Major Averages Decline Amid Rising Oil Prices
The major averages were broadly lower near noon amid a sharp increase in oil prices and bond yields following the latest developments out of the Middle East. Brent crude pushed back above $105 per barrel after Iran rejected ceasefire proposals, with tensions around the Strait of Hormuz intensifying. Markets are firmly back in risk-off mode as the brief relief trade from earlier in the week gives way to renewed escalation in the Middle East and a fresh surge in energy prices.In response to Iran's rejection, President Donald Trump took to social media to say that Iran "better get serious soon," going so far as to label Iranian negotiators as "very different" and "strange." Meanwhile, Gulf countries issued a joint statement condemning Iran's "criminal" strikes from Iraqi territory on their energy infrastructure.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:Corebridgeand Equitable Holdingsin an all-stock mergerMemory stocks, including Micronand Sandisk,amid concerns about Google'scompression techniqueJefferiesreportedthat were buoyed by investment banking, but marred by losses on loans to collapsed companies First Brands and MFSMillerKnollreportedand provided a conservative outlook for Q4Worthington Steelreported2. WALL STREET CALLS:NeedhamArmto Buy with "high-stake bets" paying offAdobewith Market Perform from Outperform at William BlairQualcommto Market Perform from Outperform at BernsteinRobinhoodwith a Buy at JefferiesDaiwa sees Spotifymaintaining high growth,at Outperform3. AROUND THE WEB:President Trump has named MetaCEO Mark Zuckerberg, OracleExecutive Chairman Larry Ellison, NvidiaCEO Jensen Huang, and others to the Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, co-chaired by David Sacks, WSJ saysNvidiabacked startup Reflection is in discussions to raise $2.5B at a valuation of $25B, WSJ saysWorsening supply constraints of Inteland AMDCPUs are adding a fresh blow to PC and server makers already hammered by an unprecedented memory chip shortage, Nikkei Asia saysThe release of Meta'snew Ray-Ban smart glasses in the European Union has been hampered by battery and AI regulations as well as supply constraints, Bloomberg reportsFannie Maewill soon accept crypto-backed mortgages, a new product from Better Home & Financeand Coinbasethat allows home buyers to pledge crypto when making a down payment, WSJ says4. MOVERS:Olaplexincreases after announcing it will befor $2.06 per share in cashKodiak Sciencesgains after announcements its GLOW2 study of ZenkudaNavanhigher afterand providing guidance for Q1 and FY27Wave Life Scienceslower afterfrom the INLIGHT trialPony AIfalls after, with revenue lower year-over-year5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Lovesacand provided guidance for Q1 and FY27Commercial Metals, with CEO Peter Matt commenting, "The CMC team delivered another strong quarter"Designer Brands, with EPS beating consensusShoe Carnivaland provided guidance for FY26, with interim CEO Cliff Sifford commenting, "Q4 results exceeded consensus expectations"H.B. Fullerand raised its guidance for FY26INDEXES:Near midday, the Dow was down 0.45%, or 206.73, to 46,222.76, the Nasdaq was down 1.04%, or 228.92, to 21,700.91, and the S&P 500 was down 0.79%, or 51.85, to 6,540.05.
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- Market Rally: The S&P 500 rose 1.20% and the Nasdaq 100 increased by 1.29%, reaching all-time highs, reflecting investor optimism regarding US-Iran peace talks, which may enhance risk appetite in the markets.
- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude prices fell over 11% to a five-week low after Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is fully open, easing inflation concerns and causing the 10-year T-note yield to drop 7 basis points to 4.24%.
- Strong Earnings Season: The earnings season started robustly, with 81% of the 48 S&P 500 companies reporting Q1 earnings exceeding estimates, projecting a 12% year-over-year increase in earnings, providing strong support for the stock market.
- Airline Stocks Surge: Airline stocks surged as fuel costs decreased, with Alaska Air Group (ALK) rising over 10% and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) up more than 7%, indicating market confidence in the recovery of the airline industry.
- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 reached a new record high on Friday after Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz was 'completely open,' indicating a significant improvement in market sentiment, while oil prices fell over 10%, with WTI crude dropping to the low $80s, reflecting investor optimism about future economic recovery.
- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: The market is beginning to price in a 25-basis-point cut in December, indicating a reduction in investor concerns about economic slowdown, and the anticipated decline in rates is expected to further stimulate consumption and investment, driving stock market gains.
- Arm Holdings Strategic Shift: Arm recently unveiled its first in-house data center CPU, the AGI CPU, marking a significant transition from solely licensing to designing and selling its own chips, with projections of generating $25 billion in revenue by FY2031, $15 billion of which will come from these in-house chips, showcasing its ambitions in the semiconductor market.
- FedEx Spin-Off Plan: FedEx plans to spin off FedEx Freight on June 1, aiming to enhance the value of both companies through sharper strategic focus, with FedEx Freight being the largest LTL carrier in North America, and a medium-term revenue growth outlook of 4% to 6% expected to further strengthen its market competitiveness.
- New Additions: Jim Cramer added ARM Holdings and FedEx to the Bullpen, with ARM's recent in-house chip launch making it a bullish prospect at $161 per share, while FedEx, up about 30% this year, remains 'dramatically undervalued'.
- FedEx Restructuring: FedEx is spinning off its less-than-truckload unit, FedEx Freight, expected to complete by June 1, a move that typically creates more shareholder value, with Jim praising CEO Raj Subramaniam for navigating a competitive landscape effectively.
- Removed Stocks: Jim removed Airbnb and Marvell Technology from the watchlist, citing Airbnb's episodic performance as a concern, while Marvell's 57% rally in 2026 indicated a missed buying opportunity.
- Market Monitoring: Jim continues to monitor Sempra and RTX Corporation, with Sempra up over 8% year-to-date, while RTX could benefit from increased defense production, with Jim planning to decide post RTX's first-quarter results on April 21.
- Company Announcement: ARM Holdings PLC has raised its price objective to $180 from a previous target of $155.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects a positive outlook on the company's performance and potential growth in the market.
- Market Recovery: On Thursday, the S&P 500 rose by 0.26% and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.49%, reaching new highs, indicating a strong rebound after early losses and reflecting investor confidence in economic recovery.
- Chip Sector Boost: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co raised its 2026 revenue forecast, highlighting strong AI demand, which propelled chipmakers' stock prices, particularly benefiting major suppliers to Nvidia and Apple, further enhancing market optimism.
- Oil Price Impact: Despite the stock market gains, crude oil prices surged over 3%, raising concerns about the Middle East situation and limiting the market's upward momentum, illustrating the potential impact of energy prices on the overall economy.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, exceeding expectations and indicating labor market strength, but unexpected declines in manufacturing production reflect economic uncertainty, which could influence future monetary policy.
- Chipmaker Rebound: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co raised its 2026 revenue forecast, reflecting strong AI demand, which led to a rebound in chipmakers, with ON Semiconductor up over 10% and AMD up over 5%, indicating renewed market confidence in tech stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, below the expected 213,000, suggesting a strong labor market; however, manufacturing production unexpectedly declined by 0.1%, highlighting the unevenness of economic recovery, which could influence future policy decisions.
- Oil Price Surge Impact: WTI crude oil prices rose over 2% due to escalating tensions between Iran and the US, potentially exacerbating global oil and fuel shortages, which negatively affects airline and cruise line profitability, leading to declines in related stocks.
- Earnings Season Begins: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to rise by 12% year-over-year, but excluding the tech sector, growth is only expected at 3%, raising concerns about the profitability of non-tech stocks and potentially impacting investor confidence.











