Monarch Casino Stock Potential Analysis
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy MCRI?
Source: Fool
- Value Investment Opportunity: Monarch Casino & Resort's stock is undervalued by 44.1% compared to its peers, with a fair value estimated at $141.69 according to renowned investor Peter Lynch, indicating significant appreciation potential in the coming years.
- Strong Market Performance: Despite owning only two casinos, Monarch's stock has outperformed competitors with over 90 casinos in the past five years, demonstrating that size is not the sole determinant of success in the casino industry.
- Geographic Advantages: Monarch's properties in Reno, Nevada, and Black Hawk, Colorado, benefit from strong economic diversity and attract many Californians, increasing disposable income and driving consumer spending and gambling.
- Stable Family Management: As a family-run business, Monarch prioritizes long-term stability over quick gains, avoiding long-term lease obligations and maintaining a cautious acquisition strategy that protects investor interests.
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Analyst Views on MCRI
Wall Street analysts forecast MCRI stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 97.950
Low
91.00
Averages
100.00
High
112.00
Current: 97.950
Low
91.00
Averages
100.00
High
112.00
About MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, a hotel and casino in Reno, Nevada (Atlantis) and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk (Monarch Black Hawk), a hotel and casino in Black Hawk, Colorado. The Monarch Black Hawk features approximately 60,000 square feet of casino space; over 1,000 slot machines; over 43 table games; a live poker room; a keno counter and a sports book. The resort also includes over 10 bars and lounges. The Atlantis is located over three miles south of downtown, which features over 61,000 square feet of casino space; over 817 guest rooms and suites; eight food outlets; two gourmet coffee and pastry bars and one snack bar; a 30,000 square-foot health spa and salon with an enclosed year-round pool: one retail outlet offering clothing and gift shop merchandise; an 8,000 square-foot family entertainment center, and over 52,000 square feet of banquet, convention and meeting room space.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Small Change Drives Big Charitable Impact at Monarch Casino
- Charitable Milestone: Atlantis Casino and Monarch Casino Resort Spa have collectively raised over $1 million through an innovative slot machine change donation program, highlighting Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.'s commitment to community support.
- Technology-Enabled Convenience: Powered by IGT technology, the program features multiple kiosks throughout the casino, allowing guests to easily donate their remaining change to various nonprofit organizations when redeeming slot tickets, enhancing participation ease.
- Significant Daily Donations: On average, both Atlantis and Monarch Black Hawk generate approximately $400 in guest donations daily, demonstrating that even small contributions can accumulate into substantial charitable support, driving community development.
- Strategic Community Engagement: The donation program not only provides vital support to local charities but also enhances customer engagement and social responsibility, further solidifying the brand's image and customer loyalty.
See More
Monarch Casino Stock Potential Analysis
- Value Investment Opportunity: Monarch Casino & Resort's stock is undervalued by 44.1% compared to its peers, with a fair value estimated at $141.69 according to renowned investor Peter Lynch, indicating significant appreciation potential in the coming years.
- Strong Market Performance: Despite owning only two casinos, Monarch's stock has outperformed competitors with over 90 casinos in the past five years, demonstrating that size is not the sole determinant of success in the casino industry.
- Geographic Advantages: Monarch's properties in Reno, Nevada, and Black Hawk, Colorado, benefit from strong economic diversity and attract many Californians, increasing disposable income and driving consumer spending and gambling.
- Stable Family Management: As a family-run business, Monarch prioritizes long-term stability over quick gains, avoiding long-term lease obligations and maintaining a cautious acquisition strategy that protects investor interests.
See More
Monarch Casino Stock Attractiveness Analysis
- Valuation Advantage: Monarch Casino's stock is undervalued by 44.1% compared to its industry, with a fair value of $141.69 based on Peter Lynch's formula, indicating significant growth potential ahead.
- Outstanding Market Performance: Despite owning only two casinos, Monarch's stock has outperformed competitors with over 90 casinos in the past five years, demonstrating that size is not the sole determinant of success in the gaming industry.
- Geographic Location Benefits: Monarch operates in Reno, Nevada, and Black Hawk, Colorado, regions known for economic diversity, attracting many Californians with surplus cash, thus enhancing discretionary spending and gambling opportunities.
- Stable Family Management: As a family-run business, Monarch prioritizes long-term stability over short-term gains, avoiding long-term lease obligations, which provides investors with an added layer of security.
See More
Gaming Industry Faces Pressure and Opportunities Amid Economic Challenges
- Consumer Spending Pressure: Strained consumer discretionary spending due to inflation and rising costs is limiting casino visitation and online betting activity, directly impacting revenue growth, particularly in regional markets reliant on local spending.
- Increased Regulatory Pressure: The U.S. gaming industry faces heightened regulatory scrutiny and higher tax burdens, with many state governments imposing stricter compliance requirements and tax rates to boost public revenues, compressing operator margins and increasing operational costs.
- Macau Revenue Growth: Macau's gaming revenues reached MOP 20.6 billion ($2.56 billion) in February 2026, reflecting a 4.5% year-over-year increase, despite a decline from January's MOP 22.6 billion, indicating signs of market recovery amidst challenges.
- Sports Betting Driving Growth: The legalization of sports betting across multiple states has driven industry growth, with consumers benefiting from the convenience of placing wagers via digital platforms, which is expected to further enhance the performance of related companies.
See More
Monarch Casino Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.27% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially appealing to investors seeking stable returns.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 16, with a record date of March 2 and an ex-dividend date also set for March 2, ensuring shareholders receive their earnings promptly.
- Financial Health: The dividend distribution aligns with Monarch's historical earnings data, demonstrating the company's ongoing ability to maintain shareholder returns and enhancing market confidence in its future performance.
See More
Monarch Casino Q4 Earnings Report Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Monarch Casino & Resort reported a GAAP EPS of $1.25 for Q4, missing expectations by $0.12, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $140 million in Q4, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $0.61 million, demonstrating resilience in a competitive market.
- Valuation Analysis: Despite revenue growth, analysts suggest that Monarch Casino's valuation is nearly fair, indicating limited upside potential for future stock price appreciation, which may affect long-term investor sentiment.
- Market Reaction: The earnings miss may dampen market confidence in the company's future performance, prompting investors to closely monitor subsequent strategic adjustments and market developments.
See More
Small Change Drives Big Charitable Impact at Monarch Casino
- Charitable Milestone: Atlantis Casino and Monarch Casino Resort Spa have collectively raised over $1 million through an innovative slot machine change donation program, highlighting Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.'s commitment to community support.
- Technology-Enabled Convenience: Powered by IGT technology, the program features multiple kiosks throughout the casino, allowing guests to easily donate their remaining change to various nonprofit organizations when redeeming slot tickets, enhancing participation ease.
- Significant Daily Donations: On average, both Atlantis and Monarch Black Hawk generate approximately $400 in guest donations daily, demonstrating that even small contributions can accumulate into substantial charitable support, driving community development.
- Strategic Community Engagement: The donation program not only provides vital support to local charities but also enhances customer engagement and social responsibility, further solidifying the brand's image and customer loyalty.
See More
Monarch Casino Stock Potential Analysis
- Value Investment Opportunity: Monarch Casino & Resort's stock is undervalued by 44.1% compared to its peers, with a fair value estimated at $141.69 according to renowned investor Peter Lynch, indicating significant appreciation potential in the coming years.
- Strong Market Performance: Despite owning only two casinos, Monarch's stock has outperformed competitors with over 90 casinos in the past five years, demonstrating that size is not the sole determinant of success in the casino industry.
- Geographic Advantages: Monarch's properties in Reno, Nevada, and Black Hawk, Colorado, benefit from strong economic diversity and attract many Californians, increasing disposable income and driving consumer spending and gambling.
- Stable Family Management: As a family-run business, Monarch prioritizes long-term stability over quick gains, avoiding long-term lease obligations and maintaining a cautious acquisition strategy that protects investor interests.
See More
Monarch Casino Stock Attractiveness Analysis
- Valuation Advantage: Monarch Casino's stock is undervalued by 44.1% compared to its industry, with a fair value of $141.69 based on Peter Lynch's formula, indicating significant growth potential ahead.
- Outstanding Market Performance: Despite owning only two casinos, Monarch's stock has outperformed competitors with over 90 casinos in the past five years, demonstrating that size is not the sole determinant of success in the gaming industry.
- Geographic Location Benefits: Monarch operates in Reno, Nevada, and Black Hawk, Colorado, regions known for economic diversity, attracting many Californians with surplus cash, thus enhancing discretionary spending and gambling opportunities.
- Stable Family Management: As a family-run business, Monarch prioritizes long-term stability over short-term gains, avoiding long-term lease obligations, which provides investors with an added layer of security.
See More
Gaming Industry Faces Pressure and Opportunities Amid Economic Challenges
- Consumer Spending Pressure: Strained consumer discretionary spending due to inflation and rising costs is limiting casino visitation and online betting activity, directly impacting revenue growth, particularly in regional markets reliant on local spending.
- Increased Regulatory Pressure: The U.S. gaming industry faces heightened regulatory scrutiny and higher tax burdens, with many state governments imposing stricter compliance requirements and tax rates to boost public revenues, compressing operator margins and increasing operational costs.
- Macau Revenue Growth: Macau's gaming revenues reached MOP 20.6 billion ($2.56 billion) in February 2026, reflecting a 4.5% year-over-year increase, despite a decline from January's MOP 22.6 billion, indicating signs of market recovery amidst challenges.
- Sports Betting Driving Growth: The legalization of sports betting across multiple states has driven industry growth, with consumers benefiting from the convenience of placing wagers via digital platforms, which is expected to further enhance the performance of related companies.
See More
Monarch Casino Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.27% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially appealing to investors seeking stable returns.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 16, with a record date of March 2 and an ex-dividend date also set for March 2, ensuring shareholders receive their earnings promptly.
- Financial Health: The dividend distribution aligns with Monarch's historical earnings data, demonstrating the company's ongoing ability to maintain shareholder returns and enhancing market confidence in its future performance.
See More
Monarch Casino Q4 Earnings Report Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Monarch Casino & Resort reported a GAAP EPS of $1.25 for Q4, missing expectations by $0.12, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $140 million in Q4, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $0.61 million, demonstrating resilience in a competitive market.
- Valuation Analysis: Despite revenue growth, analysts suggest that Monarch Casino's valuation is nearly fair, indicating limited upside potential for future stock price appreciation, which may affect long-term investor sentiment.
- Market Reaction: The earnings miss may dampen market confidence in the company's future performance, prompting investors to closely monitor subsequent strategic adjustments and market developments.
See More
