Cummins announces Q3 adjusted EPS of $5.59, surpassing consensus estimate of $4.77
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 06 2025
0mins
Should l Buy CMI?
Q3 Financial Performance: Cummins reported Q3 revenue of $8.317 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $7.99 billion, with notable growth in power systems and distribution segments.
Sales Breakdown: Engine sales decreased by 11% to $2.6 billion, components sales fell 15% to $2.3 billion, while distribution sales rose 7% to $3.2 billion and power systems sales increased 18% to $2.0 billion.
Strategic Review: The company is conducting a strategic review of its electrolyzer business within the Accelera segment due to non-cash charges and weaker demand prospects for hydrogen adoption.
CEO's Remarks: Jennifer Rumsey highlighted strong operating results driven by demand for backup power in data centers and effective cost management amid a decline in the North American truck market.
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Analyst Views on CMI
Wall Street analysts forecast CMI stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMI is 538.00 USD with a low forecast of 385.00 USD and a high forecast of 653.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 540.650
Low
385.00
Averages
538.00
High
653.00
Current: 540.650
Low
385.00
Averages
538.00
High
653.00
About CMI
Cummins Inc. is a global power solutions company. The Company’s segments are Components, Engine, Distribution, Power Systems, and Accelera. Components segment designs, manufactures, and supplies products which include axles, drivelines, brakes, and suspension systems. Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas-powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for on and off-highway markets. Distribution segment includes sale and support of a range of products and services, including power generation systems, high-horsepower engines, heavy and medium duty engines, and others. Power Systems segment is a power provider, which designs, manufactures and sells engines for industrial applications, prime power generator sets, alternators, and others. Accelera segment designs, manufactures, sells, and supports electrified power systems with components and subsystems, including battery, fuel cell and electric powertrain and hydrogen production technologies.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Strong Financial Performance: Cummins reported Q4 2025 revenues of $8.5 billion, a 1% increase year-over-year, with EBITDA of $1.2 billion or 13.5% of sales, and $1.4 billion or 16% excluding one-time charges, showcasing resilience despite weak North American truck demand.
- Strategic Investments and Acquisitions: The company acquired First Mode and partnered with Komatsu to accelerate hybrid solutions in mining, while launching the S17 Centum generator set to address urban power needs, indicating a strategic focus on sustainable energy solutions.
- Optimistic Outlook: Projected total company revenues for 2026 are expected to grow by 3% to 8%, with heavy-duty truck demand anticipated to improve in the second half of the year, as production is forecasted between 220,000 and 240,000 units, reflecting potential market recovery.
- Electrolyzer Business Review: Cummins is reviewing its Accelera electrolyzer business to streamline operations and focus investments, with expected net losses projected to decline to between $325 million and $355 million, demonstrating the company's adaptability to shifts in hydrogen market demand.
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- Strong Financial Performance: Cummins reported Q4 2025 revenues of $8.5 billion, a 1% increase year-over-year, with EBITDA of $1.2 billion or 13.5% of sales, and $1.4 billion or 16% excluding one-time charges, showcasing resilience despite weak North American truck demand.
- Strategic Investments and Acquisitions: The company acquired First Mode and partnered with Komatsu to accelerate hybrid solutions in mining, while launching the S17 Centum generator set to address urban power needs, indicating a strategic focus on sustainable energy solutions.
- Optimistic Outlook: Projected total company revenues for 2026 are expected to grow by 3% to 8%, with heavy-duty truck demand anticipated to improve in the second half of the year, as production is forecasted between 220,000 and 240,000 units, reflecting potential market recovery.
- Electrolyzer Business Review: Cummins is reviewing its Accelera electrolyzer business to streamline operations and focus investments, with expected net losses projected to decline to between $325 million and $355 million, demonstrating the company's adaptability to shifts in hydrogen market demand.
See More
Highlights from the Small Cap Growth Virtual Investor Conference
- On-Demand Viewing: Presentations from the Small Cap Growth Virtual Investor Conference held on February 5, 2026, are now available for on-demand viewing for 90 days, enhancing investor engagement and understanding of participating companies.
- 1x1 Meeting Requests: Selected companies are accepting one-on-one management meeting requests until February 10, providing investors with direct access to executives, which could facilitate informed investment decisions and potential capital inflows.
- Diverse Company Participation: The conference featured presentations from various companies, including Betolar Oyj, Envoy Medical Inc., and C-COM Satellite Systems Inc., showcasing a wide range of investment opportunities in the small-cap growth sector, attracting diverse investor interest.
- Advantages of Virtual Conferences: Virtual Investor Conferences offer a real-time interactive platform that enhances connections between companies and investors, improving the investor experience and creating more efficient fundraising and marketing opportunities for participating firms.
See More
CUMMINS: TRUIST SECURITIES INCREASES TARGET PRICE FROM $653 TO $703
- Price Increase Announcement: Cummins has raised its target price from $653 to $703.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects a positive outlook on Cummins' performance and market conditions.
See More
US Stocks Plunge as Tech Sector Leads Decline
- Tech Sector Decline: Qualcomm's (QCOM) forecast of weaker-than-expected Q2 revenue led to an over 8% drop in its stock, triggering a sell-off across the tech sector, with the Nasdaq 100 index hitting a 2.5-month low, indicating waning investor confidence in technology stocks.
- Weak Labor Market Signals: Challenger's report revealed a staggering 117.8% year-over-year increase in job cuts for January, totaling 108,435, the highest for January since 2009, while initial jobless claims rose by 22,000 to 231,000, highlighting vulnerabilities in the US labor market that could hinder economic recovery.
- Bitcoin Plunge: Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) plummeted over 12% to a 1.25-year low, reflecting deepening negative momentum in the cryptocurrency market, with approximately $2 billion flowing out of Bitcoin ETFs in the past month, signaling a decline in investor confidence.
- Earnings Season Impact: Despite 150 S&P 500 companies set to report earnings this week, market focus on economic data intensifies, with S&P 500 earnings expected to grow by 8.4% in Q4, yet overall market sentiment remains suppressed by recent economic weakness.
See More
US Stocks Plunge Sharply, Led by Technology Sector Declines
- Technology Sector Decline: Qualcomm (QCOM) forecasts Q2 revenue between $10.2 billion and $11.0 billion, below the consensus of $11.18 billion, leading to an over 8% drop in its stock and exacerbating the overall decline in the Nasdaq 100 index, heightening market panic.
- Weak Labor Market Signals: Challenger's report shows January job cuts surged 117.8% year-on-year to 108,435, marking the highest level since 2009, indicating fragility in the US labor market and increasing investor concerns about economic outlook.
- Bitcoin Price Crash: Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) is down more than 7% today, hitting a 1.25-year low and falling about 45% from its October record high, reflecting negative sentiment in the cryptocurrency market and a trend of capital outflows.
- Impact of Earnings Season: Despite 150 S&P 500 companies set to report earnings this week and 81% of the 237 companies that have reported exceeding expectations, market concerns over future economic data continue to suppress stock performance, with S&P earnings growth expected to reach 8.4% in Q4.
See More
Significant Stock Movements in Midday Trading
- McKesson Earnings Beat: McKesson's fiscal third-quarter earnings per share exceeded Wall Street's highest estimates, and the adjusted full-year EPS guidance was raised above analyst consensus, leading to a 16% stock price increase, indicating strong performance in the medical supply sector.
- Bob's Discount Furniture IPO: Bob's Discount Furniture debuted on the New York Stock Exchange with shares priced at $17, recently rising 10%, marking a successful entry into the public market and laying the groundwork for future growth.
- Fluence Energy Earnings Miss: Fluence Energy reported first-quarter revenue of $475.2 million, falling short of the $481.2 million consensus, with a per-share loss of 34 cents missing the 21-cent loss estimate, resulting in a 31% stock price drop, reflecting market concerns over its profitability.
- Cardinal Health Guidance Raised: Cardinal Health reported quarterly adjusted earnings of $2.63 per share, exceeding the $2.36 consensus, with revenue of $65.63 billion surpassing the $64.14 billion estimate, leading to an 8% stock price increase, showcasing strong growth potential in the healthcare services sector.
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