GrafTech Projects 5%-10% Sales Volume Increase in 2026

The company said, "In 2025, global, excluding China, steel production was relatively flat compared to 2024, as geopolitical uncertainty, particularly as it relates to global trade and tariffs, had a significant impact on broader steel industry trends. In addition, steel exports from China reached a record high in 2025, further constraining steel production in the rest of the world. As we enter 2026, industry analyst projections indicate a modest recovery in global steel demand is expected for the year. In the U.S., where the steel industry has experienced relative stability, steel production is expected to increase further in the near-term, supported by favorable domestic trade policies. In the European Union, where the steel industry has been relatively challenged, we continue to see signs of a potential recovery. In addition to the anticipated growth in steel demand within the European Union in 2026, steel production in Europe is expected to be further supported by increased trade protections as we proceed through the year. Reflecting these dynamics, hot-rolled coil steel pricing is expected to increase in 2026 in most regions. As we closely monitor these developments and assess their potential impact on the commercial environment for graphite electrodes, we currently project that global demand for graphite electrodes will increase slightly in 2026, compared to 2025, including projected demand increases within all of the key regions in which we operate. For GrafTech, we expect to achieve a 5%-10% year-over-year increase in our sales volume for 2026 on a full-year basis, as we continue to gain market share reflecting our compelling customer value proposition and our ongoing focus on delivering on the needs of our customers. Of our anticipated 2026 sales volume, to date, we have approximately 65% committed in our order book following the completion of the customer negotiations that occur in the fourth quarter of each year. Specific to the first quarter of 2026, we expect a year-over-year increase in our sales volume of approximately 10%. While we are encouraged by our ongoing strong volume performance, industry-wide pricing levels remain unsustainably low. Challenging pricing dynamics, most notably aggressive competitor pricing behavior, increased further during the fourth quarter of 2025 and we expect that pressure to continue into 2026. As a result, we will continue to execute actions to accelerate our path to normalized levels of profitability and support our ability to invest in our business. This includes further optimizing our order book by continuing to shift the geographic mix of our sales volume to regions where there is an opportunity to capture higher average selling prices, particularly in the United States, while also maintaining our disciplined approach of foregoing volume opportunities where margins are unacceptably low. As it relates to costs, we will continue to expand on our initiatives to improve our cost structure. With our 2025 cost performance, we have achieved a cumulative decline in our cash cost of goods sold per metric ton of 31% since the end of 2023. As we look to implement additional measures to enhance the efficiency of our production schedules and further optimize production costs, we expect to build on this achievement with a low single-digit percentage-point decline in our cash cost of goods sold per MT for 2026 compared to 2025. Further, we will continue to prudently manage our working capital levels and capital expenditures. For 2026, reflecting our anticipated volume growth, we expect a modest increase in our net working capital levels for the full year, most notably in the first half of the year reflecting the timing of planned plant maintenance and other timing factors. We anticipate our FY26 capital expenditures will be approximately $35M, which we believe is an adequate level to maintain our assets at current utilization levels."