Dollar Weakness Expectations: Credit Agricole predicts further dollar weakness in December, suggesting that EUR/USD is undervalued based on their FAST FX model and the widening interest rate spread between the euro and the dollar.
Seasonal Trends: The firm notes that historically, the euro has outperformed the USD in December, with EUR/USD rising in 8 of the last 10 December cycles.
Profit-Repatriation Flows: Credit Agricole anticipates increased demand for the euro as exporters accelerate profit-repatriation flows towards year-end.
Future Outlook: The firm expects EUR/USD to continue gaining in the upcoming week unless there are unexpected positive developments for the dollar.
