Nebius Group Shares Drop Following CoreWeave's Disappointing Earnings Report
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 27 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NBIS?
Source: Fool
- Stock Volatility: Nebius Group shares fell by 14.9%, mirroring CoreWeave's 21.9% decline, reflecting market concerns over the emerging neocloud sector, where both companies are growing rapidly but incurring significant losses.
- Industry Context: As a new concept in AI cloud computing, Nebius and CoreWeave purchase GPUs and rent out computing capacity to hyperscalers and AI startups, achieving triple-digit revenue growth but also facing substantial losses.
- Market Reaction: Nebius's earnings report earlier this month disappointed the market, leading to increased stock volatility as investors remain uncertain about how to value these high-risk companies.
- Future Outlook: Analysts expect Nebius's revenue to grow by 531% to $3.35 billion by 2026, indicating faster growth than CoreWeave, and if it can maintain this triple-digit growth, the stock may attract more investors.
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Analyst Views on NBIS
Wall Street analysts forecast NBIS stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 114.150
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
Current: 114.150
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
About NBIS
Nebius Group NV is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company operating in the technology industry. The Company is engaged in developing a portfolio of artificial intelligence-related technology assets. It is involved in creating an artificial intelligence-centric player to integrate the essential elements of artificial intelligence development with infrastructure, data and advisory globally. It offers products and services such as a cloud platform for artificial intelligence-related workloads, development team services for autonomous vehicles, development of generative artificial intelligence. Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure to service the growth of the global AI industry, including GPU clusters, cloud platforms and tools and services for developers. Company is developing three other businesses that operate under their own brands: Toloka AI, TripleTen and Avride.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Nebius Group Closes Convertible Notes Offering
- Significant Financing: Nebius Group successfully closed a convertible senior notes offering totaling $4.3375 billion, with $2.5875 billion in 2031 Notes and $1.75 billion in 2033 Notes, reflecting strong market support for its financing needs.
- Additional Purchase Option: The initial purchaser fully exercised its option to purchase an additional $337.5 million of 2031 Notes, enhancing the company's capital-raising capabilities and providing ample funding for future expansions.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The company intends to use the net proceeds from the offering to finance data center construction, develop its full-stack AI cloud, and procure key components, indicating a strategic focus on AI infrastructure and long-term growth objectives.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: As a leading AI infrastructure company, Nebius leverages its technological expertise and expanding global footprint to provide comprehensive AI solutions for developers and enterprises, which is expected to further enhance its market share and industry influence.
See More
NEBIUS GROUP COMPLETES PRIVATE OFFERING OF CONVERTIBLE SENIOR NOTES, RAISING ABOUT $4.3 BILLION IN TOTAL GROSS PROCEEDS
Announcement of Closing: Nebius Group has announced the closing of its private offering of convertible senior notes.
Financial Details: The offering generated aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $4.3 billion.
See More
Nebius: A Potential Investment Outperforming Nvidia
- Investment Confidence: Nvidia's ownership of over 22 million Class A shares in Nebius, valued at $2.1 billion, indicates strong confidence in its future, despite representing a small fraction of Nvidia's overall business.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nebius reported a staggering 547% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $228 million, with its core AI business soaring 802%, and management anticipates annual recurring revenue between $7 billion and $9 billion by year-end, far exceeding Nvidia's projections.
- Strong Market Demand: Major partnerships with Meta and Microsoft position Nebius as a preferred partner in the AI space, attracting numerous startups and individual users, which further enhances its market share.
- Long-Term Profitability Challenges: Despite Nebius's impressive growth trajectory, significant losses from data center construction raise concerns about long-term margins, and its ability to compete with larger cloud computing firms will ultimately determine its investment appeal.
See More
Nvidia Partners with Nebius to Enhance AI Computing Power
- Investment Confidence: Nvidia's ownership of over 22 million Class A shares of Nebius, valued at $2.1 billion, represents a 7.7% to 8.3% stake, indicating strong confidence in Nebius's future and strategic positioning in the AI sector.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nebius reported a staggering 547% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $228 million, while its core AI business surged 802% to $214 million, showcasing its robust performance in the AI computing market.
- Optimistic Future Projections: Management expects annual recurring revenue to soar between $7 billion and $9 billion by year-end, a dramatic rise from $1.25 billion at the end of 2025, highlighting Nebius's immense growth potential that surpasses Nvidia's forecasts.
- Challenges and Opportunities: While Nebius faces substantial losses in building data centers, this short-term trade-off is deemed acceptable; if it can achieve profit margins comparable to larger cloud players in the long run, it could emerge as a major winner in the industry.
See More
Meta's $27 Billion AI Capacity Deal with Nebius
- AI Infrastructure Investment: Meta is set to increase its AI infrastructure spending to $135 billion in 2023, securing its leadership in the AI space through a $27 billion deal with Nebius, thereby enhancing user engagement and returns on advertising tools.
- Data Center Collaboration: The five-year agreement with Nebius commits Meta to $12 billion of dedicated capacity, with an option for an additional $15 billion in GPU clusters, a strategy that accelerates new model training while mitigating risks from power and chip shortages.
- Market Outlook: Nebius anticipates annualized recurring revenue between $7 billion and $9 billion by 2026, and the Meta deal is expected to significantly boost its revenue trajectory starting in 2027, providing strong growth potential for investors.
- Investment Appeal: With a current market cap of $28.7 billion, Nebius is projected to trade at 3.6 times its annualized recurring revenue, and the Meta contract enhances its attractiveness in the AI infrastructure sector, making it a compelling buy-and-hold opportunity for long-term investors.
See More
Meta Secures $27 Billion Capacity Deal with Nebius
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Meta is forecasting capital expenditures of up to $135 billion this year, a substantial investment aimed at ensuring its competitiveness in the AI sector, particularly as competition intensifies among major tech firms.
- New Agreement Signed: Meta has inked a capacity agreement worth up to $27 billion with Nebius, committing to $12 billion of dedicated capacity over five years, with an option to purchase an additional $15 billion in GPU clusters, thereby securing timely access to scarce GPUs.
- Supply Chain Diversification: By partnering with Nebius, Meta can avoid the capital and time burdens of building data centers internally while diversifying its supply chains, enabling quicker responses to power and chip shortages and accelerating timelines for training new models and launching next-generation services.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Following the Meta deal, Nebius anticipates annualized recurring revenue between $7 billion and $9 billion for 2026, representing a 540% year-over-year growth, indicating that Meta's contract will significantly enhance Nebius's revenue trajectory and further solidify its position in the AI infrastructure space.
See More
Nebius Group Closes Convertible Notes Offering
- Significant Financing: Nebius Group successfully closed a convertible senior notes offering totaling $4.3375 billion, with $2.5875 billion in 2031 Notes and $1.75 billion in 2033 Notes, reflecting strong market support for its financing needs.
- Additional Purchase Option: The initial purchaser fully exercised its option to purchase an additional $337.5 million of 2031 Notes, enhancing the company's capital-raising capabilities and providing ample funding for future expansions.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The company intends to use the net proceeds from the offering to finance data center construction, develop its full-stack AI cloud, and procure key components, indicating a strategic focus on AI infrastructure and long-term growth objectives.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: As a leading AI infrastructure company, Nebius leverages its technological expertise and expanding global footprint to provide comprehensive AI solutions for developers and enterprises, which is expected to further enhance its market share and industry influence.
See More
NEBIUS GROUP COMPLETES PRIVATE OFFERING OF CONVERTIBLE SENIOR NOTES, RAISING ABOUT $4.3 BILLION IN TOTAL GROSS PROCEEDS
Announcement of Closing: Nebius Group has announced the closing of its private offering of convertible senior notes.
Financial Details: The offering generated aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $4.3 billion.
See More
Nebius: A Potential Investment Outperforming Nvidia
- Investment Confidence: Nvidia's ownership of over 22 million Class A shares in Nebius, valued at $2.1 billion, indicates strong confidence in its future, despite representing a small fraction of Nvidia's overall business.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nebius reported a staggering 547% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $228 million, with its core AI business soaring 802%, and management anticipates annual recurring revenue between $7 billion and $9 billion by year-end, far exceeding Nvidia's projections.
- Strong Market Demand: Major partnerships with Meta and Microsoft position Nebius as a preferred partner in the AI space, attracting numerous startups and individual users, which further enhances its market share.
- Long-Term Profitability Challenges: Despite Nebius's impressive growth trajectory, significant losses from data center construction raise concerns about long-term margins, and its ability to compete with larger cloud computing firms will ultimately determine its investment appeal.
See More
Nvidia Partners with Nebius to Enhance AI Computing Power
- Investment Confidence: Nvidia's ownership of over 22 million Class A shares of Nebius, valued at $2.1 billion, represents a 7.7% to 8.3% stake, indicating strong confidence in Nebius's future and strategic positioning in the AI sector.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nebius reported a staggering 547% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $228 million, while its core AI business surged 802% to $214 million, showcasing its robust performance in the AI computing market.
- Optimistic Future Projections: Management expects annual recurring revenue to soar between $7 billion and $9 billion by year-end, a dramatic rise from $1.25 billion at the end of 2025, highlighting Nebius's immense growth potential that surpasses Nvidia's forecasts.
- Challenges and Opportunities: While Nebius faces substantial losses in building data centers, this short-term trade-off is deemed acceptable; if it can achieve profit margins comparable to larger cloud players in the long run, it could emerge as a major winner in the industry.
See More
Meta's $27 Billion AI Capacity Deal with Nebius
- AI Infrastructure Investment: Meta is set to increase its AI infrastructure spending to $135 billion in 2023, securing its leadership in the AI space through a $27 billion deal with Nebius, thereby enhancing user engagement and returns on advertising tools.
- Data Center Collaboration: The five-year agreement with Nebius commits Meta to $12 billion of dedicated capacity, with an option for an additional $15 billion in GPU clusters, a strategy that accelerates new model training while mitigating risks from power and chip shortages.
- Market Outlook: Nebius anticipates annualized recurring revenue between $7 billion and $9 billion by 2026, and the Meta deal is expected to significantly boost its revenue trajectory starting in 2027, providing strong growth potential for investors.
- Investment Appeal: With a current market cap of $28.7 billion, Nebius is projected to trade at 3.6 times its annualized recurring revenue, and the Meta contract enhances its attractiveness in the AI infrastructure sector, making it a compelling buy-and-hold opportunity for long-term investors.
See More
Meta Secures $27 Billion Capacity Deal with Nebius
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Meta is forecasting capital expenditures of up to $135 billion this year, a substantial investment aimed at ensuring its competitiveness in the AI sector, particularly as competition intensifies among major tech firms.
- New Agreement Signed: Meta has inked a capacity agreement worth up to $27 billion with Nebius, committing to $12 billion of dedicated capacity over five years, with an option to purchase an additional $15 billion in GPU clusters, thereby securing timely access to scarce GPUs.
- Supply Chain Diversification: By partnering with Nebius, Meta can avoid the capital and time burdens of building data centers internally while diversifying its supply chains, enabling quicker responses to power and chip shortages and accelerating timelines for training new models and launching next-generation services.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Following the Meta deal, Nebius anticipates annualized recurring revenue between $7 billion and $9 billion for 2026, representing a 540% year-over-year growth, indicating that Meta's contract will significantly enhance Nebius's revenue trajectory and further solidify its position in the AI infrastructure space.
See More
