Company Sees FY26 Adjusted Operating Margin of 3%-5%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 13 2026
0mins
Sees FY26 adjusted operating margin 3%-5%. The company also expects free cash flow to be break-even and anticipates a return to top line growth in Q4.
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Analyst Views on FOSL
Wall Street analysts forecast FOSL stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 4.500
Low
5.00
Averages
5.00
High
5.00
Current: 4.500
Low
5.00
Averages
5.00
High
5.00
About FOSL
Fossil Group, Inc. is a global design, marketing, distribution and innovation company specializing in lifestyle accessories. The Company has a diverse portfolio of owned and licensed brands, which offers watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts and sunglasses. Its segments include the Americas, Europe, and Asia. The Americas segment includes sales to customers based in Canada, Latin America and the United States. The Europe segment includes sales to customers based in European countries, the Middle East and Africa. The Asia segment includes sales to customers based in Australia, greater China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand. Its owned brands include Fossil, Michele, Relic, Skagen and Zodiac, and licensed brands, Armani Exchange, Diesel, Emporio Armani, kate spade new york, Michael Kors, and Tory Burch. Its products are sold through department stores, specialty retailers, and commercial Websites worldwide.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Fossil Group Q1 Earnings Beat Expectations Despite Sales Decline
- Earnings Beat: Fossil Group reported Q1 net sales of $224.8 million, a 3.6% year-over-year decline, yet surpassed market expectations, leading to an approximately 11% stock price increase on Thursday, indicating investor confidence in the company's future.
- Regional Sales Performance: Sales in Europe fell 14% in constant currency, with the Americas down 3% and Asia slipping 1%, while wholesale sales rose 5% in constant currency; however, direct-to-consumer sales plummeted 29%, reflecting weak market demand.
- Gross Margin Contraction: The company's gross margin narrowed by 140 basis points year-over-year to 59.9%, primarily impacted by tariffs and timing of licensed brand royalties, although operating expenses decreased by 18.1% to $122.7 million, showcasing the company's efforts in cost control.
- Future Outlook: Fossil reiterated its FY26 outlook, projecting a net sales decline of 4%-6%, an adjusted operating margin of 3%-5%, and aiming for breakeven free cash flow, demonstrating the company's determination to seek stability amid challenges.
See More
Fossil (FOSL) Q1 Earnings Announcement and Market Expectations
- Earnings Announcement Date: Fossil (FOSL) is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on May 13 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.29, reflecting a staggering 190% year-over-year decline, indicating significant profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Expectations: The revenue estimate for Q1 stands at $204.74 million, representing a 12.2% year-over-year decrease, which highlights Fossil's ongoing sales struggles that could adversely affect its market share and future growth potential.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Fossil has only beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time while achieving a 100% success rate in beating revenue estimates, indicating relative stability in revenue management but ongoing concerns regarding profitability.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, while revenue estimates saw one upward revision with no downward adjustments, suggesting a lack of confidence in Fossil's future performance that may impact investor sentiment.
See More
InMobi Launches Omnichannel Advertising Solution with Significant Brand Impact
- Brand Impact Enhancement: FOSSIL's BIG TIC spring campaign utilizing InMobi's omnichannel advertising solution achieved a 57% lift in brand recall and a 10% increase in brand awareness, significantly exceeding industry benchmarks, indicating the platform's effectiveness in enhancing brand visibility.
- User Data Integration: InMobi's Ad Experiences combines Glance's 300 million global users with a reach of 2.5 billion, creating a unique data model that provides rich user-level context, thereby enhancing advertising effectiveness and fostering deeper brand-consumer interactions.
- Omnichannel Strategic Expansion: InMobi plans to extend Ad Experiences across mobile and web environments in the coming months, marking a strategic pivot in the advertising sector aimed at achieving brand objectives through the integration of inventory, targeting, creative, and measurement.
- Future Advertising Trends: InMobi's Chief Business Officer stated that the Ad Experiences represent the future of brand-consumer interactions in an AI-driven omnichannel world, emphasizing the ability to achieve targeted outcomes from brand awareness to conversion using a single intelligent platform, driving innovation in the advertising industry.
See More
Fossil Group Reports Q4 2025 Earnings with Positive Outlook
- Successful Transformation: CEO Franco Fogliato described 2025 as a transformative year for the company, successfully executing a turnaround plan focused on core business, resulting in financial performance that exceeded expectations and showcasing strong operational capabilities.
- Margin Improvement: The shift to a full-price selling model restored gross margins to the mid-50s, with Q4 gross margin reaching 57.4%, up 350 basis points from last year, indicating sustained strength in product margins.
- Sales Growth Outlook: Management expects sales in 2026 to range from $945 million to $965 million, with anticipated top-line growth in Q4, reflecting confidence in future market conditions and proactive strategic positioning.
- Effective Cost Control: The company achieved a 16% reduction in SG&A expenses and closed 49 stores, successfully optimizing its cost structure, while year-end inventory decreased by 15%, demonstrating ongoing efforts to enhance profitability.
See More
Fossil (FOSL) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
Fossil Issues Financial Guidance for FY 2026 Amid Revenue Decline
- Earnings Report: Fossil's Q4 non-GAAP EPS was -$0.15, with revenue at $280.5 million, reflecting an 18.1% year-over-year decline, although it beat expectations by $31.22 million, indicating some resilience in a challenging market.
- Future Outlook: The company anticipates a 4% to 6% decline in worldwide net sales for FY 2026, but expects a return to growth in Q4, suggesting proactive measures are being taken to address market challenges and seek recovery.
- Adjusted Operating Margin: The adjusted operating margin is projected to be in the range of 3% to 5%, reflecting efforts in cost control and efficiency improvements, despite the ongoing tough market environment.
- Long-Term Target Increase: Fossil has raised its long-term financial targets, expecting low-to-mid single-digit growth in worldwide net sales and high single-digit adjusted operating margins by 2028, demonstrating confidence in future growth prospects.
See More
Fossil Group Q1 Earnings Beat Expectations Despite Sales Decline
- Earnings Beat: Fossil Group reported Q1 net sales of $224.8 million, a 3.6% year-over-year decline, yet surpassed market expectations, leading to an approximately 11% stock price increase on Thursday, indicating investor confidence in the company's future.
- Regional Sales Performance: Sales in Europe fell 14% in constant currency, with the Americas down 3% and Asia slipping 1%, while wholesale sales rose 5% in constant currency; however, direct-to-consumer sales plummeted 29%, reflecting weak market demand.
- Gross Margin Contraction: The company's gross margin narrowed by 140 basis points year-over-year to 59.9%, primarily impacted by tariffs and timing of licensed brand royalties, although operating expenses decreased by 18.1% to $122.7 million, showcasing the company's efforts in cost control.
- Future Outlook: Fossil reiterated its FY26 outlook, projecting a net sales decline of 4%-6%, an adjusted operating margin of 3%-5%, and aiming for breakeven free cash flow, demonstrating the company's determination to seek stability amid challenges.
See More
Fossil (FOSL) Q1 Earnings Announcement and Market Expectations
- Earnings Announcement Date: Fossil (FOSL) is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on May 13 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.29, reflecting a staggering 190% year-over-year decline, indicating significant profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Expectations: The revenue estimate for Q1 stands at $204.74 million, representing a 12.2% year-over-year decrease, which highlights Fossil's ongoing sales struggles that could adversely affect its market share and future growth potential.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Fossil has only beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time while achieving a 100% success rate in beating revenue estimates, indicating relative stability in revenue management but ongoing concerns regarding profitability.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, while revenue estimates saw one upward revision with no downward adjustments, suggesting a lack of confidence in Fossil's future performance that may impact investor sentiment.
See More
InMobi Launches Omnichannel Advertising Solution with Significant Brand Impact
- Brand Impact Enhancement: FOSSIL's BIG TIC spring campaign utilizing InMobi's omnichannel advertising solution achieved a 57% lift in brand recall and a 10% increase in brand awareness, significantly exceeding industry benchmarks, indicating the platform's effectiveness in enhancing brand visibility.
- User Data Integration: InMobi's Ad Experiences combines Glance's 300 million global users with a reach of 2.5 billion, creating a unique data model that provides rich user-level context, thereby enhancing advertising effectiveness and fostering deeper brand-consumer interactions.
- Omnichannel Strategic Expansion: InMobi plans to extend Ad Experiences across mobile and web environments in the coming months, marking a strategic pivot in the advertising sector aimed at achieving brand objectives through the integration of inventory, targeting, creative, and measurement.
- Future Advertising Trends: InMobi's Chief Business Officer stated that the Ad Experiences represent the future of brand-consumer interactions in an AI-driven omnichannel world, emphasizing the ability to achieve targeted outcomes from brand awareness to conversion using a single intelligent platform, driving innovation in the advertising industry.
See More
Fossil Group Reports Q4 2025 Earnings with Positive Outlook
- Successful Transformation: CEO Franco Fogliato described 2025 as a transformative year for the company, successfully executing a turnaround plan focused on core business, resulting in financial performance that exceeded expectations and showcasing strong operational capabilities.
- Margin Improvement: The shift to a full-price selling model restored gross margins to the mid-50s, with Q4 gross margin reaching 57.4%, up 350 basis points from last year, indicating sustained strength in product margins.
- Sales Growth Outlook: Management expects sales in 2026 to range from $945 million to $965 million, with anticipated top-line growth in Q4, reflecting confidence in future market conditions and proactive strategic positioning.
- Effective Cost Control: The company achieved a 16% reduction in SG&A expenses and closed 49 stores, successfully optimizing its cost structure, while year-end inventory decreased by 15%, demonstrating ongoing efforts to enhance profitability.
See More
Fossil (FOSL) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
Fossil Issues Financial Guidance for FY 2026 Amid Revenue Decline
- Earnings Report: Fossil's Q4 non-GAAP EPS was -$0.15, with revenue at $280.5 million, reflecting an 18.1% year-over-year decline, although it beat expectations by $31.22 million, indicating some resilience in a challenging market.
- Future Outlook: The company anticipates a 4% to 6% decline in worldwide net sales for FY 2026, but expects a return to growth in Q4, suggesting proactive measures are being taken to address market challenges and seek recovery.
- Adjusted Operating Margin: The adjusted operating margin is projected to be in the range of 3% to 5%, reflecting efforts in cost control and efficiency improvements, despite the ongoing tough market environment.
- Long-Term Target Increase: Fossil has raised its long-term financial targets, expecting low-to-mid single-digit growth in worldwide net sales and high single-digit adjusted operating margins by 2028, demonstrating confidence in future growth prospects.
See More
