DigitalOcean Receives Overweight Rating from KeyBanc
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 03 2026
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Coverage Initiation: KeyBanc Capital Markets has initiated coverage on DigitalOcean (DOCN) with an Overweight rating and a $200 price target, despite a 0.6% decline in premarket trading, indicating market caution regarding its future potential.
- Growing Market Demand: Analyst Jackson Ader highlighted that 2024 marks a pivotal moment for DigitalOcean as traditional customers and AI startups increasingly turn to the company to meet surging AI workload demands, leveraging its strengths in storage, memory, and CPU compute for AI inference needs.
- Cloud Capacity Expansion: DigitalOcean currently has nearly 50 MW of cloud capacity online, with plans to add 25 MW in the coming quarters and a recent announcement of a 60 MW tranche in 2027, totaling 135 MW in contracted capacity, showcasing its growth potential in the cloud computing market.
- Optimistic Financial Outlook: Assuming approximately $15 million in incremental ARR per MW, this could provide upside to performance expectations for 2028 and 2029, further bolstering investor confidence in DigitalOcean's future growth trajectory.
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Analyst Views on DOCN
Wall Street analysts forecast DOCN stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 177.810
Low
50.00
Averages
63.60
High
72.00
Current: 177.810
Low
50.00
Averages
63.60
High
72.00
About DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. is an AI-Native Cloud, purpose-built for inference and agentic workloads. It brings infrastructure, core cloud services, inference, data and agents together in one integrated stack. The platform combines production-ready GPU infrastructure, a full-stack cloud and an agentic experience layer. It offers a comprehensive set of cloud platform capabilities which span across Infrastructure-as-a-Service, including Droplet virtual machines, storage and networking offerings; Platform-as-a-Service and Software-as-a-Service, including Managed Hosting, Managed Database, Managed Kubernetes and Marketplace offerings. It also offers a comprehensive artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) platform - DigitalOcean Gradient AI Agentic Cloud, which includes Gradient AI Infrastructure with offerings, such as GPU Droplets and Bare Metal GPUs; the Gradient AI Platform, which offers various building block services including Large Language Models and Gradient AI Agents.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
DigitalOcean's AI Customer Revenue Soars 221%
- AI Revenue Surge: DigitalOcean's annual run-rate revenue from AI customers skyrocketed by 221% in Q1 2026, highlighting strong demand in the small and medium business sector and reinforcing its position in the cloud computing industry.
- Infrastructure Investment: The company raised $888 million to expand its data center capacity, planning to add 20 new centers to meet the overwhelming market demand for data center capacity, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Product Innovation: DigitalOcean launched its AI-Native Cloud platform featuring five service layers, enabling customers to leverage the latest AI chips and ready-made AI models to rapidly develop AI applications, enhancing its product competitiveness in the market.
- Analyst Ratings: Despite a 500% stock price increase over the past year, analysts have set an average price target of $180.64, indicating limited market expectations for future growth and reflecting that the current valuation already incorporates much of the anticipated growth.
See More
Analysis of DOCN Options Contracts and Investment Opportunities
- Put Option Appeal: The current bid for the $175.00 put option is $74.50, and if an investor sells-to-open this contract, they commit to buying the stock at $175.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $100.50, which represents about a 2% discount from the current price of $177.69, making it attractive for those interested in DOCN.
- Yield Potential Analysis: Should the put option expire worthless, it would yield a 42.57% return on the cash commitment, or an annualized return of 17.04%, positioning this contract as an appealing investment choice, particularly in the current market context.
- Call Option Returns: The $230.00 call option has a current bid of $77.00, and if an investor buys DOCN shares at $177.69 and sells this call, they could achieve a total return of 72.77% if the stock is called away at the December 2028 expiration, highlighting the potential upside of call options.
- Risk Assessment: The $230.00 call option has a 30% chance of expiring worthless, in which case the investor retains both the shares and the premium collected, further enhancing the safety and return potential of this investment strategy.
See More
DigitalOcean Shines Amidst Cloud Computing Competition
- Market Share Overview: Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud dominate over 60% of the cloud infrastructure market, highlighting intense competition, while DigitalOcean targets small and medium-sized businesses, effectively addressing a significant market need.
- AI Product Growth: DigitalOcean achieved a record annual run rate revenue of $1.03 billion in Q1, up 22% year-over-year, with AI customers contributing $170 million, reflecting a staggering 221% increase, indicating that AI products are now the company's primary growth drivers.
- Infrastructure Investment: To meet the strong demand for data center capacity, DigitalOcean recently raised $888 million from investors to expand its infrastructure, which is expected to further drive revenue growth, potentially reaching 50% next year.
- Analyst Ratings: Despite DigitalOcean's stock surging 500% over the past year, Wall Street analysts have set an average price target of $180.64, suggesting that the current valuation already reflects much of the expected growth, leaving limited room for further price appreciation in the near term.
See More
Stocks Surge as Yields Fall Following Peace Deal Announcement
- Yield Drop Impact: Following the Trump administration's announcement of a new peace deal, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.41%, its lowest since mid-May, leading to improved valuations for software companies; despite no new contracts being signed, enterprise software customers are now facing a more stable planning environment after deferring purchasing decisions due to geopolitical uncertainties.
- MongoDB Stock Surge: Data storage company MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) saw its stock rise by 5.3%, reflecting market optimism about its future growth potential, as investors reassess high-quality stocks in the context of falling interest rates, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
- DigitalOcean's Strong Performance: DigitalOcean (NYSE: DOCN) shares jumped 7.1%, marking a 269% increase year-to-date and reaching a new 52-week high, indicating increased market confidence in its business outlook despite significant volatility, as investors remain bullish on its long-term growth potential.
- Economic Data Influence: The U.S. economy added 172,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in May, significantly exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%; this robust labor market data alleviates concerns about an economic slowdown but diminishes the likelihood of near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, prompting investors to recalibrate their expectations for a prolonged high-rate environment.
See More
Strong Jobs Report Impacts Stock Market
- Job Data Surprises: The U.S. added 172,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in May, significantly exceeding economists' expectations of 85,000, while the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.3%, indicating strong economic momentum but reducing the likelihood of near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
- High Rate Pressure: A prolonged high-interest-rate environment can negatively impact growth-oriented sectors like technology by diminishing the present value of future earnings, prompting investors to reassess stock valuations and leading to a broad sell-off across the tech sector.
- Tech Stocks Decline: Stocks of MongoDB, Rapid7, and DigitalOcean fell by 4.7%, 4.8%, and 5.2% respectively, reflecting market concerns over sustained high rates, even as DigitalOcean's stock has surged 242% year-to-date.
- Investor Sentiment Fluctuates: While the market reacted strongly to the job data, causing significant price volatility, it also presents opportunities for investors to buy high-quality stocks, particularly in the context of the tech sector facing sell-offs.
See More
DigitalOcean Receives Overweight Rating from KeyBanc
- Coverage Initiation: KeyBanc Capital Markets has initiated coverage on DigitalOcean (DOCN) with an Overweight rating and a $200 price target, despite a 0.6% decline in premarket trading, indicating market caution regarding its future potential.
- Growing Market Demand: Analyst Jackson Ader highlighted that 2024 marks a pivotal moment for DigitalOcean as traditional customers and AI startups increasingly turn to the company to meet surging AI workload demands, leveraging its strengths in storage, memory, and CPU compute for AI inference needs.
- Cloud Capacity Expansion: DigitalOcean currently has nearly 50 MW of cloud capacity online, with plans to add 25 MW in the coming quarters and a recent announcement of a 60 MW tranche in 2027, totaling 135 MW in contracted capacity, showcasing its growth potential in the cloud computing market.
- Optimistic Financial Outlook: Assuming approximately $15 million in incremental ARR per MW, this could provide upside to performance expectations for 2028 and 2029, further bolstering investor confidence in DigitalOcean's future growth trajectory.
See More
DigitalOcean's AI Customer Revenue Soars 221%
- AI Revenue Surge: DigitalOcean's annual run-rate revenue from AI customers skyrocketed by 221% in Q1 2026, highlighting strong demand in the small and medium business sector and reinforcing its position in the cloud computing industry.
- Infrastructure Investment: The company raised $888 million to expand its data center capacity, planning to add 20 new centers to meet the overwhelming market demand for data center capacity, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Product Innovation: DigitalOcean launched its AI-Native Cloud platform featuring five service layers, enabling customers to leverage the latest AI chips and ready-made AI models to rapidly develop AI applications, enhancing its product competitiveness in the market.
- Analyst Ratings: Despite a 500% stock price increase over the past year, analysts have set an average price target of $180.64, indicating limited market expectations for future growth and reflecting that the current valuation already incorporates much of the anticipated growth.
See More
Analysis of DOCN Options Contracts and Investment Opportunities
- Put Option Appeal: The current bid for the $175.00 put option is $74.50, and if an investor sells-to-open this contract, they commit to buying the stock at $175.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $100.50, which represents about a 2% discount from the current price of $177.69, making it attractive for those interested in DOCN.
- Yield Potential Analysis: Should the put option expire worthless, it would yield a 42.57% return on the cash commitment, or an annualized return of 17.04%, positioning this contract as an appealing investment choice, particularly in the current market context.
- Call Option Returns: The $230.00 call option has a current bid of $77.00, and if an investor buys DOCN shares at $177.69 and sells this call, they could achieve a total return of 72.77% if the stock is called away at the December 2028 expiration, highlighting the potential upside of call options.
- Risk Assessment: The $230.00 call option has a 30% chance of expiring worthless, in which case the investor retains both the shares and the premium collected, further enhancing the safety and return potential of this investment strategy.
See More
DigitalOcean Shines Amidst Cloud Computing Competition
- Market Share Overview: Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud dominate over 60% of the cloud infrastructure market, highlighting intense competition, while DigitalOcean targets small and medium-sized businesses, effectively addressing a significant market need.
- AI Product Growth: DigitalOcean achieved a record annual run rate revenue of $1.03 billion in Q1, up 22% year-over-year, with AI customers contributing $170 million, reflecting a staggering 221% increase, indicating that AI products are now the company's primary growth drivers.
- Infrastructure Investment: To meet the strong demand for data center capacity, DigitalOcean recently raised $888 million from investors to expand its infrastructure, which is expected to further drive revenue growth, potentially reaching 50% next year.
- Analyst Ratings: Despite DigitalOcean's stock surging 500% over the past year, Wall Street analysts have set an average price target of $180.64, suggesting that the current valuation already reflects much of the expected growth, leaving limited room for further price appreciation in the near term.
See More
Stocks Surge as Yields Fall Following Peace Deal Announcement
- Yield Drop Impact: Following the Trump administration's announcement of a new peace deal, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.41%, its lowest since mid-May, leading to improved valuations for software companies; despite no new contracts being signed, enterprise software customers are now facing a more stable planning environment after deferring purchasing decisions due to geopolitical uncertainties.
- MongoDB Stock Surge: Data storage company MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) saw its stock rise by 5.3%, reflecting market optimism about its future growth potential, as investors reassess high-quality stocks in the context of falling interest rates, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
- DigitalOcean's Strong Performance: DigitalOcean (NYSE: DOCN) shares jumped 7.1%, marking a 269% increase year-to-date and reaching a new 52-week high, indicating increased market confidence in its business outlook despite significant volatility, as investors remain bullish on its long-term growth potential.
- Economic Data Influence: The U.S. economy added 172,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in May, significantly exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%; this robust labor market data alleviates concerns about an economic slowdown but diminishes the likelihood of near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, prompting investors to recalibrate their expectations for a prolonged high-rate environment.
See More
Strong Jobs Report Impacts Stock Market
- Job Data Surprises: The U.S. added 172,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in May, significantly exceeding economists' expectations of 85,000, while the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.3%, indicating strong economic momentum but reducing the likelihood of near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
- High Rate Pressure: A prolonged high-interest-rate environment can negatively impact growth-oriented sectors like technology by diminishing the present value of future earnings, prompting investors to reassess stock valuations and leading to a broad sell-off across the tech sector.
- Tech Stocks Decline: Stocks of MongoDB, Rapid7, and DigitalOcean fell by 4.7%, 4.8%, and 5.2% respectively, reflecting market concerns over sustained high rates, even as DigitalOcean's stock has surged 242% year-to-date.
- Investor Sentiment Fluctuates: While the market reacted strongly to the job data, causing significant price volatility, it also presents opportunities for investors to buy high-quality stocks, particularly in the context of the tech sector facing sell-offs.
See More
DigitalOcean Receives Overweight Rating from KeyBanc
- Coverage Initiation: KeyBanc Capital Markets has initiated coverage on DigitalOcean (DOCN) with an Overweight rating and a $200 price target, despite a 0.6% decline in premarket trading, indicating market caution regarding its future potential.
- Growing Market Demand: Analyst Jackson Ader highlighted that 2024 marks a pivotal moment for DigitalOcean as traditional customers and AI startups increasingly turn to the company to meet surging AI workload demands, leveraging its strengths in storage, memory, and CPU compute for AI inference needs.
- Cloud Capacity Expansion: DigitalOcean currently has nearly 50 MW of cloud capacity online, with plans to add 25 MW in the coming quarters and a recent announcement of a 60 MW tranche in 2027, totaling 135 MW in contracted capacity, showcasing its growth potential in the cloud computing market.
- Optimistic Financial Outlook: Assuming approximately $15 million in incremental ARR per MW, this could provide upside to performance expectations for 2028 and 2029, further bolstering investor confidence in DigitalOcean's future growth trajectory.
See More
