Nebius Group Exceeds Revenue Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy NBIS?
Source: Fool
- Revenue Growth Exceeds Expectations: Nebius Group's annual revenue run rate target of $1.1 billion for the end of 2025 was surpassed, achieving $1.25 billion, showcasing the company's strong performance in the AI cloud infrastructure sector and solidifying its market position.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company anticipates a sevenfold increase in its revenue run rate for 2026, reflecting confidence in market demand, particularly amid surging needs for AI computing capacity, which may attract more investor interest.
- Data Center Expansion Plans: Nebius plans to achieve over 3 gigawatts of contracted compute capacity by the end of 2026, exceeding prior guidance, indicating robust demand for AI computing capabilities that could drive future revenue growth.
- Positive Market Reaction: Despite Nebius's stock price having tripled last year, it still rose by 8.2% today, demonstrating investor confidence in the company's growth potential, with a market capitalization of approximately $25 billion.
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Analyst Views on NBIS
Wall Street analysts forecast NBIS stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 89.730
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
Current: 89.730
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
About NBIS
Nebius Group NV is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company operating in the technology industry. The Company is engaged in developing a portfolio of artificial intelligence-related technology assets. It is involved in creating an artificial intelligence-centric player to integrate the essential elements of artificial intelligence development with infrastructure, data and advisory globally. It offers products and services such as a cloud platform for artificial intelligence-related workloads, development team services for autonomous vehicles, development of generative artificial intelligence. Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure to service the growth of the global AI industry, including GPU clusters, cloud platforms and tools and services for developers. Company is developing three other businesses that operate under their own brands: Toloka AI, TripleTen and Avride.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Financial Performance: Nebius Group reported an 8.7% decline in its financial performance following a surge in capital expenditures during the fourth quarter.
Revenue Estimates: The company's revenue fell short of market estimates, indicating potential challenges in meeting financial expectations.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Nebius reported a remarkable 547% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $227.7 million, although it fell short of the consensus estimate of $242.79 million, indicating strong growth potential in the AI infrastructure sector.
- Widening Net Loss: The company's adjusted net loss for Q4 widened to $173 million compared to $69 million in the same period last year, reflecting cost pressures faced during rapid expansion.
- Annual Recurring Revenue Exceeds Expectations: By year-end, Nebius achieved an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $1.25 billion, significantly surpassing the prior guidance of $900 million to $1.1 billion, showcasing a diversified customer base.
- Future Development Plans: Nebius is planning a 240 MW data center in Béthune, France, expected to be one of the largest in Europe, while aiming to connect 800 MW to 1 GW of power by the end of 2026, further solidifying its market position.
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- Massive Investment Plans: Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Microsoft are set to invest approximately $625 billion in AI technology in 2025, reflecting strong confidence in the AI market; despite muted market reactions, this presents significant growth opportunities for related companies.
- Nebius Expansion Momentum: Nebius Group reported sold-out data center capacity in Q3 2025, with expectations to connect between 800 megawatts and 1 gigawatt by the end of 2026, and plans for 2.5 gigawatts of contracted power demonstrate its commitment to rapid expansion and strong market demand.
- Key Contract Support: Nebius has secured contracts with Microsoft and Meta valued between $17.4 billion and $19.4 billion and $3 billion respectively, ensuring its competitiveness in the AI computing capacity market while laying a foundation for future revenue growth.
- Market Performance Comparison: While Nvidia boasts a market cap exceeding $4 trillion, Nebius's stock surged 202% in 2025, highlighting its rapid growth potential in the AI sector, and it is expected to outpace larger competitors, becoming a focal point for investors.
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- Revenue Growth Exceeds Expectations: Nebius Group's annual revenue run rate target of $1.1 billion for the end of 2025 was surpassed, achieving $1.25 billion, showcasing the company's strong performance in the AI cloud infrastructure sector and solidifying its market position.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company anticipates a sevenfold increase in its revenue run rate for 2026, reflecting confidence in market demand, particularly amid surging needs for AI computing capacity, which may attract more investor interest.
- Data Center Expansion Plans: Nebius plans to achieve over 3 gigawatts of contracted compute capacity by the end of 2026, exceeding prior guidance, indicating robust demand for AI computing capabilities that could drive future revenue growth.
- Positive Market Reaction: Despite Nebius's stock price having tripled last year, it still rose by 8.2% today, demonstrating investor confidence in the company's growth potential, with a market capitalization of approximately $25 billion.
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- Revenue Growth Expectations: Nebius achieved an annual revenue run rate of $1.25 billion by the end of 2025, surpassing the previous guidance of $1.1 billion, indicating strong performance in the AI cloud infrastructure sector, with expectations for a sevenfold increase in 2026 further solidifying its market position.
- Data Center Expansion Plans: The company plans to increase its compute capacity to over 3 gigawatts (GW) by the end of 2026 to meet the surging demand for AI computing, a strategy that will drive future revenue growth and enhance competitive advantages.
- Stock Price Reaction: Nebius's stock price has more than tripled over the past year, and despite a recent pullback, it currently holds a market cap of approximately $25 billion, reflecting positive market expectations for its future growth, with investors needing to monitor demand sustainability into 2027.
- Investment Advice: Despite Nebius's impressive performance, it was not included in Motley Fool's current list of top investment stocks, suggesting that investors should carefully assess market dynamics and the company's outlook before making investment decisions.
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- Market Investment Trend: Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta are set to invest up to $650 billion in AI in 2023, and while their stocks have dipped slightly, investors should focus on AI infrastructure companies that are expected to benefit significantly from this trend.
- Nvidia Earnings Expectations: Nvidia (NVDA) is anticipated to report quarterly earnings on February 25, with expectations of a substantial revenue increase following last year's record revenue of $57 billion, of which $51.2 billion came from its data center segment, indicating strong market demand.
- TSMC's Market Position: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is the preferred foundry for top chipmakers, producing over 11,800 products in 2024, with 63% of its shipments in Q4 2025 being 3nm or 5nm chips, showcasing its leadership in efficient chip manufacturing.
- Nebius Group Expansion Plans: Nebius Group (NBIS) aims to increase its data center connected power from 220 megawatts to between 800 megawatts and 1 gigawatt by the end of 2026, backed by contracts worth up to $19.4 billion with Microsoft and $3 billion with Meta, highlighting its rapid growth potential in AI cloud platform development.
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