Vanguard U.S. Multifactor ETF Analysis: The Vanguard U.S. Multifactor ETF (VFMF) has an implied analyst target price of $161.73 per unit, indicating a potential upside of 12.70% from its recent trading price of $143.51.
Notable Holdings with Upside Potential: Key underlying holdings of VFMF, such as Fidelity National Financial Inc (FNF), Tri Pointe Homes Inc (TPH), and Weatherford International plc (WFRD), show significant upside potential based on analyst target prices, with FNF at 24.03%, TPH at 19.74%, and WFRD at 19.14%.
Analyst Target Price Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that high target prices could lead to downgrades if they do not align with recent company and industry developments.
Investor Research Recommendation: Investors are encouraged to conduct further research to assess the validity of analysts' targets and to understand the implications of the current market conditions on these price predictions.
Wall Street analysts forecast TPH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TPH is 37.00 USD with a low forecast of 31.00 USD and a high forecast of 46.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TPH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TPH is 37.00 USD with a low forecast of 31.00 USD and a high forecast of 46.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 34.810
Low
31.00
Averages
37.00
High
46.00
Current: 34.810
Low
31.00
Averages
37.00
High
46.00
RBC Capital
Sector Perform
downgrade
$37 -> $31
2026-01-09
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$37 -> $31
AI Analysis
2026-01-09
downgrade
Sector Perform
Reason
RBC Capital lowered the firm's price target on TRI Pointe to $31 from $37 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. RBC Capital remains cautious into early 2026, with housing affordability still challenging and R&R potentially inflecting later in the year, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Nonresidential markets are mixed, key risks include policy changes, rates, and tariffs, and the sector is expected to remain volatile, with homebuilders the most cautious, distribution favored, and building products OEMs offering relatively attractive valuations.
Citizens
Outperform
initiated
$46
2026-01-07
Reason
Citizens
Price Target
$46
2026-01-07
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Citizens initiated coverage of TRI Pointe with an Outperform rating and $46 price target. The firm says the company's customer mix may be less mortgage rate sensitive than entry level focused builders. Further, TRI's active share repurchases should be attractive to investors, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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Wolfe Research
Outperform
to
Peer Perform
downgrade
2025-07-27
Reason
Wolfe Research
Price Target
2025-07-27
downgrade
Outperform
to
Peer Perform
Reason
Wolfe Research downgraded TRI Pointe to Peer Perform from Outperform without a price target. While the shares trade at a discounted valuation, the company's reduced spec builds "interrupts" the equity story in the near-term, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm now forecasts earnings declines for the next several quarters.
Seaport Global
Kenneth Zener
Hold
to
Strong Buy
Upgrades
$41
2025-03-06
Reason
Seaport Global
Kenneth Zener
Price Target
$41
2025-03-06
Upgrades
Hold
to
Strong Buy
Reason
Seaport Research upgraded TRI Pointe to Buy from Neutral with a $41 price target.
About TPH
Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. operates as a homebuilder, which is engaged in the design, construction, and sale of single-family attached and detached homes. It operates in two businesses: homebuilding and financial services. Its homebuilding operations consists of three segments: West Region, which includes Arizona, California, Nevada, and Washington; Central Region, which includes Colorado, Texas and Utah, and East Region, which includes the District of Columbia, Florida, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia. Its financial services operation (Tri Pointe Solutions) comprises its Tri Pointe Connect mortgage financing operations, its Tri Pointe Assurance title and escrow services operations, and its Tri Pointe Advantage property and casualty insurance agency operations. Tri Pointe Solutions provides mortgage loans to homebuyers through Tri Pointe Connect, title and escrow services through Tri Pointe Assurance, and property and casualty insurance through Tri Pointe Advantage.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
