Dow Receives Price Increase: Analyst Highlights Cost-Cutting Successes Amid Ongoing Margin Concerns
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 24 2025
0mins
Source: Benzinga
Analyst Upgrade: B of A Securities analyst Matthew DeYoe raised Dow Inc.'s price forecast to $26 from $24 while maintaining a Neutral rating, following the company's better-than-expected earnings results.
Earnings Performance: Dow reported an adjusted loss of 19 cents per share, surpassing Wall Street's estimate of a 29-cent loss, but revenue fell 8% year-over-year to $9.97 billion, missing the $10.23 billion estimate.
Cost-Cutting Impact: The analyst highlighted that Dow's earnings exceeded initial guidance due to effective cost-cutting measures, although concerns remain about global oversupply limiting profit growth.
Future Outlook: DeYoe raised the fourth-quarter EBITDA estimate to $690 million, driven by Packaging & Specialty Plastics, but expressed skepticism about the company's optimistic polyethylene margin outlook amid declining U.S. export prices.
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Analyst Views on DOW
Wall Street analysts forecast DOW stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
12 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 35.910
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
Current: 35.910
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
About DOW
Dow Inc. serves as a holding company for The Dow Chemical Company and its subsidiaries. The Company conducts its operations through six global businesses, which are organized into segments, such as Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure and Performance Materials & Coatings. Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment consists of two integrated global businesses: Hydrocarbons & Energy and Packaging and Specialty Plastics. This segment employs a polyolefin product portfolio. Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment consists of two customer-centric global businesses: Industrial Solutions and Polyurethanes & Construction Chemicals that develop intermediate chemicals that are essential to manufacturing processes, as well as downstream, customized materials and formulations that use advanced development technologies. Performance Materials & Coatings segment consists of two global businesses: Coatings & Performance Monomers and Consumer Solutions.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Texas Nuclear Project Environmental Assessment Completed
- Environmental Assessment Completed: The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission has finalized its environmental assessment for Dow Inc. (DOW) and X-energy's (XE) construction permit application for an advanced nuclear project in Texas, confirming no significant impact, marking a key milestone for the project.
- Review Ahead of Schedule: The review was completed ahead of schedule, indicating strong regulatory support for the project, which may expedite subsequent construction processes and enhance investor confidence.
- Independent Analysis Validated: The NRC's assessment was based on extensive independent analysis of air quality, water resources, and local species habitats, adhering to globally recognized safety and environmental standards, ensuring the project's sustainability.
- Industrial Application Potential: The proposed Long Mott Generating Station will provide electricity and high-temperature industrial steam to Dow's UCC Seadrift Operations, expected to produce over 4 billion pounds of materials annually, becoming North America's first grid-scale advanced nuclear reactor serving an industrial site.
See More
Dow and X-energy's Nuclear Project Approved by NRC
- Environmental Assessment Completed: The NRC has completed its environmental assessment ahead of schedule for Dow and X-energy's advanced nuclear project in Seadrift, Texas, concluding with a Finding of No Significant Impact, marking a significant milestone for the project.
- Power and Steam Supply: The project is expected to provide electricity and high-temperature industrial steam for Dow's UCC Seadrift operations, supporting the production of over 4 billion pounds of materials annually, thereby enhancing production capacity and advancing the company's strategic positioning in clean energy.
- Safety and Environmental Standards: The NRC's review was based on a comprehensive analysis of air quality, water resources, and local species habitats, ensuring the project meets globally recognized safety and environmental standards, which further bolsters public confidence in nuclear safety.
- Efficient Licensing Process: The approval establishes a replicable pathway for future nuclear project licensing, demonstrating Dow and X-energy's long-term preparation and technological advantages in nuclear safety, which will help accelerate the adoption of clean energy.
See More
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- Environmental Assessment Completed: The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has completed its environmental assessment ahead of schedule for Dow and X-energy's nuclear project in Seadrift, Texas, concluding with a Finding of No Significant Impact, marking a significant step forward for the project and expected to promote the application of safe, clean nuclear energy in the U.S.
- Project Scale and Impact: The Long Mott Generating Station will be the first grid-scale advanced nuclear reactor in North America serving an industrial site, expected to provide over 4 billion pounds of electricity and high-temperature industrial steam annually to Dow's UCC Seadrift operations, significantly enhancing production capacity and reducing energy costs.
- Environmental Protection Measures: Dow and X-energy have implemented proactive environmental mitigation measures, including identifying sensitive habitats before finalizing site layouts to ensure facility siting avoids impacts to protected resources, thereby minimizing environmental disruption during construction and demonstrating a commitment to sustainability.
- Technological Advantages and Safety: X-energy's XE-100 reactor design features 80 MW high-temperature gas cooling, using helium coolant to avoid radioactive contamination, and minimal water requirements that reduce impacts on aquatic ecosystems, showcasing its exceptional capabilities in environmental protection and clean energy supply.
See More
Honeywell's Underperformance Affects Dow Jones Index
- Dow Component Changes: Honeywell replaced Raytheon Technologies in the Dow on August 31, 2020, but has only delivered a 56.2% total return since then, significantly lagging behind RTX's 231.1%, indicating its failure to meet market expectations.
- Unfulfilled Innovation Potential: Although Honeywell was viewed as a diversified and innovative industrial giant in 2020, its persistent underperformance in earnings and free cash flow growth, partly due to supply chain and inflationary pressures, has hindered its ability to capitalize on its strengths.
- Spinoff Plans Generate Interest: In November 2024, activist investor Elliott Investment Management amassed a position exceeding $5 billion, prompting Honeywell to consider a breakup; the successful spinoff of Solstice Advanced Materials in October 2025, which saw a 79.4% gain, highlights the potential for growth through such restructuring.
- Future Outlook and Market Reaction: Honeywell plans to spin off its aerospace division on June 29, 2024, with the remaining business focusing on industrial and building automation, and the market anticipates that this structural adjustment could enhance its standing in the Dow, reflecting a broader preference for focused companies.
See More
Dow Chemical's Role in Data Center Liquid Cooling Market
- Growing Market Demand: As AI and cloud computing increase data center power density, Dow Chemical is identified as a key supplier of liquid cooling fluids, highlighting its significance in digital infrastructure demand and potentially opening new revenue streams for the company.
- Technical Challenges and Opportunities: The liquid cooling market has high technical requirements and long qualification cycles; despite facing pressure from competitors like 3M, Dow's expertise in high-performance computing may help establish long-term partnerships, thereby increasing market share.
- Capital Allocation Strategy: Dow's investment in liquid cooling aligns with its strategy of reallocating capital toward higher-margin specialty applications, although this may compete with other projects, adding complexity to execution.
- Risk and Reward Considerations: The liquid cooling market is still evolving, and customer adoption patterns along with long qualification cycles may limit the scalability of this opportunity within Dow's broader portfolio, prompting investors to monitor how it balances capital allocation with cash flow expectations.
See More
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- Future of Nuclear Energy: Founded in 2009, X-Energy focuses on developing industrial-sized nuclear reactors, with its Xe-100 gas-cooled SMRs capable of producing 80 megawatts of electricity each, addressing the urgent demand for low-cost clean energy in data centers.
- Funding Collaboration: In 2024, Amazon became the anchor investor in X-Energy's $500 million Series C funding round, with plans to jointly produce 5 gigawatts of energy by 2039, reflecting confidence in the future nuclear energy market.
- Market Performance: X-Energy went public on April 24 at $23 per share, and despite experiencing short-term volatility, its stock price has risen 30% from the IPO, reaching a market cap of $9.2 billion, indicating investor interest in its future potential.
- Financial Challenges: Although X-Energy reported $109 million in revenue for 2025, its $390 million comprehensive loss indicates that the company is not yet profitable and is unlikely to launch any products for the next five years, facing competition from companies like Oklo and NuScale.
See More
Texas Nuclear Project Environmental Assessment Completed
- Environmental Assessment Completed: The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission has finalized its environmental assessment for Dow Inc. (DOW) and X-energy's (XE) construction permit application for an advanced nuclear project in Texas, confirming no significant impact, marking a key milestone for the project.
- Review Ahead of Schedule: The review was completed ahead of schedule, indicating strong regulatory support for the project, which may expedite subsequent construction processes and enhance investor confidence.
- Independent Analysis Validated: The NRC's assessment was based on extensive independent analysis of air quality, water resources, and local species habitats, adhering to globally recognized safety and environmental standards, ensuring the project's sustainability.
- Industrial Application Potential: The proposed Long Mott Generating Station will provide electricity and high-temperature industrial steam to Dow's UCC Seadrift Operations, expected to produce over 4 billion pounds of materials annually, becoming North America's first grid-scale advanced nuclear reactor serving an industrial site.
See More
Dow and X-energy's Nuclear Project Approved by NRC
- Environmental Assessment Completed: The NRC has completed its environmental assessment ahead of schedule for Dow and X-energy's advanced nuclear project in Seadrift, Texas, concluding with a Finding of No Significant Impact, marking a significant milestone for the project.
- Power and Steam Supply: The project is expected to provide electricity and high-temperature industrial steam for Dow's UCC Seadrift operations, supporting the production of over 4 billion pounds of materials annually, thereby enhancing production capacity and advancing the company's strategic positioning in clean energy.
- Safety and Environmental Standards: The NRC's review was based on a comprehensive analysis of air quality, water resources, and local species habitats, ensuring the project meets globally recognized safety and environmental standards, which further bolsters public confidence in nuclear safety.
- Efficient Licensing Process: The approval establishes a replicable pathway for future nuclear project licensing, demonstrating Dow and X-energy's long-term preparation and technological advantages in nuclear safety, which will help accelerate the adoption of clean energy.
See More
Dow and X-energy Nuclear Project Receives Approval
- Environmental Assessment Completed: The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has completed its environmental assessment ahead of schedule for Dow and X-energy's nuclear project in Seadrift, Texas, concluding with a Finding of No Significant Impact, marking a significant step forward for the project and expected to promote the application of safe, clean nuclear energy in the U.S.
- Project Scale and Impact: The Long Mott Generating Station will be the first grid-scale advanced nuclear reactor in North America serving an industrial site, expected to provide over 4 billion pounds of electricity and high-temperature industrial steam annually to Dow's UCC Seadrift operations, significantly enhancing production capacity and reducing energy costs.
- Environmental Protection Measures: Dow and X-energy have implemented proactive environmental mitigation measures, including identifying sensitive habitats before finalizing site layouts to ensure facility siting avoids impacts to protected resources, thereby minimizing environmental disruption during construction and demonstrating a commitment to sustainability.
- Technological Advantages and Safety: X-energy's XE-100 reactor design features 80 MW high-temperature gas cooling, using helium coolant to avoid radioactive contamination, and minimal water requirements that reduce impacts on aquatic ecosystems, showcasing its exceptional capabilities in environmental protection and clean energy supply.
See More
Honeywell's Underperformance Affects Dow Jones Index
- Dow Component Changes: Honeywell replaced Raytheon Technologies in the Dow on August 31, 2020, but has only delivered a 56.2% total return since then, significantly lagging behind RTX's 231.1%, indicating its failure to meet market expectations.
- Unfulfilled Innovation Potential: Although Honeywell was viewed as a diversified and innovative industrial giant in 2020, its persistent underperformance in earnings and free cash flow growth, partly due to supply chain and inflationary pressures, has hindered its ability to capitalize on its strengths.
- Spinoff Plans Generate Interest: In November 2024, activist investor Elliott Investment Management amassed a position exceeding $5 billion, prompting Honeywell to consider a breakup; the successful spinoff of Solstice Advanced Materials in October 2025, which saw a 79.4% gain, highlights the potential for growth through such restructuring.
- Future Outlook and Market Reaction: Honeywell plans to spin off its aerospace division on June 29, 2024, with the remaining business focusing on industrial and building automation, and the market anticipates that this structural adjustment could enhance its standing in the Dow, reflecting a broader preference for focused companies.
See More
Dow Chemical's Role in Data Center Liquid Cooling Market
- Growing Market Demand: As AI and cloud computing increase data center power density, Dow Chemical is identified as a key supplier of liquid cooling fluids, highlighting its significance in digital infrastructure demand and potentially opening new revenue streams for the company.
- Technical Challenges and Opportunities: The liquid cooling market has high technical requirements and long qualification cycles; despite facing pressure from competitors like 3M, Dow's expertise in high-performance computing may help establish long-term partnerships, thereby increasing market share.
- Capital Allocation Strategy: Dow's investment in liquid cooling aligns with its strategy of reallocating capital toward higher-margin specialty applications, although this may compete with other projects, adding complexity to execution.
- Risk and Reward Considerations: The liquid cooling market is still evolving, and customer adoption patterns along with long qualification cycles may limit the scalability of this opportunity within Dow's broader portfolio, prompting investors to monitor how it balances capital allocation with cash flow expectations.
See More
Amazon's Investment in X-Energy: IPO Insights
- Future of Nuclear Energy: Founded in 2009, X-Energy focuses on developing industrial-sized nuclear reactors, with its Xe-100 gas-cooled SMRs capable of producing 80 megawatts of electricity each, addressing the urgent demand for low-cost clean energy in data centers.
- Funding Collaboration: In 2024, Amazon became the anchor investor in X-Energy's $500 million Series C funding round, with plans to jointly produce 5 gigawatts of energy by 2039, reflecting confidence in the future nuclear energy market.
- Market Performance: X-Energy went public on April 24 at $23 per share, and despite experiencing short-term volatility, its stock price has risen 30% from the IPO, reaching a market cap of $9.2 billion, indicating investor interest in its future potential.
- Financial Challenges: Although X-Energy reported $109 million in revenue for 2025, its $390 million comprehensive loss indicates that the company is not yet profitable and is unlikely to launch any products for the next five years, facing competition from companies like Oklo and NuScale.
See More
