Dropbox Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 19
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy DBX?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement: Dropbox is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.67, reflecting an 8.2% year-over-year decline, and revenue expected at $627.89 million, down 2.4% year-over-year, indicating growth challenges ahead.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Dropbox has beaten both EPS and revenue estimates 100% of the time, showcasing the company's stability in financial forecasting and market confidence, despite current downward pressures.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, reflecting analysts' cautious outlook on the company's future profitability, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Executive Changes: CFO Timothy Regan has resigned, with Ross Tennenbaum appointed as his successor, and this executive change could influence the company's strategic direction and financial management, prompting investors to monitor the new CFO's policies and execution capabilities.
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Analyst Views on DBX
Wall Street analysts forecast DBX stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 24.680
Low
29.00
Averages
31.33
High
35.00
Current: 24.680
Low
29.00
Averages
31.33
High
35.00
About DBX
Dropbox, Inc. provides tools to help distributed teams prioritize, get organized, and keep work moving securely from anywhere. The Company’s products include Dropbox Passwords, Dropbox Backup, Dropbox Sign, DocSend, Dropbox Dash for Business (Dash), Dropbox Replay and FormSwift, among others. Dropbox Passwords allows users to sign in to Websites and apps by creating and storing usernames and passwords across devices. Dropbox Backup automatically syncs folders on a user's computer to the cloud. When turned on, files on the user's personal computer or Mac are continuously backed up on the cloud. Dropbox Sign is an e-signature and document workflow platform that enables customers to easily sign, send and receive documents through its intuitive Web and mobile-based interfaces. DocSend is a secure document sharing and analytics platform. Dropbox Dash is an AI-powered, universal search tool, which enables teams to search, organize, share, and protect content from across their connected apps.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Dropbox Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: Dropbox reported Q4 revenue of $636 million, surpassing the upper end of guidance, and despite the wind-down of FormSwift, flat revenue for the year indicates significant operational efficiency improvements that are expected to lay a foundation for future growth.
- Cash Flow and Margin Improvement: The company generated over $1 billion in unlevered free cash flow in Q4, with gross margins at 80.8% and operating margins at 38.2%, enhancements that are likely to boost investor confidence and support future strategic investments.
- Strategic Focus on Dash: Dropbox identifies Dash as a crucial evolution of its core product, with early tests showing significant user engagement increases and a successful six-figure international deal signed in Q4, indicating potential for future revenue growth.
- Leadership Change and Future Outlook: The hiring of Eric Webster as Chief Business Officer signals the company's commitment to driving business growth, with management projecting 2026 revenue between $2.485 billion and $2.5 billion, reflecting a cautiously optimistic stance towards the market.
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Akamai's Disappointing Q1 Guidance Leads to Stock Drop
- Akamai's Q1 Guidance Cut: Akamai's forecast for Q1 adjusted earnings between $1.50 and $1.67 per share falls short of the $1.75 consensus, leading to an almost 8% drop in after-hours trading, indicating market concerns over its future profitability.
- Dropbox Slightly Beats Expectations: Dropbox reported Q4 adjusted earnings of 68 cents per share, narrowly exceeding the 67 cents expected by analysts, with revenue of $636 million also surpassing the $629 million forecast, demonstrating its growth potential in a competitive landscape.
- Newmont's Record Cash Flow: Newmont's adjusted earnings of $2.52 per share exceeded the consensus estimate of $2.04, alongside a record $7.3 billion in free cash flow, highlighting its strong performance and financial health in the resource extraction sector.
- Opendoor's Revenue Surge: Opendoor's Q4 revenue reached $736 million, significantly above the LSEG estimate of $549 million, although it anticipates an adjusted EBITDA loss in the low to mid $30 million range for Q1, management remains confident in achieving positive adjusted net income by the end of 2026, reflecting a strong long-term strategy.
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Dropbox Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations with Significant Net Income Growth
- Strong Earnings Report: Dropbox's Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.68 exceeded expectations by $0.01, with revenue reaching $6.363 billion, reflecting an impressive 888.7% year-over-year growth, indicating robust market performance.
- Share Buybacks: The company repurchased approximately 14.4 million shares for $414.6 million during the quarter, demonstrating management's confidence in future growth and contributing to an increase in earnings per share.
- Annual Performance Comparison: Total revenue for fiscal year 2025 was $2.521 billion, down 1.1% year-over-year; however, excluding FormSwift, revenue grew by 0.2%, showcasing the stability of its core business.
- Strong Cash Flow: Net cash provided by operating activities was $951.8 million, up from $894.1 million last year, with unlevered free cash flow reaching $1.016 billion, reflecting the company's effective cash management capabilities.
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West Virginia Sues Apple Over Failure to Prevent Child Sexual Abuse Material
- Lawsuit Initiated: West Virginia's Attorney General has filed a consumer protection lawsuit against Apple, alleging the company failed to effectively prevent child sexual abuse material from being stored and shared via iCloud and iOS devices, potentially exposing the company to significant damages and mandatory changes.
- Conflict of Privacy and Safety: Attorney General John McCuskey accuses Apple of prioritizing privacy branding and business interests over child safety, while other tech giants like Google and Microsoft have taken more proactive measures using technologies like PhotoDNA to combat such content.
- Impact of Technological Withdrawal: Apple had tested its own CSAM detection features in 2021 but withdrew them due to privacy advocates' concerns, leading to widespread criticism of the company's efforts to address child sexual abuse material, which could negatively impact its brand image and user trust.
- Potential Legal Consequences: Should West Virginia's lawsuit succeed, Apple may be forced to implement significant design or data security changes, with the state's pursuit of statutory and punitive damages directly affecting the company's financial standing.
See More
Apple Faces New Lawsuit Over CSAM Detection Failures
- Lawsuit Background: West Virginia Attorney General John McCuskey has filed a lawsuit against Apple, alleging the company failed to effectively curb child sexual abuse materials on its iOS devices and iCloud services, seeking statutory and punitive damages along with injunctive relief for effective CSAM detection.
- Privacy vs. Safety Conflict: Apple is accused of prioritizing its privacy branding over child safety, unlike other tech giants such as Google and Microsoft, which have proactively employed systems like PhotoDNA to identify and block child sexual abuse materials.
- Withdrawal of Technical Plans: Apple tested its own CSAM detection features in 2021 but withdrew them due to privacy advocates' concerns, resulting in ongoing criticism of the company's insufficient efforts to protect children from online exploitation.
- Potential Impact: Should West Virginia's lawsuit succeed, it could compel Apple to implement significant design or data security changes, potentially altering its market positioning regarding privacy and safety.
See More
Dropbox Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement: Dropbox is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.67, reflecting an 8.2% year-over-year decline, and revenue expected at $627.89 million, down 2.4% year-over-year, indicating growth challenges ahead.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Dropbox has beaten both EPS and revenue estimates 100% of the time, showcasing the company's stability in financial forecasting and market confidence, despite current downward pressures.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, reflecting analysts' cautious outlook on the company's future profitability, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Executive Changes: CFO Timothy Regan has resigned, with Ross Tennenbaum appointed as his successor, and this executive change could influence the company's strategic direction and financial management, prompting investors to monitor the new CFO's policies and execution capabilities.
See More
Dropbox Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: Dropbox reported Q4 revenue of $636 million, surpassing the upper end of guidance, and despite the wind-down of FormSwift, flat revenue for the year indicates significant operational efficiency improvements that are expected to lay a foundation for future growth.
- Cash Flow and Margin Improvement: The company generated over $1 billion in unlevered free cash flow in Q4, with gross margins at 80.8% and operating margins at 38.2%, enhancements that are likely to boost investor confidence and support future strategic investments.
- Strategic Focus on Dash: Dropbox identifies Dash as a crucial evolution of its core product, with early tests showing significant user engagement increases and a successful six-figure international deal signed in Q4, indicating potential for future revenue growth.
- Leadership Change and Future Outlook: The hiring of Eric Webster as Chief Business Officer signals the company's commitment to driving business growth, with management projecting 2026 revenue between $2.485 billion and $2.5 billion, reflecting a cautiously optimistic stance towards the market.
See More
Akamai's Disappointing Q1 Guidance Leads to Stock Drop
- Akamai's Q1 Guidance Cut: Akamai's forecast for Q1 adjusted earnings between $1.50 and $1.67 per share falls short of the $1.75 consensus, leading to an almost 8% drop in after-hours trading, indicating market concerns over its future profitability.
- Dropbox Slightly Beats Expectations: Dropbox reported Q4 adjusted earnings of 68 cents per share, narrowly exceeding the 67 cents expected by analysts, with revenue of $636 million also surpassing the $629 million forecast, demonstrating its growth potential in a competitive landscape.
- Newmont's Record Cash Flow: Newmont's adjusted earnings of $2.52 per share exceeded the consensus estimate of $2.04, alongside a record $7.3 billion in free cash flow, highlighting its strong performance and financial health in the resource extraction sector.
- Opendoor's Revenue Surge: Opendoor's Q4 revenue reached $736 million, significantly above the LSEG estimate of $549 million, although it anticipates an adjusted EBITDA loss in the low to mid $30 million range for Q1, management remains confident in achieving positive adjusted net income by the end of 2026, reflecting a strong long-term strategy.
See More
Dropbox Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations with Significant Net Income Growth
- Strong Earnings Report: Dropbox's Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.68 exceeded expectations by $0.01, with revenue reaching $6.363 billion, reflecting an impressive 888.7% year-over-year growth, indicating robust market performance.
- Share Buybacks: The company repurchased approximately 14.4 million shares for $414.6 million during the quarter, demonstrating management's confidence in future growth and contributing to an increase in earnings per share.
- Annual Performance Comparison: Total revenue for fiscal year 2025 was $2.521 billion, down 1.1% year-over-year; however, excluding FormSwift, revenue grew by 0.2%, showcasing the stability of its core business.
- Strong Cash Flow: Net cash provided by operating activities was $951.8 million, up from $894.1 million last year, with unlevered free cash flow reaching $1.016 billion, reflecting the company's effective cash management capabilities.
See More
West Virginia Sues Apple Over Failure to Prevent Child Sexual Abuse Material
- Lawsuit Initiated: West Virginia's Attorney General has filed a consumer protection lawsuit against Apple, alleging the company failed to effectively prevent child sexual abuse material from being stored and shared via iCloud and iOS devices, potentially exposing the company to significant damages and mandatory changes.
- Conflict of Privacy and Safety: Attorney General John McCuskey accuses Apple of prioritizing privacy branding and business interests over child safety, while other tech giants like Google and Microsoft have taken more proactive measures using technologies like PhotoDNA to combat such content.
- Impact of Technological Withdrawal: Apple had tested its own CSAM detection features in 2021 but withdrew them due to privacy advocates' concerns, leading to widespread criticism of the company's efforts to address child sexual abuse material, which could negatively impact its brand image and user trust.
- Potential Legal Consequences: Should West Virginia's lawsuit succeed, Apple may be forced to implement significant design or data security changes, with the state's pursuit of statutory and punitive damages directly affecting the company's financial standing.
See More
Apple Faces New Lawsuit Over CSAM Detection Failures
- Lawsuit Background: West Virginia Attorney General John McCuskey has filed a lawsuit against Apple, alleging the company failed to effectively curb child sexual abuse materials on its iOS devices and iCloud services, seeking statutory and punitive damages along with injunctive relief for effective CSAM detection.
- Privacy vs. Safety Conflict: Apple is accused of prioritizing its privacy branding over child safety, unlike other tech giants such as Google and Microsoft, which have proactively employed systems like PhotoDNA to identify and block child sexual abuse materials.
- Withdrawal of Technical Plans: Apple tested its own CSAM detection features in 2021 but withdrew them due to privacy advocates' concerns, resulting in ongoing criticism of the company's insufficient efforts to protect children from online exploitation.
- Potential Impact: Should West Virginia's lawsuit succeed, it could compel Apple to implement significant design or data security changes, potentially altering its market positioning regarding privacy and safety.
See More
Dropbox Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement: Dropbox is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.67, reflecting an 8.2% year-over-year decline, and revenue expected at $627.89 million, down 2.4% year-over-year, indicating growth challenges ahead.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Dropbox has beaten both EPS and revenue estimates 100% of the time, showcasing the company's stability in financial forecasting and market confidence, despite current downward pressures.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, reflecting analysts' cautious outlook on the company's future profitability, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Executive Changes: CFO Timothy Regan has resigned, with Ross Tennenbaum appointed as his successor, and this executive change could influence the company's strategic direction and financial management, prompting investors to monitor the new CFO's policies and execution capabilities.
See More
