Grand Canyon Education 2026 Financial Outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 17 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy LOPE?
Source: seekingalpha
- Q4 Performance: Grand Canyon Education reported a non-GAAP EPS of $3.21 for Q4, beating expectations by $0.02, with revenue of $308.11 million reflecting a 5.3% year-over-year growth, indicating stable growth in the education services sector.
- Q1 2026 Outlook: The company anticipates service revenue between $307 million and $308 million for Q1, with an operating margin of 30.0% to 30.3%, which will support ongoing profitability while maintaining an effective tax rate of 23.4% to optimize tax burdens.
- Full Year 2026 Projections: For the full year, service revenue is expected to range from $1.1675 billion to $1.189 billion, with an operating margin of 27.5% to 28.8%, indicating a healthy financial outlook, and non-GAAP EPS projected between $9.55 and $10.16.
- Non-Cash Amortization Impact: The EPS guidance includes $1.6 million in non-cash amortization of intangible assets, equating to a $0.06 impact on EPS, with adjusted non-GAAP EPS expected between $9.79 and $10.40, demonstrating the company's transparency and financial robustness in managing its fiscal responsibilities.
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Analyst Views on LOPE
Wall Street analysts forecast LOPE stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 167.790
Low
230.00
Averages
230.00
High
230.00
Current: 167.790
Low
230.00
Averages
230.00
High
230.00
About LOPE
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. is an education services company, which primarily serves colleges and universities. The Company has developed technological solutions, infrastructure and operational processes to provide services to its institutions on a large scale. It provides technology and academic services, which include learning management systems, internal administration, infrastructure, support, program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling and skills and simulation lab sites. It provides counseling services and support, including admissions services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling. It also provides marketing and communication services that include lead acquisition, digital communication strategies, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research. Its back-office services include finance and accounting, human resources, audit and procurement.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Grand Canyon Education Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Online Enrollment Growth: Grand Canyon Education achieved an 8.7% increase in online enrollment and an 18.7% rise in hybrid enrollment in Q4 2025, indicating the company's ongoing ability to meet market demand while exceeding long-term objectives, showcasing its competitive edge in the education sector.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported service revenue of $308.1 million for Q4, a 5.3% year-over-year increase, with operating income reaching $108.1 million and a 35.1% operating margin, reflecting not only the company's solid financial health but also providing funding for future investments and expansions.
- Market Expansion Plans: Grand Canyon Education aims to achieve 80 hybrid campuses by 2026, although the pace of new site openings is slowing, the company remains committed to selecting new locations based on market scalability, ensuring sustainable long-term growth.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management anticipates mid-to-high single-digit growth in online enrollments for 2026, despite pressures from increased graduations and declining reentries, demonstrating confidence in achieving high single-digit total enrollment growth targets, reflecting adaptability and strategic foresight.
See More
Grand Canyon Education 2026 Financial Outlook
- Q4 Performance: Grand Canyon Education reported a non-GAAP EPS of $3.21 for Q4, beating expectations by $0.02, with revenue of $308.11 million reflecting a 5.3% year-over-year growth, indicating stable growth in the education services sector.
- Q1 2026 Outlook: The company anticipates service revenue between $307 million and $308 million for Q1, with an operating margin of 30.0% to 30.3%, which will support ongoing profitability while maintaining an effective tax rate of 23.4% to optimize tax burdens.
- Full Year 2026 Projections: For the full year, service revenue is expected to range from $1.1675 billion to $1.189 billion, with an operating margin of 27.5% to 28.8%, indicating a healthy financial outlook, and non-GAAP EPS projected between $9.55 and $10.16.
- Non-Cash Amortization Impact: The EPS guidance includes $1.6 million in non-cash amortization of intangible assets, equating to a $0.06 impact on EPS, with adjusted non-GAAP EPS expected between $9.79 and $10.40, demonstrating the company's transparency and financial robustness in managing its fiscal responsibilities.
See More
Grand Canyon Education Set to Release Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement: Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 18th after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $3.19, reflecting an 8.1% year-over-year growth that underscores the company's ongoing growth potential in the education sector.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts forecast revenue of $307.92 million for the quarter, representing a 5.2% year-over-year increase, driven by the company's expansion in the online education market and the introduction of new courses, showcasing its adaptability to market demands.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Grand Canyon Education has exceeded EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a strong track record of financial performance that bolsters investor confidence in the company's stability and reliability.
- Market Analysis Insights: Despite the solid performance, recent analyst commentary suggests that the stock may need to consolidate for valuations to catch up, which could impact short-term stock performance, prompting investors to closely monitor market developments.
See More
Monument Capital Fully Exits Grand Canyon Education Position
- Full Exit: On January 23, 2026, Monument Capital Management reported a complete exit from Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) by selling 19,133 shares in an estimated $4.20 million transaction, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Position Change: This transaction reduced Monument Capital's stake in Grand Canyon Education from 1.0501% to 0%, reflecting a reassessment of its investment strategy in the education services sector, which may impact its asset management approach.
- Market Performance: Despite Grand Canyon Education's impressive 15.1% compound annual growth rate over the past five years, recent declines in stock price following a disappointing third-quarter earnings report due to soaring litigation reserves have raised concerns about its future growth prospects.
- Investment Opportunity: Although facing legal challenges, Grand Canyon Education's quarterly revenue growth of 10% may present a buying opportunity for risk-tolerant investors, reflecting market confidence in its long-term growth potential.
See More
Monument Capital Management Fully Exits Grand Canyon Education Stake
- Complete Exit: On January 23, 2026, Monument Capital Management reported selling its entire position of 19,133 shares in Grand Canyon Education for an estimated $4.20 million, indicating a strategic shift in its investment approach within the education services sector.
- AUM Impact: This transaction reduced Monument's stake from approximately 1.05% to 0%, reflecting a diminished confidence in Grand Canyon Education and potentially affecting future portfolio allocations.
- Market Performance: Despite Grand Canyon's impressive 15.1% compound annual growth rate over the past five years, recent declines in share price due to soaring litigation reserves highlight the legal risks impacting investor sentiment negatively.
- Investment Opportunity: With a quarterly revenue growth of 10%, some growth-oriented investors may view the recent stock pullback as a buying opportunity, indicating a divergence in market perceptions regarding the company's long-term growth potential.
See More
Grand Canyon Education to Report Q4 2025 Results on February 18, 2026
- Earnings Report Schedule: Grand Canyon Education will release its Q4 2025 financial results and 2026 outlook after market close on February 18, 2026, providing investors with critical performance metrics and future growth directions.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 2:30 PM (4:30 PM ET) on the same day to discuss the earnings report, with participants required to dial in at least ten minutes early, demonstrating the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Webcast and Replay: Investors and journalists can access a live webcast of the event, with a replay available approximately two hours after the conclusion, enhancing information accessibility and interaction between the company and its investors.
- Company Background: Founded in 2008, Grand Canyon Education focuses on providing educational services to 20 university partners, showcasing its unique competitive edge and technological capabilities in the education services sector with over 30 years of industry experience.
See More
Grand Canyon Education Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Online Enrollment Growth: Grand Canyon Education achieved an 8.7% increase in online enrollment and an 18.7% rise in hybrid enrollment in Q4 2025, indicating the company's ongoing ability to meet market demand while exceeding long-term objectives, showcasing its competitive edge in the education sector.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported service revenue of $308.1 million for Q4, a 5.3% year-over-year increase, with operating income reaching $108.1 million and a 35.1% operating margin, reflecting not only the company's solid financial health but also providing funding for future investments and expansions.
- Market Expansion Plans: Grand Canyon Education aims to achieve 80 hybrid campuses by 2026, although the pace of new site openings is slowing, the company remains committed to selecting new locations based on market scalability, ensuring sustainable long-term growth.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management anticipates mid-to-high single-digit growth in online enrollments for 2026, despite pressures from increased graduations and declining reentries, demonstrating confidence in achieving high single-digit total enrollment growth targets, reflecting adaptability and strategic foresight.
See More
Grand Canyon Education 2026 Financial Outlook
- Q4 Performance: Grand Canyon Education reported a non-GAAP EPS of $3.21 for Q4, beating expectations by $0.02, with revenue of $308.11 million reflecting a 5.3% year-over-year growth, indicating stable growth in the education services sector.
- Q1 2026 Outlook: The company anticipates service revenue between $307 million and $308 million for Q1, with an operating margin of 30.0% to 30.3%, which will support ongoing profitability while maintaining an effective tax rate of 23.4% to optimize tax burdens.
- Full Year 2026 Projections: For the full year, service revenue is expected to range from $1.1675 billion to $1.189 billion, with an operating margin of 27.5% to 28.8%, indicating a healthy financial outlook, and non-GAAP EPS projected between $9.55 and $10.16.
- Non-Cash Amortization Impact: The EPS guidance includes $1.6 million in non-cash amortization of intangible assets, equating to a $0.06 impact on EPS, with adjusted non-GAAP EPS expected between $9.79 and $10.40, demonstrating the company's transparency and financial robustness in managing its fiscal responsibilities.
See More
Grand Canyon Education Set to Release Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement: Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 18th after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $3.19, reflecting an 8.1% year-over-year growth that underscores the company's ongoing growth potential in the education sector.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts forecast revenue of $307.92 million for the quarter, representing a 5.2% year-over-year increase, driven by the company's expansion in the online education market and the introduction of new courses, showcasing its adaptability to market demands.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Grand Canyon Education has exceeded EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a strong track record of financial performance that bolsters investor confidence in the company's stability and reliability.
- Market Analysis Insights: Despite the solid performance, recent analyst commentary suggests that the stock may need to consolidate for valuations to catch up, which could impact short-term stock performance, prompting investors to closely monitor market developments.
See More
Monument Capital Fully Exits Grand Canyon Education Position
- Full Exit: On January 23, 2026, Monument Capital Management reported a complete exit from Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) by selling 19,133 shares in an estimated $4.20 million transaction, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Position Change: This transaction reduced Monument Capital's stake in Grand Canyon Education from 1.0501% to 0%, reflecting a reassessment of its investment strategy in the education services sector, which may impact its asset management approach.
- Market Performance: Despite Grand Canyon Education's impressive 15.1% compound annual growth rate over the past five years, recent declines in stock price following a disappointing third-quarter earnings report due to soaring litigation reserves have raised concerns about its future growth prospects.
- Investment Opportunity: Although facing legal challenges, Grand Canyon Education's quarterly revenue growth of 10% may present a buying opportunity for risk-tolerant investors, reflecting market confidence in its long-term growth potential.
See More
Monument Capital Management Fully Exits Grand Canyon Education Stake
- Complete Exit: On January 23, 2026, Monument Capital Management reported selling its entire position of 19,133 shares in Grand Canyon Education for an estimated $4.20 million, indicating a strategic shift in its investment approach within the education services sector.
- AUM Impact: This transaction reduced Monument's stake from approximately 1.05% to 0%, reflecting a diminished confidence in Grand Canyon Education and potentially affecting future portfolio allocations.
- Market Performance: Despite Grand Canyon's impressive 15.1% compound annual growth rate over the past five years, recent declines in share price due to soaring litigation reserves highlight the legal risks impacting investor sentiment negatively.
- Investment Opportunity: With a quarterly revenue growth of 10%, some growth-oriented investors may view the recent stock pullback as a buying opportunity, indicating a divergence in market perceptions regarding the company's long-term growth potential.
See More
Grand Canyon Education to Report Q4 2025 Results on February 18, 2026
- Earnings Report Schedule: Grand Canyon Education will release its Q4 2025 financial results and 2026 outlook after market close on February 18, 2026, providing investors with critical performance metrics and future growth directions.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 2:30 PM (4:30 PM ET) on the same day to discuss the earnings report, with participants required to dial in at least ten minutes early, demonstrating the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Webcast and Replay: Investors and journalists can access a live webcast of the event, with a replay available approximately two hours after the conclusion, enhancing information accessibility and interaction between the company and its investors.
- Company Background: Founded in 2008, Grand Canyon Education focuses on providing educational services to 20 university partners, showcasing its unique competitive edge and technological capabilities in the education services sector with over 30 years of industry experience.
See More
