializes in small modular reactors (SMRs), which can be built faster and at a lower cost, making them well-suited to meet the rising electricity demand driven by the rapid expansion of data centers in the U.S. and globally.
- Partnership Opportunity Potential: Gianarikas highlights the partnership with the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) as a 'transformative opportunity' that could accelerate NuScale's path to commercialization, while the collaboration with RoPower is seen as validation of its technology and global appeal.
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- Market Opportunity: NuScale Power is at the forefront of small modular reactor (SMR) technology development, and despite facing increasing competition, the global demand for clean energy presents a multitrillion-dollar market opportunity.
- Financial Status: The company reported a net loss of approximately $44 million in the first quarter, and while its technology has yet to be deployed in the real world, its market potential continues to attract investor interest.
- Deployment Challenges: Although NuScale claims its SMR technology can be operational in 36 months, actual sales have not materialized due to cost inflation in nuclear engineering and difficulties in manufacturing components at scale, leading to slow project progress.
- Strategic Partnership: NuScale has entered into a binding partnership with ENTRA1 Energy, which will handle the development, financing, and operation of NuScale's SMR plants, demonstrating the company's strategic flexibility in addressing market challenges.
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