Indian PM Urges Public to Avoid Gold Purchases for a Year
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 11 2026
0mins
Source: Newsfilter
- Gold Demand Restrictions: Indian Prime Minister Modi's call for citizens to refrain from gold purchases for a year to protect foreign exchange reserves has sparked fears of potential tariff hikes, leading to a 6% to 8% drop in jewelry retailers' shares on Monday.
- Import Dependency Intensifies: As the world's second-largest gold consumer, India relies almost entirely on imports to meet its demand, particularly during wedding seasons when gold jewelry is a crucial part of bridal attire and a popular gift from family and friends.
- Balance of Payments Pressure: The ongoing Iran war has caused oil prices to surge, with India's balance of payments expected to deteriorate sharply this fiscal year to a deficit of $66 billion to $70 billion, compared to an estimated $26 billion to $28 billion in 2025-26, further increasing pressure on the rupee.
- Policy Uncertainty: While jewelers fear that the government may raise gold import duties to curb imports, a government source has indicated that there are no plans to do so; however, the uncertainty surrounding future policies continues to affect investor confidence.
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Analyst Views on TITN
Wall Street analysts forecast TITN stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 18.700
Low
21.00
Averages
23.00
High
25.00
Current: 18.700
Low
21.00
Averages
23.00
High
25.00
About TITN
Titan Machinery Inc. owns and operates a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment dealer locations in North America, Europe, and Australia servicing farmers, ranchers, and commercial applicators. The Company operates through segments: Agriculture, Construction, Europe, and Australia. It offers equipment and parts sales, equipment repair and maintenance services, and rental functions in each store. It sells new agricultural and construction equipment manufactured under the CNH Industrial family of brands as well as equipment from a variety of other manufacturers. The agricultural equipment it sells and services includes machinery and attachments for uses ranging from large-scale commercial farming to home and garden purposes. The construction equipment it sells and services includes heavy construction machinery, light industrial machinery for commercial and residential construction, and road and highway construction machinery.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Indian PM Urges Public to Avoid Gold Purchases for a Year
- Gold Demand Restrictions: Indian Prime Minister Modi's call for citizens to refrain from gold purchases for a year to protect foreign exchange reserves has sparked fears of potential tariff hikes, leading to a 6% to 8% drop in jewelry retailers' shares on Monday.
- Import Dependency Intensifies: As the world's second-largest gold consumer, India relies almost entirely on imports to meet its demand, particularly during wedding seasons when gold jewelry is a crucial part of bridal attire and a popular gift from family and friends.
- Balance of Payments Pressure: The ongoing Iran war has caused oil prices to surge, with India's balance of payments expected to deteriorate sharply this fiscal year to a deficit of $66 billion to $70 billion, compared to an estimated $26 billion to $28 billion in 2025-26, further increasing pressure on the rupee.
- Policy Uncertainty: While jewelers fear that the government may raise gold import duties to curb imports, a government source has indicated that there are no plans to do so; however, the uncertainty surrounding future policies continues to affect investor confidence.
See More
Titan's Quarterly Profit Falls Short of Expectations
- Profit Miss: Titan reported a quarterly profit of 11.79 billion rupees ($124.60 million) for the quarter ending March 31, falling short of market expectations of 13.92 billion rupees, indicating a decline in profitability under rising cost pressures.
- Rising Costs Impact: Titan's total expenses surged 85% year-over-year to 255.79 billion rupees due to higher raw material costs and increased advertising spending, further squeezing the company's profit margins.
- Sales Growth: Despite challenges, Titan's product sales rose to 206.07 billion rupees from 138.97 billion rupees a year earlier, indicating stable consumer demand for gold ornaments and coins.
- Market Environment Pressure: The rise in gold prices over the past 12 months, coupled with geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, has heightened inflation fears, impacting jewellers' margins, even as consumer foot traffic to Titan stores remains strong.
See More
Titan Machinery Q4 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Inventory Management Success: Titan Machinery successfully reduced inventory by over $200 million in fiscal 2026, achieving a total reduction of $625 million, which surpasses initial targets and demonstrates the company's strong execution and resilience in preparation for improved market conditions.
- Revenue Decline Trend: Total revenue for Q4 2026 was $641.8 million, reflecting a 14.6% year-over-year decrease primarily driven by weaker demand in domestic agriculture, construction, and Europe, although the Australian segment showed growth, indicating overall industry challenges.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management guided for a 15% to 20% decline in domestic agriculture revenue for fiscal 2027, while the construction segment is expected to be flat to up 5%, reflecting a cautious stance on market recovery amid the exit from Germany and normalization in Romania.
- Improved Profitability: Despite facing challenges, the projected equipment margin for fiscal 2027 is expected to rise from 7.3% to 8.4%, with operating expenses anticipated to decrease to approximately 17% of sales, highlighting the company's proactive efforts in cost control and profitability enhancement.
See More
Titan Machinery Reports Q4 Earnings Miss with Revenue Beat
- Earnings Performance: Titan Machinery reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of -$1.43, missing estimates by $0.43, indicating challenges in profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Overview: The company's total revenue for Q4 was $641.8M, down 15.5% year-over-year, although it beat market expectations by $26.27M; however, the ongoing revenue decline may pose pressure on future growth.
- Equipment Revenue: Equipment revenue fell to $501.5M from $621.8M last year, reflecting weak market demand that may necessitate strategic adjustments in equipment sales.
- Parts and Service Revenue: Parts revenue slightly increased to $91.1M, while service revenue dipped to $36.1M, demonstrating resilience in parts sales, but the decline in service revenue could impact overall profitability.
See More
Titan Machinery Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 19
- Earnings Announcement Date: Titan Machinery is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 19 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$1.00, reflecting a significant 153.2% year-over-year decline, indicating substantial profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Forecast: The anticipated revenue for Q4 stands at $615.53 million, representing a 19.0% year-over-year decrease, which highlights the overall industry weakness and the challenges Titan faces in the market, potentially impacting investor confidence moving forward.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Titan Machinery has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, although recent downward revisions in estimates suggest a shift in market perception regarding its future performance.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, with revenue estimates also seeing no upward revisions and one downward revision, indicating a weakening analyst outlook on the company's future earnings potential.
See More
Baird Downgrades Titan Machinery, Anticipating Continued Challenges and Limited Earnings Growth Next Year
Baird Downgrade: Titan Machinery's shares fell 9.3% after Baird downgraded them to Neutral from Outperform, citing challenges in FY 2027 due to expected declines in both U.S. and European agricultural segments.
Market Conditions: Deere's forecast of a 15%-20% decline in Large Ag volumes for CY 2026, which corresponds to Titan's FY 2027, suggests that growth in Small Ag won't sufficiently offset losses, particularly as European subsidies diminish.
Inventory Adjustments: Titan has successfully reduced equipment inventories by nearly 40% from peak levels, which has helped the stock recover some value, with a 31% year-to-date increase despite ongoing earnings pressure.
Valuation Outlook: The current valuation of Titan Machinery is deemed more appropriate by analysts, considering the anticipated further compression of earnings and book value in the challenging agricultural market.
See More
Indian PM Urges Public to Avoid Gold Purchases for a Year
- Gold Demand Restrictions: Indian Prime Minister Modi's call for citizens to refrain from gold purchases for a year to protect foreign exchange reserves has sparked fears of potential tariff hikes, leading to a 6% to 8% drop in jewelry retailers' shares on Monday.
- Import Dependency Intensifies: As the world's second-largest gold consumer, India relies almost entirely on imports to meet its demand, particularly during wedding seasons when gold jewelry is a crucial part of bridal attire and a popular gift from family and friends.
- Balance of Payments Pressure: The ongoing Iran war has caused oil prices to surge, with India's balance of payments expected to deteriorate sharply this fiscal year to a deficit of $66 billion to $70 billion, compared to an estimated $26 billion to $28 billion in 2025-26, further increasing pressure on the rupee.
- Policy Uncertainty: While jewelers fear that the government may raise gold import duties to curb imports, a government source has indicated that there are no plans to do so; however, the uncertainty surrounding future policies continues to affect investor confidence.
See More
Titan's Quarterly Profit Falls Short of Expectations
- Profit Miss: Titan reported a quarterly profit of 11.79 billion rupees ($124.60 million) for the quarter ending March 31, falling short of market expectations of 13.92 billion rupees, indicating a decline in profitability under rising cost pressures.
- Rising Costs Impact: Titan's total expenses surged 85% year-over-year to 255.79 billion rupees due to higher raw material costs and increased advertising spending, further squeezing the company's profit margins.
- Sales Growth: Despite challenges, Titan's product sales rose to 206.07 billion rupees from 138.97 billion rupees a year earlier, indicating stable consumer demand for gold ornaments and coins.
- Market Environment Pressure: The rise in gold prices over the past 12 months, coupled with geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, has heightened inflation fears, impacting jewellers' margins, even as consumer foot traffic to Titan stores remains strong.
See More
Titan Machinery Q4 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Inventory Management Success: Titan Machinery successfully reduced inventory by over $200 million in fiscal 2026, achieving a total reduction of $625 million, which surpasses initial targets and demonstrates the company's strong execution and resilience in preparation for improved market conditions.
- Revenue Decline Trend: Total revenue for Q4 2026 was $641.8 million, reflecting a 14.6% year-over-year decrease primarily driven by weaker demand in domestic agriculture, construction, and Europe, although the Australian segment showed growth, indicating overall industry challenges.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management guided for a 15% to 20% decline in domestic agriculture revenue for fiscal 2027, while the construction segment is expected to be flat to up 5%, reflecting a cautious stance on market recovery amid the exit from Germany and normalization in Romania.
- Improved Profitability: Despite facing challenges, the projected equipment margin for fiscal 2027 is expected to rise from 7.3% to 8.4%, with operating expenses anticipated to decrease to approximately 17% of sales, highlighting the company's proactive efforts in cost control and profitability enhancement.
See More
Titan Machinery Reports Q4 Earnings Miss with Revenue Beat
- Earnings Performance: Titan Machinery reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of -$1.43, missing estimates by $0.43, indicating challenges in profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Overview: The company's total revenue for Q4 was $641.8M, down 15.5% year-over-year, although it beat market expectations by $26.27M; however, the ongoing revenue decline may pose pressure on future growth.
- Equipment Revenue: Equipment revenue fell to $501.5M from $621.8M last year, reflecting weak market demand that may necessitate strategic adjustments in equipment sales.
- Parts and Service Revenue: Parts revenue slightly increased to $91.1M, while service revenue dipped to $36.1M, demonstrating resilience in parts sales, but the decline in service revenue could impact overall profitability.
See More
Titan Machinery Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 19
- Earnings Announcement Date: Titan Machinery is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 19 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$1.00, reflecting a significant 153.2% year-over-year decline, indicating substantial profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Forecast: The anticipated revenue for Q4 stands at $615.53 million, representing a 19.0% year-over-year decrease, which highlights the overall industry weakness and the challenges Titan faces in the market, potentially impacting investor confidence moving forward.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Titan Machinery has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, although recent downward revisions in estimates suggest a shift in market perception regarding its future performance.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, with revenue estimates also seeing no upward revisions and one downward revision, indicating a weakening analyst outlook on the company's future earnings potential.
See More
Baird Downgrades Titan Machinery, Anticipating Continued Challenges and Limited Earnings Growth Next Year
Baird Downgrade: Titan Machinery's shares fell 9.3% after Baird downgraded them to Neutral from Outperform, citing challenges in FY 2027 due to expected declines in both U.S. and European agricultural segments.
Market Conditions: Deere's forecast of a 15%-20% decline in Large Ag volumes for CY 2026, which corresponds to Titan's FY 2027, suggests that growth in Small Ag won't sufficiently offset losses, particularly as European subsidies diminish.
Inventory Adjustments: Titan has successfully reduced equipment inventories by nearly 40% from peak levels, which has helped the stock recover some value, with a 31% year-to-date increase despite ongoing earnings pressure.
Valuation Outlook: The current valuation of Titan Machinery is deemed more appropriate by analysts, considering the anticipated further compression of earnings and book value in the challenging agricultural market.
See More
