HSBC Research Remains Positive on BYD COMPANY and GWMOTOR's Ability to Withstand Significant Raw Material Price Increases
Cost Pressure on Chinese Automakers: HSBC Global Research predicts that rising raw material prices, particularly for metals and memory, will significantly increase production costs for Chinese automakers, especially electric vehicle manufacturers.
Impact of Raw Material Prices: The surge in lithium prices and other materials could raise vehicle costs by RMB3,000-5,000, with additional increases from memory prices potentially adding RMB1,000-3,000.
Stock Resilience: HSBC identifies BYD COMPANY and GWMOTOR as relatively resilient to rising costs, while FUYAO GLASS is expected to be less affected by increased material prices.
Target Prices for Stocks: The target prices set for BYD COMPANY, GWMOTOR, and FUYAO GLASS are HKD139, HKD21.6, and HKD91.2, respectively, with all three stocks rated as Buy.
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Citi Supports BYD COMPANY/ PONY-W, Outlines 5 Advantages and Obstacles for China's Automotive Sector
Citi's Outlook on Chinese Carmakers: Citi has a neutral outlook for Chinese carmakers in 1Q26, predicting that BYD, Geely, and Leapmotor may outperform the market due to model updates and strong export growth, while others like Seres and Li Auto may struggle with profit margins and weak sales.
Industry Challenges and Tailwinds: The Chinese auto industry is expected to face five major tailwinds, including increased EV market share and export growth, but also five challenges such as rising costs and cautious retail growth for EVs, leading to a potential decline in wholesale and retail forecasts for FY26.
Stock Recommendations: Citi has recommended several stocks, including BYD, Pony, WeRide, Hesai, Minth Group, and Weichai Power, amidst a backdrop of short selling activity and varying market performance.
Market Conditions: The report highlights a potential end to the price war in passenger vehicles and a favorable phase for commercial vehicle demand, while also noting high inventory levels of fuel vehicles as a concern for the market.
<Midday Update> HSI Falls by 498 Points; HSTI Declines by 105 Points; CSPC PHARMA Drops Over 12%; SHK PPT and HUABAO INTL Reach New Peaks
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 498 points (1.8%) to 27,469, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 1.8% and 2.1%, respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Alibaba, and Tencent saw significant drops, with Xiaomi down 2.7%, Alibaba down 2.7%, and Tencent down 1.5%, alongside substantial short selling activity.
Notable Declines: CSPC Pharma and Zijin Mining faced sharp declines of 12.5% and 8.6%, respectively, with high short selling ratios indicating bearish market sentiment.
Gainers and New Highs: New Oriental and Huabao International were among the few gainers, with New Oriental up 3.6% and Huabao hitting a new high with a 6.2% increase.
