Expand Energy (EXE) Sees Growth After Strong Q3 Results
Share Price Surge: Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: EXE) saw its share price increase by 8.85% from October 31 to November 7, 2025, ranking it among the top gaining energy stocks for the week.
Strong Q3 Performance: The company reported better-than-expected Q3 2025 profits on October 27, driven by increased natural gas output and a 26% year-over-year rise in natural gas prices due to strong LNG exports and domestic demand.
Production and CapEx Forecast: Expand Energy expects to increase its gas production to 7.15 billion cubic feet of gas equivalent per day in 2025 and 2026 while reducing its capital expenditures by approximately $75 million to $2.85 billion.
Analyst Upgrade: On October 30, UBS raised Expand Energy's price target from $131 to $132 while maintaining a 'Buy' rating, indicating positive investor sentiment towards the company.
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- Strong Earnings Report: Expand Energy reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.00, beating estimates by $0.13, which highlights the company's robust profitability and competitive advantage in the market.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $3.27 billion in Q4, representing a 63.5% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by rising natural gas demand, further solidifying its position in the energy sector.
- Increased Production Capacity: With a daily production of approximately 7.40 Bcfe, of which 92% is natural gas, the company saw a 15% increase compared to Q4 2024, indicating improved production efficiency and resource allocation.
- Future Investment Plans: Expand Energy plans to operate between 11 and 12 rigs in 2026, investing approximately $2.85 billion, with an estimated daily production of 7.5 Bcfe, which strategically positions the company for future growth.
- Debt Reduction Commitment Fulfilled: Expand Energy successfully reduced debt following its merger with Southwestern, demonstrating a commitment to financial management that is expected to enhance investor confidence and increase shareholder returns.
- Significant Hedging Gains: The company reported $200 million in gains from its hedging program, a successful risk management strategy that not only alleviates pressures from volatile gas prices but also lays a foundation for future financial stability.
- Market Diversification Progress: The marketing business now accounts for nearly 50% of gas sales, a significant improvement from nearly all in-basin sales a year ago, indicating positive strides in market expansion and diversification efforts.
- Strategic Shift and Leadership Changes: The company announced a move to Houston to adapt to fundamental changes in the natural gas business while maintaining operational team stability, showcasing its agility in responding to new market conditions.
- Earnings Call Scheduled: Expand Energy Corporation will host a conference call on February 18, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET to discuss its Q4 2025 financial results, aiming to provide investors with the latest financial information and company developments.
- Live Webcast Access: Investors can participate in the live webcast by logging onto https://investors.expandenergy.com/events-presentations, ensuring that all stakeholders can access detailed information about the company's financial status and future outlook in real-time.
- Enhanced Transparency: This earnings call not only provides investors with a direct opportunity to understand the company's performance but also reflects Expand Energy's commitment to transparency and shareholder communication, aiming to bolster market confidence.
- Strategic Communication Platform: By holding regular earnings calls, Expand Energy seeks to establish ongoing dialogue with investors, fostering relationships between the company and its shareholders, thereby supporting future capital market activities and business growth.
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Expand Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.575 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 2.24% reflects the company's appeal in the current market environment, potentially boosting shareholder confidence and stabilizing the stock price.
- Financial Performance Beats Expectations: Expand Energy reported a non-GAAP EPS of $2.00, exceeding expectations by $0.13, with revenue reaching $3.27 billion, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain strong financial performance despite weaker natural gas prices.
- Future Cash Flow Projections: The company projects free cash flow of $2 billion by 2026, showcasing strong market positioning and growth potential, even in the face of declining natural gas prices.

- Strong Financial Performance: Expand Energy reported a non-GAAP EPS of $2.00, beating estimates by $0.13, which demonstrates the company's resilience and profitability in the current market environment, likely boosting investor confidence and driving stock price appreciation.
- Robust Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $3.27 billion, reflecting strong performance in the natural gas market despite price declines, indicating a solid market share and customer base that can withstand market fluctuations.
- Future Cash Flow Projections: The projected free cash flow of $2 billion by 2026 is particularly significant against the backdrop of weak natural gas prices, showcasing the company's strong cash generation capabilities even in adverse conditions.
- Analyst Optimism: Analysts express optimism ahead of the Q4 2025 earnings report, believing that the company's strong financial performance and market positioning will lay a solid foundation for future growth.

- Market Performance: Equities experienced a decline last week, with all three major indexes falling by at least 1.2%.
- Economic Indicators: This downturn occurred despite a better-than-expected jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and a relatively stable inflation report.




