JPM's Leading Selections for Year of the Horse Among Chinese Consumers: Laopu, Gu Ming, Miniso, Yum China, and Pop Mart
Investment Themes for China's Consumer Sector: Key themes for 2026 include lukewarm end-demand with potential policy stimulus, accelerated industry consolidation due to price deflation, a focus on design and social value among younger consumers, overseas expansion to counter domestic growth weaknesses, and challenges/opportunities from an aging population.
Top Buy Picks by JPMorgan: Recommended stocks include LAOPU GOLD for its gold price and expansion potential, Luckin Coffee for market share and digitization, GUMING for regional diversification, MNSO for strong products and store expansion, Yum China for robust performance, and POP MART for its growth potential and valuation.
Stocks to Avoid: JPMorgan advises against investing in BUD APAC and YANGHE due to their poor performance and high short-selling ratios.
Market Insights: The report highlights the importance of understanding market dynamics, including short-selling data and stock performance, to make informed investment decisions in the evolving consumer landscape.
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HSI Rises Over 600 Points; Tea Beverage Stocks Remain Weak; MIXUE Declines by 10%
Hong Kong Stock Market Performance: The Hong Kong bourse experienced a rally on the 28th, with the HSI reaching a 4.5-year high of 27,757, up 630 points or 2.3%, and a turnover of HK$176.495 million.
MIXUE GROUP Stock Decline: MIXUE GROUP's stock opened 2.5% lower and fell to HK$396, down 10.6%, following a downgrade by UBS, which cited potential short-term pressures and reduced profit forecasts.
Pressure on Tea Beverage Stocks: Several tea beverage stocks, including CHABAIDAO and GUMING, faced declines of 2-3%, diverging from the overall market trend.
Short Selling Activity: The short selling ratios for various stocks, including MIXUE GROUP and others in the tea beverage sector, indicate increased market skepticism, with significant short selling reported.
<Research>SPDBI Identifies Certain H Shares with Increased Market Capitalization at Lock-up Period's Conclusion in the Coming Year (Table)
Stock Performance Overview: Various Hong Kong stocks showed mixed performance, with ZIJIN GOLD INTL and MINIMAX-WP experiencing significant gains, while others like GUMING and CHERY AUTO faced declines.
Short Selling Data: Short selling activity varied across stocks, with FWD showing a high short selling ratio of 16.999%, while NANSHAN AL INTL had a notably low ratio of 0.135%.
Market Capitalization Insights: The market capitalization at the end of the lock-up periods for these stocks ranges from 21.4 billion to 406.6 billion, indicating varying levels of investor interest and company valuations.
Future Lock-up Dates: Key lock-up expiration dates for these stocks are set between early 2026 and late 2026, which may impact trading strategies and stock performance as these dates approach.
