Lineage Q1 Earnings Preview and Market Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy LINE?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Lineage (LINE) is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on May 6 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.25, reflecting a staggering 2600% year-over-year decline, indicating significant financial challenges ahead for the company.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q1 is $1.32 billion, representing a modest 2.2% year-over-year growth, which, despite the overall sluggishness, demonstrates some resilience in maintaining revenue levels amid adverse conditions.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Over the past three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced two upward revisions and four downward adjustments, suggesting a lack of confidence in Lineage's future performance, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Cost Savings and EBITDA Targets: Lineage aims to achieve $50 million in cost savings and set an EBITDA target of $1.25 billion to $1.3 billion for 2026, as part of its strategy to navigate industry challenges and drive long-term sustainable growth.
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Analyst Views on LINE
Wall Street analysts forecast LINE stock price to fall
15 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
9 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 39.960
Low
32.00
Averages
39.13
High
47.00
Current: 39.960
Low
32.00
Averages
39.13
High
47.00
About LINE
Lineage, Inc. is a global temperature-controlled warehouse real estate investment trust (REIT) with facilities located across countries in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. The Company’s segments include Global Warehousing and Global Integrated Solutions. The Global Warehousing segment utilizes the Company's industrial real estate properties to provide temperature-controlled warehousing services to its customers. This segment offers storage services and related activities, such as handling, case-picking, order assembly, load consolidation, quality control, and other such value-adding services. The Global Integrated Solutions segment includes global warehousing with specialized cold-chain services. This segment includes redistribution services, multivendor less-than-full-truckload consolidation, transportation brokerage, drayage services to and from ports, freight forwarding, rail transportation services, sales of prepared food, and e-commerce fulfillment services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Lineage, Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: Lineage, Inc. reported a 3.3% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $314 million for Q1, despite a year-over-year decline in AFFO to $201 million or $0.78 per share, primarily due to the expiration of interest rate hedges, indicating gradual stabilization amid industry challenges.
- Rental and Revenue Dynamics: Same-store rent, storage, and blast revenue per physical pallet increased by 2.2% year-over-year, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of growth, although same-store physical occupancy declined by 290 basis points to 76.4%, reflecting intensified market competition.
- 2026 Guidance Reaffirmed: Management reiterated 2026 guidance with same-store NOI expected to contract between negative 4% and negative 1%, and AFFO projected at $2.75 to $3 per share, despite challenges from reduced FX support and normalizing costs, demonstrating confidence in achieving midpoint targets.
- Cost Reduction Plan: The company has identified a plan to remove over $50 million in administrative and indirect costs, aiming to realize approximately half of the savings in 2026 and the full benefit in 2027, which is intended to enhance financial flexibility and support future investments and shareholder returns.
See More
Lineage Q1 Earnings Preview and Market Expectations
- Earnings Announcement Date: Lineage (LINE) is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on May 6 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.25, reflecting a staggering 2600% year-over-year decline, indicating significant financial challenges ahead for the company.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q1 is $1.32 billion, representing a modest 2.2% year-over-year growth, which, despite the overall sluggishness, demonstrates some resilience in maintaining revenue levels amid adverse conditions.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Over the past three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced two upward revisions and four downward adjustments, suggesting a lack of confidence in Lineage's future performance, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Cost Savings and EBITDA Targets: Lineage aims to achieve $50 million in cost savings and set an EBITDA target of $1.25 billion to $1.3 billion for 2026, as part of its strategy to navigate industry challenges and drive long-term sustainable growth.
See More
Barclays Downgrades Americold and Lineage Ratings Amid Industry Challenges
- Rating Downgrade: Barclays downgraded Americold and Lineage from Overweight and Equal Weight to Underweight, reflecting persistent challenges in the cold storage industry, with price targets set at $12.00 and $34.00, respectively.
- Market Reaction: Following the downgrade, Lineage shares fell 2.10% to $36.36, while Americold dropped 1.87% to $12.59, indicating investor concerns regarding the industry's outlook.
- Industry Challenges: Analysts highlighted rising fertilizer costs, excess supply, and food inflation as key challenges, predicting greater risk to 2027 consensus estimates, although they do not anticipate a guidance cut.
- Slowed Transaction Volume: The uncertainty has led to a slowdown in leasing and transaction volumes in February and March, which analysts believe could negatively impact Q1 2026 performance, affecting market sentiment and trading multiples.
See More
LINEAGE INC.: BARCLAYS LOWERS RATING TO UNDERWEIGHT FROM EQUAL-WEIGHT
Company Overview: Lineage Inc. is a logistics company focused on temperature-controlled supply chains.
Recent Development: Barclays has reduced its weight rating on Lineage Inc., indicating a more cautious outlook on the company's performance.
See More
LINEAGE INC.: BARCLAYS LOWERS TARGET PRICE FROM $38 TO $34
- Target Price Adjustment: Barclays has reduced the target price for Lineage Logistics from $38 to $34.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects Barclays' updated outlook on Lineage's market performance and potential growth.
See More
Kuehn Law Investigates Lineage Executives for Breach of Fiduciary Duties
- Investigation Background: Kuehn Law, PLLC is investigating whether certain officers and directors of Lineage, Inc. breached their fiduciary duties to shareholders, with allegations in a federal securities lawsuit claiming that executives misrepresented or failed to disclose inflated financial and operational results prior to the IPO.
- Market Distortion Factors: The lawsuit indicates that Lineage's financial data was artificially inflated due to distortions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, increased supply of cold-storage facilities, and unsustainable price hikes imposed by the company, which were not adequately disclosed, potentially leading investors to make misguided decisions.
- Shareholder Rights Protection: Kuehn Law urges shareholders who purchased LINE stock before August 1, 2024, to contact the firm promptly to enforce their rights, highlighting the potential time limitations on the case and emphasizing the importance of shareholder involvement.
- Legal Service Commitment: Kuehn Law commits to covering all case costs for investors without charging fees, aiming to ensure that all shareholders can fairly participate in the legal process to uphold the integrity and fairness of financial markets.
See More
Lineage, Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: Lineage, Inc. reported a 3.3% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $314 million for Q1, despite a year-over-year decline in AFFO to $201 million or $0.78 per share, primarily due to the expiration of interest rate hedges, indicating gradual stabilization amid industry challenges.
- Rental and Revenue Dynamics: Same-store rent, storage, and blast revenue per physical pallet increased by 2.2% year-over-year, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of growth, although same-store physical occupancy declined by 290 basis points to 76.4%, reflecting intensified market competition.
- 2026 Guidance Reaffirmed: Management reiterated 2026 guidance with same-store NOI expected to contract between negative 4% and negative 1%, and AFFO projected at $2.75 to $3 per share, despite challenges from reduced FX support and normalizing costs, demonstrating confidence in achieving midpoint targets.
- Cost Reduction Plan: The company has identified a plan to remove over $50 million in administrative and indirect costs, aiming to realize approximately half of the savings in 2026 and the full benefit in 2027, which is intended to enhance financial flexibility and support future investments and shareholder returns.
See More
Lineage Q1 Earnings Preview and Market Expectations
- Earnings Announcement Date: Lineage (LINE) is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on May 6 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.25, reflecting a staggering 2600% year-over-year decline, indicating significant financial challenges ahead for the company.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q1 is $1.32 billion, representing a modest 2.2% year-over-year growth, which, despite the overall sluggishness, demonstrates some resilience in maintaining revenue levels amid adverse conditions.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Over the past three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced two upward revisions and four downward adjustments, suggesting a lack of confidence in Lineage's future performance, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Cost Savings and EBITDA Targets: Lineage aims to achieve $50 million in cost savings and set an EBITDA target of $1.25 billion to $1.3 billion for 2026, as part of its strategy to navigate industry challenges and drive long-term sustainable growth.
See More
Barclays Downgrades Americold and Lineage Ratings Amid Industry Challenges
- Rating Downgrade: Barclays downgraded Americold and Lineage from Overweight and Equal Weight to Underweight, reflecting persistent challenges in the cold storage industry, with price targets set at $12.00 and $34.00, respectively.
- Market Reaction: Following the downgrade, Lineage shares fell 2.10% to $36.36, while Americold dropped 1.87% to $12.59, indicating investor concerns regarding the industry's outlook.
- Industry Challenges: Analysts highlighted rising fertilizer costs, excess supply, and food inflation as key challenges, predicting greater risk to 2027 consensus estimates, although they do not anticipate a guidance cut.
- Slowed Transaction Volume: The uncertainty has led to a slowdown in leasing and transaction volumes in February and March, which analysts believe could negatively impact Q1 2026 performance, affecting market sentiment and trading multiples.
See More
LINEAGE INC.: BARCLAYS LOWERS RATING TO UNDERWEIGHT FROM EQUAL-WEIGHT
Company Overview: Lineage Inc. is a logistics company focused on temperature-controlled supply chains.
Recent Development: Barclays has reduced its weight rating on Lineage Inc., indicating a more cautious outlook on the company's performance.
See More
LINEAGE INC.: BARCLAYS LOWERS TARGET PRICE FROM $38 TO $34
- Target Price Adjustment: Barclays has reduced the target price for Lineage Logistics from $38 to $34.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects Barclays' updated outlook on Lineage's market performance and potential growth.
See More
Kuehn Law Investigates Lineage Executives for Breach of Fiduciary Duties
- Investigation Background: Kuehn Law, PLLC is investigating whether certain officers and directors of Lineage, Inc. breached their fiduciary duties to shareholders, with allegations in a federal securities lawsuit claiming that executives misrepresented or failed to disclose inflated financial and operational results prior to the IPO.
- Market Distortion Factors: The lawsuit indicates that Lineage's financial data was artificially inflated due to distortions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, increased supply of cold-storage facilities, and unsustainable price hikes imposed by the company, which were not adequately disclosed, potentially leading investors to make misguided decisions.
- Shareholder Rights Protection: Kuehn Law urges shareholders who purchased LINE stock before August 1, 2024, to contact the firm promptly to enforce their rights, highlighting the potential time limitations on the case and emphasizing the importance of shareholder involvement.
- Legal Service Commitment: Kuehn Law commits to covering all case costs for investors without charging fees, aiming to ensure that all shareholders can fairly participate in the legal process to uphold the integrity and fairness of financial markets.
See More
