Braze Q4 Revenue Beats Expectations, Stock Rises 20%
Skepticism crept into the "pathway to Iranian conflict offramp" narrative that boosted risky assets on Monday, and stocks fell on Tuesday, with Communication Services and Tech - particularly software names - suffering some of the bigger losses. Tuesday evening, however, Israeli media reported that US negotiators are seeking a one-month ceasefire with Tehran as the two sides hammer out a status quo amenable to both administrations - the White House is hoping to secure promises of commitment from Tehran not to develop a nuclear arsenal or to support rogue militias in exchange for helping the country develop a nuclear program for energy use. Separately, the WSJ also reported that mediators from Turkey, Egypt and Pakistan are working to secure a dialogue between Tehran and Washington. S&P 500 futures reopened up 0.7% on the latest developments while WTI Crude Oil retreated further below $89 per barrel.Among notable movers afterhours, Braze spiked 20% after the company's better than expected Q4 revenue with above-consensus top-line guidance. KB Home, however, was lower after a Q1 earnings miss, with homes delivered falling 14% from last year and average selling price compressing to $452,100, from $500,700, sending housing gross margins down to 15.5% from 20.3%.Check out this evening's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER AFTER EARNINGS -Brazeup 20.1%Paysignup 2.7%ALSO HIGHER -Robinhood Marketsup 1.9% after announcing $1.5B buybackDOWN AFTER EARNINGS -Abscidown 14.1%Velo3Ddown 9.3%KB Homedown 4.2%Worthington Enterprisesdown 2.6%GameStopdown 0.2%ALSO LOWER -Forgent Power Solutionsdown 10.6% after equity offeringDigitalOcean Holdingsdown 8.4% after equity offering
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- AI Model Impact: The release of Anthropic's new models, Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5, designed for complex knowledge work and coding, triggered a decline in software stocks, with Asana and Braze both falling 3.9%, indicating heightened market concerns over advancements in AI technology.
- Market Overreaction: In a 48-hour span, approximately $285 billion was wiped from software stock valuations, as fears that AI agents could render per-seat SaaS licensing obsolete intensified, creating a scenario referred to as the 'SaaSpocalypse' that undermined investor confidence.
- Macro Economic Pressures: The confirmation of an American Apache helicopter crash near Oman, coupled with Trump's response to an Iranian attack, added further macroeconomic headwinds to the software sector, particularly affecting the valuation of long-duration assets.
- Asana Stock Volatility: Asana has seen a 41.9% decline since the beginning of the year, trading at $7.54 per share, which is 50.9% below its 52-week high, reflecting a lack of confidence in its future growth, prompting investors to carefully assess the timing of potential purchases.
- Salesforce Financial Performance: In FY 2026, Salesforce achieved nearly $41.5 billion in revenue, reflecting a 9.6% year-over-year growth, with a net income of approximately $7.5 billion and a net margin of around 18%, underscoring its strong market position and profitability in customer relationship management.
- Braze Growth Potential: Braze reported revenue of nearly $738.2 million in the same fiscal year, marking a 24.4% increase year-over-year, although it incurred a net loss of about $131.3 million, resulting in a net margin of -17.8%, indicating robust market demand despite ongoing profitability challenges.
- Risks and Competition: Salesforce faces intense competition from major software companies like Microsoft and Alphabet, alongside cybersecurity risks and evolving data privacy regulations, while Braze relies on third-party infrastructure, exposing it to compliance risks and challenges in brand recognition.
- Valuation Comparison: Salesforce's forward P/E ratio stands at 14.3x, making it more attractive compared to Braze's 37.9x, while Braze's P/S ratio is 3.7x, highlighting its relative value in the market, catering to investors with varying risk appetites.
- Salesforce Financial Performance: In FY 2026, Salesforce achieved nearly $41.5 billion in revenue, reflecting a 9.6% year-over-year growth, with a net income of approximately $7.5 billion and a net margin of around 18%, showcasing its stable profitability and strong market position.
- Braze Growth Potential: Braze reported revenue of about $738.2 million in the same fiscal year, marking a 24.4% increase year-over-year, despite a net loss of nearly $131.3 million, indicating its high-risk, high-reward potential in rapid expansion.
- Market Competition Landscape: Salesforce faces intense competition from major software companies like Microsoft and Alphabet, while Braze competes with well-known providers like Adobe, highlighting the market pressures and challenges both companies encounter in their respective fields.
- Investor Choice Considerations: Salesforce is more suitable for conservative investors due to its stable cash flow and established business model, whereas Braze appeals to those seeking high growth and higher risk, reflecting the diverse needs of investment strategies.
- Quarterly Performance Overview: Braze's Q1 report revealed adjusted earnings of $0.10 per share on sales of $211 million, exceeding Wall Street's forecast by $5.8 million; however, the stock still fell by 4.2%.
- Sales Outlook Raised: The company raised its full-year sales target to between $895 million and $899 million, suggesting an annual growth of approximately 22%, indicating confidence in future performance, yet the market reaction was negative.
- Gross Margin Decline: Despite a year-over-year revenue increase of about 30%, the adjusted gross margin fell from 69.3% to 67.4%, raising investor concerns about profitability, which contributed to a 9.4% intraday drop in stock price.
- Market Reaction Analysis: The decline in Braze's stock price, despite the S&P 500 rising 0.6% and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.9%, reflects investor caution regarding the company's future profitability, potentially impacting market confidence.
- Quantum Computing Investment: IBM disclosed in a regulatory filing that it will invest over $10 billion in quantum computing over the next five years, a move expected to enhance the company's competitiveness in cutting-edge technology and solidify its market leadership.
- Chipmaker Stock Surge: Arm Holdings' shares jumped over 15% after Mizuho raised its price target from $290 to $360, anticipating strong growth from internal CPU demand in 2027, which boosts market confidence in its future performance.
- Rail Merger Halted: Shares of Norfolk Southern and Union Pacific fell about 4% after the Surface Transportation Board halted its review of the proposed $71.5 billion merger, indicating regulatory concerns that could impact future market consolidation.
- Cloud Platform Performance: Snowflake's stock soared 37%, with expectations for a second-quarter adjusted operating margin of 12.5%, exceeding analysts' forecast of 11.9%, demonstrating its strong growth potential in the cloud computing market.
- Dollar Tree Earnings Beat: Dollar Tree reported adjusted earnings of $1.74 per share for Q1, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.53, leading to an over 11% stock surge, while the partnership with DoorDash enhances its competitive edge through on-demand delivery.
- Salesforce Guidance Adjustment: Salesforce guided for current-quarter revenue between $11.27 billion and $11.35 billion, falling short of the $11.36 billion expected by analysts, resulting in a 1% stock decline; however, the raised full-year earnings guidance indicates confidence in future growth.
- Agilent Raises Earnings Outlook: Agilent Technologies increased its full-year adjusted earnings guidance to between $6 and $6.10 per share, surpassing previous estimates of $5.90 to $6.04, causing a 9% stock increase that reflects strong performance in the healthcare equipment sector.
- Snowflake Soars: Snowflake plans to invest $6 billion in Amazon Web Services over five years and reported Q1 adjusted earnings of $0.39 per share and revenue of $1.39 billion, both exceeding market expectations, resulting in a nearly 37% stock increase.











