Aon plc price target lowered to $380 from $385 at Morgan Stanley
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 10 2025
0mins
Should l Buy AON?
Morgan Stanley's Price Target Adjustment: Morgan Stanley has reduced its price target for Aon plc from $385 to $380 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, reflecting concerns over macroeconomic factors and increased loss ratios in the insurance sector.
Impact on Earnings Estimates: The firm has lowered Q1 and 2025 EPS estimates across its property and casualty insurance coverage due to higher core loss ratios, lower growth forecasts, and increased catastrophe events, indicating a cautious outlook amid recession fears.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy AON?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on AON
Wall Street analysts forecast AON stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AON is 396.20 USD with a low forecast of 328.00 USD and a high forecast of 449.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
16 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 343.360
Low
328.00
Averages
396.20
High
449.00
Current: 343.360
Low
328.00
Averages
396.20
High
449.00
About AON
Aon PLC is a global professional services company. The Company’s segments include Risk Capital and Human Capital. The Risk Capital segment supports clients through its Commercial Risk and Reinsurance solution lines. Commercial Risk includes insurance and specialty brokerage, global risk consulting, captives’ management, and Affinity programs. Reinsurance includes treaty reinsurance, facultative reinsurance, strategy and technology Group, and capital markets. The Human Capital segment supports clients through its Health solution. Health includes consulting and brokerage, consumer benefits solutions, and talent advisory services. It also provides retirement consulting. Treaty reinsurance addresses underwriting and capital objectives on a portfolio level, allowing its clients to manage the combination of premium growth, return on capital, and rating agency interests on an integrated basis.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Q1 2026 Insurance Labor Market Study Webinar Announcement
- Webinar Timing: A complimentary webinar sharing the results of the Q1 2026 Insurance Labor Market Study will take place on February 19, 2026, at 1 p.m. CST, aimed at providing the insurance industry with insights into current talent market trends and hiring plans.
- Research Background: Conducted by The Jacobson Group and Aon plc, the survey ran from January 12 to February 1, targeting insurance carriers across all sectors to assess hiring and revenue strategies, thereby aiding the industry in adapting its talent strategies amidst a shifting landscape.
- Industry Outlook: While the financial performance in 2025 was strong, analysts predict potential softening market conditions that may impact talent strategies for carriers, with the study offering valuable perspectives on how to navigate these changes.
- Participation Invitation: All members of the insurance community are invited to register for the webinar, where executives from Jacobson Group and Aon will share key findings and discuss labor market trends and staffing expectations for the upcoming year.
See More
2026 Q1 Insurance Labor Market Study Webinar Announcement
- Webinar Timing: A complimentary webinar on the Q1 2026 Insurance Labor Market Study will take place at 1 p.m. CST on February 19, 2026, aimed at sharing key findings and discussing industry trends to assist insurers in shaping their talent strategies.
- Research Background: Conducted by The Jacobson Group and Aon plc, the survey ran from January 12 to February 1, 2026, covering hiring and revenue plans from insurance carriers across all sectors, providing insights for the next 12 months.
- Industry Outlook: Jeffrey Blair, Senior VP at Jacobson Group, emphasized that the study's results since 2009 have served as a benchmark for insurers to adapt their talent strategies amid a shifting landscape, highlighting the importance of evolving talent markets for organizational success.
- Market Condition Analysis: Jeff Rieder from Aon noted that while financial performance was strong in 2025, analysts predict softening market conditions that may impact talent strategies for carriers, underscoring the study's relevance in navigating these changes.
See More
Booking Holdings Excels as February's Top Performer
- February Seasonality: Booking Holdings has historically achieved an average gain of 8.72% in February over the past 20 years, making it the company's best-performing month with a 76% win rate, indicating strong investor appeal.
- Historical Peak Performance: In February 2009, Booking's stock surged by 26.49%, while it faced an 11.6% decline in 2022, reflecting the impact of market volatility on its performance.
- Competitor Performance: Nvidia also shows strength in February with an average gain of 6.57% and a 76% win rate, achieving a remarkable 28.58% increase in February 2024, driven by sustained demand for AI infrastructure.
- Defensive Stock Performance: Aon plc averages a 5.32% gain in February, marking it as its best month, with a 76% win rate, demonstrating stability amid market uncertainties.
See More
AON PLC: UBS Increases Target Price from $380 to $385
- UBS Raises Target Price: UBS has increased its target price for a specific asset from $380 to $385.
- Market Implications: This adjustment may reflect UBS's confidence in the asset's performance and potential growth in the market.
See More
Aon plc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Significant Strategic Progress: Aon achieved 6% organic revenue growth in 2025, with total revenue increasing 9% year-over-year to $17 billion, and an adjusted operating margin of 32.4%, reflecting successful execution of the 3x3 plan and Aon United strategy.
- Capital Expansion Initiative: The company announced an expansion of the Data Center Lifecycle Insurance Protection Program (DCLP) to $2.5 billion, launching the first-ever data center-specific treaty, marking a major advancement in innovation and market demand.
- Strong Cash Flow: Free cash flow grew 14% to $3.2 billion in 2025, with management projecting $4.3 billion in free cash flow for 2026, demonstrating ongoing improvements in capital management and operational efficiency.
- Acquisition and Buyback Commitment: Management reiterated a commitment to at least $1 billion in share repurchases for 2026 while evaluating inorganic growth opportunities in high-margin, high-growth sectors, indicating strategic flexibility in capital allocation.
See More
Aon Reports Q4 Earnings Exceeding Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Aon reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $4.85, surpassing the $4.75 consensus and up 9.7% from $4.42 a year ago, indicating sustained improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Miss: Total revenue of $4.30 billion fell short of the expected $4.37 billion, yet increased 4% from $4.15 billion last year, reflecting the company's resilience in a complex market environment.
- Positive Outlook: Aon projects mid-single-digit organic revenue growth for 2026, alongside a targeted 70-80 basis points expansion in adjusted operating margin, demonstrating confidence in future growth.
- Significant Cash Flow Growth: The company generated $1.32 billion in free cash flow for the quarter, a 16% year-over-year increase, which not only enhances financial flexibility but also supports future investments and shareholder returns.
See More
Q1 2026 Insurance Labor Market Study Webinar Announcement
- Webinar Timing: A complimentary webinar sharing the results of the Q1 2026 Insurance Labor Market Study will take place on February 19, 2026, at 1 p.m. CST, aimed at providing the insurance industry with insights into current talent market trends and hiring plans.
- Research Background: Conducted by The Jacobson Group and Aon plc, the survey ran from January 12 to February 1, targeting insurance carriers across all sectors to assess hiring and revenue strategies, thereby aiding the industry in adapting its talent strategies amidst a shifting landscape.
- Industry Outlook: While the financial performance in 2025 was strong, analysts predict potential softening market conditions that may impact talent strategies for carriers, with the study offering valuable perspectives on how to navigate these changes.
- Participation Invitation: All members of the insurance community are invited to register for the webinar, where executives from Jacobson Group and Aon will share key findings and discuss labor market trends and staffing expectations for the upcoming year.
See More
2026 Q1 Insurance Labor Market Study Webinar Announcement
- Webinar Timing: A complimentary webinar on the Q1 2026 Insurance Labor Market Study will take place at 1 p.m. CST on February 19, 2026, aimed at sharing key findings and discussing industry trends to assist insurers in shaping their talent strategies.
- Research Background: Conducted by The Jacobson Group and Aon plc, the survey ran from January 12 to February 1, 2026, covering hiring and revenue plans from insurance carriers across all sectors, providing insights for the next 12 months.
- Industry Outlook: Jeffrey Blair, Senior VP at Jacobson Group, emphasized that the study's results since 2009 have served as a benchmark for insurers to adapt their talent strategies amid a shifting landscape, highlighting the importance of evolving talent markets for organizational success.
- Market Condition Analysis: Jeff Rieder from Aon noted that while financial performance was strong in 2025, analysts predict softening market conditions that may impact talent strategies for carriers, underscoring the study's relevance in navigating these changes.
See More
Booking Holdings Excels as February's Top Performer
- February Seasonality: Booking Holdings has historically achieved an average gain of 8.72% in February over the past 20 years, making it the company's best-performing month with a 76% win rate, indicating strong investor appeal.
- Historical Peak Performance: In February 2009, Booking's stock surged by 26.49%, while it faced an 11.6% decline in 2022, reflecting the impact of market volatility on its performance.
- Competitor Performance: Nvidia also shows strength in February with an average gain of 6.57% and a 76% win rate, achieving a remarkable 28.58% increase in February 2024, driven by sustained demand for AI infrastructure.
- Defensive Stock Performance: Aon plc averages a 5.32% gain in February, marking it as its best month, with a 76% win rate, demonstrating stability amid market uncertainties.
See More
AON PLC: UBS Increases Target Price from $380 to $385
- UBS Raises Target Price: UBS has increased its target price for a specific asset from $380 to $385.
- Market Implications: This adjustment may reflect UBS's confidence in the asset's performance and potential growth in the market.
See More
Aon plc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Significant Strategic Progress: Aon achieved 6% organic revenue growth in 2025, with total revenue increasing 9% year-over-year to $17 billion, and an adjusted operating margin of 32.4%, reflecting successful execution of the 3x3 plan and Aon United strategy.
- Capital Expansion Initiative: The company announced an expansion of the Data Center Lifecycle Insurance Protection Program (DCLP) to $2.5 billion, launching the first-ever data center-specific treaty, marking a major advancement in innovation and market demand.
- Strong Cash Flow: Free cash flow grew 14% to $3.2 billion in 2025, with management projecting $4.3 billion in free cash flow for 2026, demonstrating ongoing improvements in capital management and operational efficiency.
- Acquisition and Buyback Commitment: Management reiterated a commitment to at least $1 billion in share repurchases for 2026 while evaluating inorganic growth opportunities in high-margin, high-growth sectors, indicating strategic flexibility in capital allocation.
See More
Aon Reports Q4 Earnings Exceeding Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Aon reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $4.85, surpassing the $4.75 consensus and up 9.7% from $4.42 a year ago, indicating sustained improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Miss: Total revenue of $4.30 billion fell short of the expected $4.37 billion, yet increased 4% from $4.15 billion last year, reflecting the company's resilience in a complex market environment.
- Positive Outlook: Aon projects mid-single-digit organic revenue growth for 2026, alongside a targeted 70-80 basis points expansion in adjusted operating margin, demonstrating confidence in future growth.
- Significant Cash Flow Growth: The company generated $1.32 billion in free cash flow for the quarter, a 16% year-over-year increase, which not only enhances financial flexibility but also supports future investments and shareholder returns.
See More
