JPM Predicts TENCENT Will Gain the Most from DeepSeek's Latest Version Update
Chinese New Year Impact: JPMorgan highlights the Chinese New Year as a crucial release window for consumer tech in China, particularly for the new version of DeepSeek, which could enhance AI's economic viability in consumer products.
Potential Beneficiaries: TENCENT is expected to benefit the most from the new DeepSeek version, followed by companies like TRIP.COM, KUAISHOU, and BEKE, while the effects on BABA and BIDU are anticipated to be mixed.
Independent Model Manufacturers: Companies like KNOWLEDGE ATLAS and MINIMAX are expected to signal their capabilities and technology advancements rather than immediately capturing customers with their new models.
Market Dynamics: The report includes short selling data for various companies, indicating market sentiment and potential volatility surrounding these tech stocks.
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Market Opening: The HSI opened 1.9% lower at 24,789, with the HSCEI down 1.6% at 8,433 and HSTECH down 1.9% at 4,780.
Tech Stock Performance: Major tech stocks like TENCENT, BABA-W, and JD-SW experienced declines, with short selling ratios indicating significant market pressure.
Commodities Stocks Decline: Commodities stocks, including ZHAOJIN MINING and CHINAGOLDINTL, saw notable decreases, despite some companies reporting increased profits.
Short Selling Trends: A variety of stocks faced heavy short selling, with ratios for several companies exceeding 15%, reflecting bearish sentiment in the market.
Market Overview: The HSI opened slightly lower at 25,436, while the HSCEI and HSTECH saw minor gains, indicating mixed market sentiment.
Bank Performance: Major banks like HSBC and Standard Chartered experienced declines, with HSBC down 2.7% and Standard Chartered down 1.3%, amidst significant short selling activity.
Gold and Mining Stocks: Spot gold prices fell below USD 5,000, leading to losses in gold mining stocks such as Lingbao Gold and Zijin Mining, which dropped between 1.8% and 4.6%.
Tech Stock Movements: Tech stocks showed varied performance, with Tencent and Meituan gaining, while Baidu and Bilibili saw slight declines, reflecting a mixed outlook in the technology sector.

Market Performance: The HSI closed down 123 points (0.5%) at 25,593, with significant declines in major financial stocks like HSBC and Standard Chartered, while the total market turnover reached HKD126.059 billion.
Sector Movements: Oil stocks like PetroChina and CNOOC saw gains due to rising oil prices, while gold stocks and airlines experienced declines amid fluctuating market conditions.
Corporate Developments: Swire Group plans to raise HKD1.79 billion by selling a stake in Cathay Pacific, which saw a drop in its stock price, while Swire Pacific A's stock rose after announcing an increased dividend.
Tech Stock Trends: Major tech companies like Tencent and Alibaba saw slight increases, while others like Meituan and Kuaishou experienced minor declines, reflecting mixed performance in the tech sector.

Changing Competitive Landscape: The tech model landscape is evolving rapidly, with model rankings shifting quarterly, indicating a fast-paced environment according to Haitong International's research report.
Stabilization of Market Participants: Unlike the initial surge of LLM startups during the rise of ChatGPT, the current market participants are more stable, suggesting a maturation of the competitive environment.
Potential for Growth: Haitong International believes that a more predictable competitive environment will enhance the prospects for companies like MINIMAX-WP and KNOWLEDGE ATLAS to thrive and potentially play significant roles in the AI era.
Broker Coverage Initiation: The broker has initiated coverage on KNOWLEDGE ATLAS and MINIMAX-WP with an Outperform rating, setting target prices of HKD860 and HKD1,400 respectively.

Market Opening: The Hong Kong bourse opened lower, with the HSI down 0.5% at 25,583, influenced by Iran's continued shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz.
Tech Sector Performance: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and BABA-W opened flat or slightly lower, while NTES-S saw a 1.9% increase.
Commodity Prices: Brent oil futures rose above USD100, with PETROCHINA and CNOOC opening higher, while gold prices dropped by 1% due to weakened expectations for interest rate cuts.
Company Earnings: OOIL reported a significant drop in net profit by 41%, leading to a 3.4% decline in its stock price, while POP MART's collaboration with Sanrio sold out quickly, impacting its stock negatively.

Market Performance: The HSI fell by 182 points (0.7%) to close at 25,716, with total market turnover at $242.18 billion. The HSCEI and HSTECH also experienced slight declines.
Stock Highlights: KUNLUN ENERGY and CNOOC saw gains of 2.4% and 3.7% respectively, while coal stocks YANKUANG ENERGY and CHINA COAL surged by 8.3% and 4.9%.
Sector Movements: New energy stocks like DATANG RENEW and GOLDWIND rose by 8.2% and 7.2%, while traditional power utility DATANG POWER increased by 5.1%.
Tech Sector Trends: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and BABA-W declined, with TENCENT dropping 0.996%. In contrast, JD-SW gained 0.8%, while AI stocks faced significant losses, with KNOWLEDGE ATLAS plunging 8.9%.







