Citi Research: Optimistic Investor Attitude Towards Hong Kong Real Estate, Prefers SHK PPT and HANG LUNG PPT
Investor Sentiment: Citi's research shows positive sentiment towards Hong Kong real estate, with a preference for property developers and Central office over luxury retail, while non-discretionary retail is underperforming.
Stock Performance: Investors favor SHK PPT, with notable short selling activity in Hongkong Land, HANG LUNG PPT, and SWIREPROPERTIES, indicating mixed confidence in these stocks.
Divided Opinions: There are varied opinions on SINO LAND, HENDERSON LAND, and HYSAN DEV, with some stocks receiving underweight targets, including LINK REIT and WHARF REIC.
Limited Discussion: Other developers like CK ASSET and KERRY PPT have limited discussion, with varying short selling ratios reflecting differing investor confidence.
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Citi Anticipates Increased EPS Growth for HK Developers in 2026-2027, Suggests SHK PPT, SINO LAND, and More
Citi Research Insights: Citi Research highlights that investors are focusing on the potential upside of the Hong Kong real estate market for 2026-2027, despite last year's subdued performance, with a polarized rental outlook between luxury homes and office spaces.
Developer vs. Landlord Potential: The report suggests that developers may have greater earnings per share (EPS) upside compared to landlords, benefiting from improved profit margins and new land acquisitions.
Stock Recommendations: Recommended stocks include SHK PPT, SINO LAND, and HANG LUNG PPT, while UBS has made adjustments to its top picks, adding SINO LAND and removing HENDERSON LAND.
Dividend Outlook: The report indicates stable dividends for several companies, with SWIREPROPERTIES and Hongkong Land aiming for mid-single-digit growth, while LINK REIT and others may see a decrease in dividend per unit (DPU) due to negative rental growth.
Citi's Ratings and Target Prices for Hong Kong Developers (Table)
Stock Performance Overview: Various Hong Kong stocks showed mixed performance, with WHARF HOLDINGS and MTR CORPORATION experiencing slight gains, while HENDERSON LAND and NEW WORLD DEV saw declines.
Short Selling Data: Significant short selling activity was noted across several stocks, with HENDERSON LAND leading at $77.95M and a ratio of 26.874%, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
Analyst Ratings: Analysts have mixed ratings for the stocks, with HYSAN DEV and SHK PPT receiving "Buy" ratings, while WHARF HOLDINGS and NEW WORLD DEV are rated as "Sell."
Market Predictions: CLSA predicts a 5% rise in Hong Kong home prices this year, favoring Hysan and Link REIT as preferred investments.
