Essent Group Reports Strong 2025 Financial Results
- Quarterly Net Income: Essent Group reported a net income of $155 million for Q4 2025, translating to $1.60 per diluted share, which, while slightly down from $167.9 million in Q4 2024, underscores the company's resilience amid economic fluctuations.
- Annual Performance Review: For the full year 2025, net income reached $690 million or $6.90 per diluted share, a decrease from $729.4 million in 2024, reflecting the impact of intensified market competition and changing economic conditions.
- Shareholder Return Strategy: The company returned nearly $700 million to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and repurchases, demonstrating strong capital management capabilities and commitment to shareholder value, while successfully repurchasing nearly 10% of its outstanding shares.
- Insurance Business Performance: New insurance written for mortgage insurance in Q4 2025 was $11.8 billion, slightly lower than $12.2 billion in Q4 2024, indicating market demand volatility and the company's adaptability in the insurance market.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: Essent Group (ESNT) is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on February 13 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.74, reflecting a 10.1% year-over-year growth potential in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The revenue estimate for Q4 stands at $312.62 million, indicating a slight decline of 0.8% year-over-year, which highlights challenges the company faces in a competitive market that may impact short-term financial performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Essent Group has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, demonstrating relative stability in financial forecasting and market confidence.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and five downward revisions, while revenue estimates experienced no upward revisions and four downward revisions, suggesting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
- Earnings Miss: Essent Group reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $1.60, missing expectations by $0.14, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence moving forward.
- Slight Revenue Decline: The company's revenue for Q4 was $312.4 million, down 0.8% year-over-year, although in line with market expectations, this reflects a struggle for growth in a competitive environment, potentially impacting future investment decisions.
- Decline in New Insurance Written: New insurance written for Q4 2025 was $11.8 billion, down from $12.2 billion in Q3 2025 and Q4 2024, suggesting weakened market demand that may affect the company's market share.
- Stable Insurance In Force: As of December 31, 2025, insurance in force stood at $248.4 billion, slightly down from $248.8 billion as of September 30, 2025, but up from $243.6 billion year-over-year, indicating stability in maintaining the scale of its insurance business.
- Quarterly Net Income: Essent Group reported a net income of $155 million for Q4 2025, translating to $1.60 per diluted share, which, while slightly down from $167.9 million in Q4 2024, underscores the company's resilience amid economic fluctuations.
- Annual Performance Review: For the full year 2025, net income reached $690 million or $6.90 per diluted share, a decrease from $729.4 million in 2024, reflecting the impact of intensified market competition and changing economic conditions.
- Shareholder Return Strategy: The company returned nearly $700 million to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and repurchases, demonstrating strong capital management capabilities and commitment to shareholder value, while successfully repurchasing nearly 10% of its outstanding shares.
- Insurance Business Performance: New insurance written for mortgage insurance in Q4 2025 was $11.8 billion, slightly lower than $12.2 billion in Q4 2024, indicating market demand volatility and the company's adaptability in the insurance market.
- Options Trading Opportunity: The current bid for the $60.00 put option is 5 cents, and if an investor sells to open this option, they commit to purchasing the stock at $60.00 while collecting the premium, resulting in a cost basis of $59.95, making it attractive compared to the current price of $61.07.
- Discount Advantage: The $60.00 strike price represents an approximate 2% discount to the current stock price, indicating a possibility that the put option may expire worthless, with current analytical data suggesting a 62% chance of this occurring, providing investors with an additional risk management option.
- Yield Potential: Should the option expire worthless, the premium would yield a 0.08% return on the cash commitment, or an annualized yield of 0.48%, referred to as YieldBoost, highlighting the potential profitability of options trading.
- Volatility Analysis: The implied volatility for the put option is 33%, while the actual trailing twelve-month volatility is calculated at 22%, indicating a higher expected volatility in the market for this option, prompting investors to monitor market dynamics to optimize their trading strategies.
Put Contract Details: The $65.00 strike price put contract has a current bid of 5 cents, allowing an investor to potentially buy shares of ESNT at a cost basis of $64.95 after collecting the premium, which is more attractive than the current market price of $66.42.
Market Analysis: The $65.00 strike represents a 2% discount to the current stock price, with a 60% chance that the put contract may expire worthless, offering a potential return of 0.08% on the cash commitment.
Volatility Insights: The implied volatility for the put contract is 29%, while the actual trailing twelve-month volatility is calculated at 21%, indicating a difference in market expectations versus historical performance.
Further Resources: For additional options contract ideas, investors can visit StockOptionsChannel.com, where they can find more information and analysis on various options strategies.
Validea's Low PE Investor Model: Today's upgrades for Validea's Low PE Investor model highlight significant changes in ratings for Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) and Essent Group Ltd (ESNT), reflecting their underlying fundamentals and stock valuations.
Toronto-Dominion Bank Analysis: TD's rating improved from 40% to 77%, indicating growing interest based on its fundamentals and valuation, with a score above 80% suggesting strong potential.
Essent Group Ltd Analysis: ESNT's rating increased from 60% to 79%, also showing positive movement in interest according to the same investment strategy, with a similar threshold for strong interest.
About John Neff and Validea: John Neff, known for his conservative investment approach, achieved impressive returns with the Windsor Fund, while Validea provides investment research based on strategies from renowned investors.







