NuScale Power Faces Challenges in Securing First Reactor Deal
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 38 minutes ago
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Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Market Opportunity: NuScale Power is pursuing sales of its small modular reactors (SMRs), yet it has not signed any contracts, placing the company at a pivotal moment amid rising electricity demands, particularly from data centers and electric vehicles.
- Potential Collaboration: Ongoing talks with South Korea could provide NuScale with investment and reactor project opportunities; however, the current partnerships remain in preliminary stages without actual sales.
- Business Model Risks: Although NuScale has regulatory approval for its SMR plans, it must first sign and deliver its first SMR to establish a sustainable business model, which is critical for the company's future.
- Investor Caution: As NuScale Power continues to incur losses and is unlikely to achieve profitability in the coming years, risk-averse investors may want to wait until the company demonstrates sustainable profitability before considering an investment.
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Analyst Views on SMR
Wall Street analysts forecast SMR stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 12.190
Low
18.50
Averages
32.77
High
60.00
Current: 12.190
Low
18.50
Averages
32.77
High
60.00
About SMR
NuScale Power Corporation is a provider of proprietary advanced small modular reactor (SMR) nuclear technology. The NuScale Power Module, the Company's SMR technology, is a small pressurized water reactor that can generate approximately 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe) or 250 megawatts thermal (gross) and can be scaled to meet customer needs through an array of flexible configurations of up to 924 MWe (12 modules) of output. In addition to the sale of NPMs, it offers a diversified suite of services throughout the development and operating life of the power plant. The Company's suite of services is planned to include licensing support, testing, training, fuel supply services and program management, among others. It serves a range of customers consisting of domestic and international governments, utilities, state-owned enterprises and technology and industrial companies in need of carbon-free, reliable energy.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Opportunity: NuScale Power is pursuing sales of its small modular reactors (SMRs), yet it has not signed any contracts, placing the company at a pivotal moment amid rising electricity demands, particularly from data centers and electric vehicles.
- Potential Collaboration: Ongoing talks with South Korea could provide NuScale with investment and reactor project opportunities; however, the current partnerships remain in preliminary stages without actual sales.
- Business Model Risks: Although NuScale has regulatory approval for its SMR plans, it must first sign and deliver its first SMR to establish a sustainable business model, which is critical for the company's future.
- Investor Caution: As NuScale Power continues to incur losses and is unlikely to achieve profitability in the coming years, risk-averse investors may want to wait until the company demonstrates sustainable profitability before considering an investment.
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- Market Opportunity: NuScale Power is in discussions with South Korea regarding investment and a reactor project, and while it has yet to secure its first SMR contract, this potential collaboration highlights the market appeal of its technology, which could lead to long-term growth opportunities for the company.
- Technological Advantage: NuScale's SMR technology has received regulatory approval and features factory-built, transportable units with modern safety systems, positioning it to meet the anticipated surge in electricity demand from data centers, artificial intelligence, and electric vehicles.
- Contract Challenges: Despite ongoing negotiations for a six-reactor deal in Romania and partnerships with ENTRA1 Energy and the Tennessee Valley Authority, none have materialized into actual sales, indicating the company's struggle to achieve commercialization.
- Business Model Risks: Even if South Korea becomes its first customer, NuScale must still complete the construction and delivery of its SMRs; the current high-risk status and ongoing losses suggest that investors should be cautious, with risk-averse individuals advised to wait until the company achieves sustainable profitability before considering investment.
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- Nuclear Resurgence: From 2005 to 2023, U.S. electricity generation remained flat, but new all-time highs are expected in 2024 and 2025, driven by the rapid growth of the AI industry, which is increasing electricity demand and positioning nuclear energy as a viable solution.
- Oklo's Market Positioning: Oklo focuses on small modular reactors (SMRs), with its 'microreactor' design enabling local deployment in data centers, and a streamlined licensing and deployment timeline of just 6 to 12 months enhances its competitive edge in the market.
- NuScale's Strategic Approach: NuScale is pursuing grid-scale deployments, exemplified by its 6-gigawatt system agreement with the Tennessee Valley Authority, with a power purchase agreement expected to close by year-end, solidifying its position in the low-carbon power sector.
- Diversification Investment Advice: Given the differing market strategies of Oklo and NuScale, investors may achieve diversified exposure by purchasing shares of both, although NuScale was not recommended as a top investment choice by The Motley Fool.
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- Surging Nuclear Demand: The rapid growth of the AI industry is expected to sustain increased electricity demand for decades, with U.S. electricity generation projected to hit an all-time high in 2024, highlighting nuclear energy's potential as a solution.
- Oklo's Market Positioning: Oklo focuses on small modular reactors (SMRs), with its microreactor design making it an ideal choice for data centers, and once fully scaled, the licensing and deployment timeline is expected to be just six to twelve months.
- NuScale's Strategic Advantage: NuScale Power is focused on grid-scale deployments, exemplified by its agreement with the Tennessee Valley Authority for a 6-gigawatt system, with a power purchasing agreement anticipated to be finalized by year-end, further solidifying its market position.
- Diverse Competitive Landscape: Oklo enhances its market competitiveness through the acquisition of Atomic Alchemy for fuel recycling, while NuScale meets utilities' needs for low-carbon, reliable baseload power, showcasing different strategic directions in the nuclear energy market.
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- Analyst Coverage Reinstated: On May 22, BofA reinstated coverage of NuScale Power Corporation (NYSE:SMR) with a 'Neutral' rating and a price target of $12, indicating a cautious outlook on its market performance.
- Significant Technical Advantage: NuScale is the only company with U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Standard Design Approval, providing a regulatory edge that enhances its competitive position in the small modular reactor technology sector.
- Revenue Constraints: Despite the significant potential of NuScale's technology, its revenues remain heavily tied to services, with the first reactor not expected to generate power until the early 2030s, limiting its short-term financial performance.
- Funding Risks Present: The deployment of SMR requires substantial upfront capital, and NuScale's slower progress in securing funding agreements compared to peers poses a near-term funding risk that could impact its market standing.
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- Market Outlook: NuScale Power has a market capitalization of approximately $4.5 billion, with a current share price of $12.64, reflecting a 65% decline from last year, indicating market skepticism about its future profitability despite being the only nuclear reactor developer in the U.S. with an NRC-approved SMR design.
- Project Development Progress: The company is collaborating with a Romanian utility to replace a former coal site with a 462-megawatt power plant, and is expected to deploy 6 gigawatts of SMR technology for the Tennessee Valley Authority by 2030, although these projects have yet to generate revenue.
- Financial Overview: NuScale reported first-quarter revenue of approximately $565,000 and an operating loss of $57 million; despite having around $1 billion in liquidity, the lack of revenue makes its market valuation seem unreasonable, leading investors to adopt a cautious stance.
- Competitive Landscape: While NuScale holds a first-mover advantage over competitors like Oklo and Bloom Energy in small modular reactor development, the absence of significant sales raises concerns about investor confidence in its future growth potential.
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