Mobileye Short Interest Rises to 25.7%
Welcome to this week's installment of "The Short Interest Report" - The Fly's weekly recap of short interest trends among some of the most widely followed high-short-float stocks. Using the data from our partner, which utilizes the latest information from stock lenders to estimate short interest changes for thousands of publicly traded companies, this report will screen for some of biggest changes in short interest as a percentage of free float and days-to-cover ratios while also considering the short interest data on some of the more volatile and heavier-traded names of the week. Based on the availability of data from Ortex, the report tracks the trading period that covers prior Friday through Thursday of this week, excluding holidays. As a basis of comparison for stocks discussed below, the S&P 500 index was up 0.8%, the Nasdaq Composite was up 1.1%, the Russell 2000 index was down 2.4%, the Russell 2000 Growth ETFwas down 3.1%, and the Russell 2000 Value ETFwas down 1.6% in the five-day trading session range through January 29.SHORT INTEREST GAINERSFollowing a week-long plateau in the first week of January which coincided with some aggressive buying of the stock following its acquisition of Mentee - along with a hardly-well-timed upgrade from JPMorgan - Ortex-reported short interest on Mobileyehas been rising for three consecutive weeks just as the stock sharply reversed those gains. This week, shorts as a percentage of free float rose from 22% to 25.7% - a three-month high. Days-to-cover on the name was little changed at 2.9 however, reflecting significant increase in trading activity this year. Shares of Mobileye were also down about 12% in the five-day period covered through Thursday and, along with Friday's 3% drop, the stock is now down 14% year-to-date.Ortex-reported short interest on Cheesecake Factorytroughed around 17% in mid-January, though this week, bearish positioning on the name has exploded to the upside. Shorts as a percentage of free float in the stock jumped from 17.7% to 21.5% - a three-month high – while days-to-cover nudged higher to 16.0 from 15.0, all despite relatively little fluctuation in trading volume and the absence of any news catalysts. The stock was down just 0.7% in the five-day period covered and has largely preserved its strong 15% start to 2026, which is also the best performance in the Restaurant group among stocks with a market cap over $2B.Ortex-reported short interest in Sphere Entertainmenthad fallen to 17-month low of about 24% early in the week but spiked to a one-month high above 28% on Tuesday, remaining level for the balance of the week. Days-to-cover on the name is down slightly at 7.1 vs. 7.4 prior. Sphere Entertainment has celebrated a $260M ticket sales milestone for it Wizard of Oz showcase in Las Vegas earlier this month, and the stock has had an impressive and rapid run-up of over 150% from its mid-August lows before this week's 2.1% slide in the five-day period covered, with increase in bearishness potentially indicative of greater reluctance to spend on entertainment – even at the higher end of the scale - among consumers, as well as the reluctance among investors to underwrite the risk for a loss-making company.SHORT INTEREST DECLINERSOrtex-reported short interest in Navitas Semiconductorhad peaked in the first week of December just shy of 30% and has tracked south into the mid-20s through the third week of January, though over the past few days, bearish positioning has been culled more aggressively. This week, shorts as a percentage of free float on the name was down from 23.6% to about 17% - the lowest level since mid-June. Days-to-cover on Navitas was little changed around 2.3%, balancing the increase in trading volume so far this year against the roll-off in mid-October trading volume spike that also coincided with the stock doubling over a period of just one week. Shares of Navitas were off by 16.2% in the five-day period covered through Thursday, though year-to-date, the chip stock is still up about 20%.
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- Investor Event Schedule: Mobileye is set to participate in several investor events in Q1 2026, including the Wolfe Research Auto and Semiconductor Conference on February 11, the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference on March 4, and the Loop Capital Markets Investor Conference on March 10, showcasing its leadership in the autonomous driving sector.
- Webcast Plans: Mobileye plans to webcast its 'fireside chats' when possible, with specific timings to be announced closer to the events, which not only enhances investor engagement but also boosts company transparency and market trust.
- Technological Leadership: Since its founding in 1999, Mobileye has enabled the deployment of over 230 million vehicles equipped with EyeQ technology, leveraging its expertise in AI, computer vision, and integrated software and hardware to solidify its market leadership in ADAS and AV systems.
- Impact of Independent Listing: Following its independent listing from Intel in 2022, Mobileye continues to attract investor interest, and is expected to drive the large-scale adoption of autonomous driving solutions through its innovative technologies and market strategies.
Robots on the Rise: The article discusses the increasing presence and capabilities of robots in various sectors, hinting at a potential future where they play a dominant role.
Technological Advancements: It highlights the rapid advancements in robotics technology that are bringing us closer to a future where robots could significantly impact daily life and work environments.
Robots on the Rise: The development of robots is advancing rapidly, suggesting a potential future where they play a significant role in society.
Implications of Robot Integration: The increasing presence of robots raises questions about their impact on various aspects of life, including work and daily activities.
- Strong Earnings: The Big Four U.S. banks (JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Bank of America) all exceeded expectations, with Bank of America reporting an 11 basis point year-over-year increase in net interest margin and projecting 5-7% growth in net interest income this year.
- Surge in Trading Revenue: Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs reported 40% and 23% increases in equities trading revenue, respectively, indicating robust performance in investment banking amid market volatility, which reflects an overall increase in market confidence.
- Proposed Interest Rate Cap: The Trump administration's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% could force credit card companies to drop high-risk customers, potentially leading to reduced consumer spending and bank profits, with broad economic implications.
- Cautious Investor Sentiment: Despite strong performance in investment banking, analysts express caution regarding IPOs and M&A activity, suggesting that in the current market environment, there may be risks of poor acquisitions that could harm shareholder value.
- Remote Operator Demand: Goldman Sachs estimates that one remote operator is needed for every three robotaxis currently, highlighting the reliance on human intervention for complex situations, which hampers commercialization efforts.
- Technological Innovation Outlook: Mobileye's proposed 'fast-think, slow-think' architecture aims to enable one operator to manage 10 robotaxis by 2030 and 35 by 2040, significantly reducing operational costs and enhancing scalability.
- Safety Decision Optimization: Mobileye's system perceives the environment 10 times per second to ensure rapid responses in emergencies while leveraging cloud-based AI for complex decision-making, improving the mean time between interventions and reducing reliance on remote operators.
- Market Potential Enhancement: Mobileye's partnership with Volkswagen aims to deploy 100,000 robotaxis by 2033, with an expected automotive revenue pipeline of $24.5 billion over the next eight years, reflecting a 42% increase over the past three years and laying the groundwork for the economic viability of robotaxis.
- Analyst Price Target Cuts: Raymond James lowered Mobileye's price target from $19 to $16 while maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, indicating that despite FY26 guidance suggesting a transition year, there is potential for upside in late 2026.
- Poor Financial Performance: Mobileye reported Q4 revenue of $446 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $431.85 million by about 3%, but posted a net loss of $127 million, significantly higher than the $71 million loss in the same period last year, highlighting financial pressures.
- Market Reaction: Following a series of price target cuts from analysts, Mobileye's shares fell nearly 7% on Friday, reflecting market concerns about the company's future performance, particularly after FY26 earnings guidance came in lower than expected.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Despite the stock price decline, retail sentiment around MBLY shares on Stocktwits shifted from 'neutral' to 'bullish', indicating some investors' confidence in the company's future potential, even as the stock has dropped over 41% in the past year.











