Fed Rate Cut Speculation Fuels Market Volatility Ahead of Key Meeting
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Source: Newsfilter
Updated: 1 hour ago0mins
- Market Rate Cut Expectations: Investors are betting on the Fed reducing rates from 3.75% to 3.50% this week, with an 85% probability of a cut, indicating that a steady decision could lead to significant market upheaval.
- Analyst Insights: JPMorgan's economist Michael Feroli anticipates at least two dissents against a rate cut, with only a slim majority of FOMC participants likely to support a December cut, highlighting potential policy divisions.
- Global Central Bank Meetings: Central banks in Canada, Switzerland, and Australia are also meeting this week, with expectations to hold rates steady, while the Swiss National Bank may consider easing further to counteract the strength of the franc.
- Bond Market Pressure: Long-term Treasury yields have risen to 4.146% due to the Fed's potential hawkish guidance, which has helped stabilize the dollar after two weeks of decline, reflecting market uncertainty regarding future policies.
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Analyst Views on ORCL
Wall Street analysts forecast ORCL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ORCL is 352.52 USD with a low forecast of 175.00 USD and a high forecast of 415.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
37 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
11 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 214.330
Low
175.00
Averages
352.52
High
415.00
Current: 214.330
Low
175.00
Averages
352.52
High
415.00
Citi
Tyler Radke
Buy
downgrade
$415 -> $375
2025-12-04
New
Reason
Citi
Tyler Radke
Price Target
$415 -> $375
2025-12-04
New
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi analyst Tyler Radke lowered the firm's price target on Oracle to $375 from $415 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm cites the stock's valuation compression for the target cut but expects Oracle to post strong bookings.
Wells Fargo
Overweight
initiated
$280
2025-12-03
New
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$280
2025-12-03
New
initiated
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo initiated coverage of Oracle with an Overweight rating and $280 price target. The firm believes Oracle will emerge as the leader in the artificial intelligence "super-cycle." The company has booked nearly half a trillion dollars of AI deals and is in the "pole position" with key accounts like OpenAI, xAI, Meta and TikTok, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Wells points out the stock is down 42% from its highs.
Deutsche Bank
Buy
maintain
$375
2025-11-26
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Price Target
$375
2025-11-26
maintain
Buy
Reason
Deutsche Bank believes the recent pullback in shares of Oracle brings an attractive entry point. The firm reiterates a Buy rating on the name with a $375 price target. The shares at current levels give Oracle little if any credit for its business with OpenAI, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Deutsche says that while the deal brings financial and operational risks, these are offset by the "very real opportunity" and that OpenAI offers.
DA Davidson
Neutral
downgrade
$300 -> $200
2025-11-25
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$300 -> $200
2025-11-25
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
DA Davidson lowered the firm's price target on Oracle to $200 from $300 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. When Oracle reported earnings on September 9, the company made it seem like several customers represented the increase in RPO, yet the next day, it was uncovered that OpenAI represented almost the entire increase, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The $300B was by far OpenAI's biggest commitment, and made Oracle seem like the winner of a bake-off, but with more than a trillion dollars of commitments subsequent to this announcement, OpenAI made it clear it was "not a serious counterpart" and that Oracle was a pawn in the grand game of fake it "till you make it", the firm added.
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About ORCL
Oracle Corporation offers integrated suites of applications plus secure, autonomous infrastructure in the Oracle Cloud. The Company operates through three businesses: cloud and license, hardware and service. Its cloud and license business is engaged in the sale, marketing and delivery of its enterprise applications and infrastructure technologies through cloud and on-premise deployment models including its cloud services and license support offerings, and its cloud license and on-premise license offerings. Its hardware business provides infrastructure technologies including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware, operating systems, virtualization, management and other hardware-related software to support diverse IT environments. Its services business provides services to customers and partners to help maximize the performance of their investments in Oracle applications and infrastructure technologies.
About the author
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Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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