Hudbay Minerals Reports Significant Q4 Earnings Growth
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy HBM?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Earnings Surge: Hudbay Minerals reported a net income of $128 million for Q4, translating to $0.32 per share, a substantial increase from last year's $21.2 million and $0.05 per share, indicating a strong improvement in profitability.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The adjusted EBITDA rose to $385.9 million from $257.3 million last year, showcasing significant advancements in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Revenue Increase: Q4 revenue reached $732.9 million, up 25.3% from $584.9 million in the same period of 2024, reflecting robust market demand recovery.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: Despite strong earnings, Hudbay Minerals' shares fell 4.41% in pre-market trading on the NYSE to $23.64, possibly indicating market caution regarding future performance.
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Analyst Views on HBM
Wall Street analysts forecast HBM stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 24.930
Low
17.24
Averages
20.63
High
24.79
Current: 24.930
Low
17.24
Averages
20.63
High
24.79
About HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc. is a Canada-based copper-focused critical minerals company with three operations and a pipeline of copper growth projects in tier-one mining jurisdictions of Canada, Peru and the United States. The Company's operating portfolio includes the Constancia mine in Cusco (Peru), the Snow Lake operations in Manitoba (Canada) and the Copper Mountain mine in British Columbia (Canada). The Company's growth pipeline includes the Copper World project in Arizona (United States), the Mason project in Nevada (United States), the Llaguen project in La Libertad (Peru) and several expansion and exploration opportunities near its existing operations. The Copper Mountain Mine, located south of Princeton, British Columbia, is a conventional open pit, truck and shovel operation. The Constancia mine is located in the province of Chumbivilcas in southern Peru. Its primary production is copper, complemented by gold production and by-products, such as zinc, silver, and molybdenum.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement: Hudbay Minerals is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 20th before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.39, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 116.7%, which could strengthen its competitive position in the copper industry.
- Strong Revenue Expectations: The revenue for Q4 is projected to reach $734.56 million, representing a 25.6% year-over-year growth, indicating robust sales capabilities amid rising copper prices, potentially driving stock price appreciation.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Hudbay has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, demonstrating financial stability and market confidence in its operations.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 5 upward revisions and 2 downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced 4 upward revisions with no downward adjustments, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance.
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- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Hudbay Minerals declares a quarterly dividend of CAD 0.01 per share, payable on March 27, with a record date of March 10 and an ex-dividend date also on March 10, indicating better-than-expected financial performance.
- Significant Dividend Increase: The total annual dividend now stands at CAD 0.04, marking a 100% increase from the previous semi-annual dividend, representing the first dividend hike in the company's history and reflecting ongoing improvements in profitability.
- Increased Investor Confidence: With the dividend increase, shareholders of Hudbay Minerals will benefit from a higher return rate, currently yielding 0.12%, which may attract more investor interest in the company.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Amid rising copper prices, Hudbay Minerals demonstrates strong fundamentals, and its low-cost copper exposure is expected to enhance the company's competitive position in the market.
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- Earnings Surge: Hudbay Minerals reported a net income of $128 million for Q4, translating to $0.32 per share, a substantial increase from last year's $21.2 million and $0.05 per share, indicating a strong improvement in profitability.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The adjusted EBITDA rose to $385.9 million from $257.3 million last year, showcasing significant advancements in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Revenue Increase: Q4 revenue reached $732.9 million, up 25.3% from $584.9 million in the same period of 2024, reflecting robust market demand recovery.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: Despite strong earnings, Hudbay Minerals' shares fell 4.41% in pre-market trading on the NYSE to $23.64, possibly indicating market caution regarding future performance.
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- Record Financial Performance: Hudbay achieved $2.2 billion in annual revenue and $1.1 billion in adjusted EBITDA for 2025, demonstrating the resilience of its diversified operating platform, generating over $380 million in free cash flow despite external challenges, indicating strong market positioning in copper and gold production.
- Production Targets Met: In 2025, Hudbay produced 118,188 tonnes of copper and 267,934 ounces of gold, successfully meeting its annual production guidance, marking the 11th consecutive year for copper and the 5th for gold, reinforcing its leadership in the industry.
- Significant Cost Control Improvement: Hudbay's cash cost for 2025 was $(0.22) per pound of copper, improving by 148% from 2024, while sustaining cash cost was $1.30 per pound, a 20% improvement, showcasing strong profitability underpinned by effective cost management and rising metal prices.
- First Dividend Increase for Shareholders: Hudbay announced a quarterly dividend increase to C$0.01 per share, a 100% annual increase, marking the first dividend hike in the company's history, reflecting significant financial improvement and commitment to shareholder returns.
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- Disappointing Earnings: Hudbay Minerals reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.22, missing expectations by $0.17, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Lackluster Revenue Growth: Revenue increased by 25.3% year-over-year to $732.9 million but fell short of expectations by $1.66 million, suggesting that market demand has not fully translated into sales growth.
- Strong Production Figures: Peru operations excelled in Q4 with copper production of 25,038 tonnes, gold at 32,865 ounces, and silver at 731,017 ounces, showcasing the ability to mine high-grade ores and enhancing the company's competitive position in the resource market.
- Future Production Guidance: The 2025 guidance for Peru indicates copper production of 75,000 to 90,000 tonnes, gold of 15,000 to 20,000 ounces, and silver of 1,900,000 to 2,400,000 ounces, reflecting strong current output but also highlighting some uncertainty in future production expectations.
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- Increased Placement Size: Sego Resources announced an increase in its non-brokered private placement from $800,000 to approximately $955,600, indicating strong investor demand that is likely to attract more capital into the company.
- Unit Composition Details: The offering will consist of about 15.9 million units priced at $0.06 each, with each unit comprising one common share and one warrant, which can be exercised at $0.10 for three years, enhancing potential returns for investors.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The proceeds will be allocated for exploration and general working capital at the Miner Mountain copper-gold project in British Columbia, demonstrating the company's commitment to project development and confidence in future growth.
- Regulatory Approval Pending: The private placement remains subject to approval by the TSX Venture Exchange, reflecting the company's cautious approach to compliance, which may also impact the timing of fund availability.
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