Analysts See Buyback Potential for Software Firms
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 02 2026
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Increased Buyback Programs: Analysts at Needham highlight that enterprise software companies like Zoom, Freshworks, and monday.com could see significant growth in free cash flow per share if they executed larger stock buybacks, particularly given current market valuations.
- Market Sentiment Impact: While current market sentiment may limit the immediate impact on free cash flow per share growth in the software sector, analysts believe that if the value of the software layer persists towards the end of the cycle, these buybacks could drive financially engineered share price gains.
- Cash Reserve Advantage: Among the companies covered by Needham, monday.com, Freshworks, and CS Disco have the highest percentage of net cash relative to their market caps, indicating their flexibility in capital management to leverage this for buybacks.
- Potential Growth Opportunities: Analysts suggest that if these six companies increase their buyback sizes, it could lead to meaningful free cash flow per share growth, providing long-term stock price benefits for investors.
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Analyst Views on ZM
Wall Street analysts forecast ZM stock price to fall
20 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 100.460
Low
85.00
Averages
99.33
High
115.00
Current: 100.460
Low
85.00
Averages
99.33
High
115.00
About ZM
Zoom Communications, Inc. provides an artificial intelligence (AI) work platform for human connection. Zoom Workplace, the Company’s AI-powered, open collaboration platform built for modern work, enables us to streamline communications, increase employee engagement, optimize in-person time, improve productivity, and offer customer choice with third-party apps and integrations. Zoom Workplace, powered by Zoom AI Companion, includes collaboration solutions like meetings, team chat, phone, scheduler, whiteboard, spaces, Workvivo, and more. Its communication products include Zoom Meetings, Zoom Phone, Zoom Team Chat, Zoom scheduler, and Zoom mail and calendar. Its productivity products include Zoom Docs, Zoom Whiteboard, Zoom Clips, and Zoom Tasks. Its space products include Zoom Rooms, Zoom Workspace Reservation, and Zoom Visitor Management. It serves various industries, including education, financial services, government, retail, manufacturing and healthcare.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Investment Value Surge: Zoom's stake in Anthropic has skyrocketed from 13% of its enterprise value at $1.27 billion to over $3 billion in just a few months, highlighting its strategic positioning in the upcoming IPO market.
- Strong Cash Flow: With approximately $2 billion in annual free cash flow and $7.7 billion in cash and marketable securities, Zoom demonstrates robust core business health and investment flexibility, bolstering market confidence.
- Enterprise Revenue Growth: Zoom's enterprise revenue rose by 7.2% last quarter, with an 8.2% increase in customers generating over $100,000 in trailing revenue, indicating enhanced competitiveness in the enterprise market and contributing to overall valuation uplift.
- Optimistic IPO Outlook: Anthropic is expected to go public this month at a valuation exceeding $900 billion, which would further increase the value of Zoom's holdings, potentially offering investors a high-return opportunity in the AI sector.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Anthropic is projected to double its revenue from $4.8 billion in Q1 to $10.9 billion in Q2, indicating strong market demand and growth potential, which is likely to attract further investor interest.
- Profitability Improvement: Despite substantial revenue growth, Anthropic expects to achieve an operating profit of $559 million in Q2, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain strong profitability during expansion, thereby enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- Zoom's Investment Returns: Zoom Ventures' investment in Anthropic in May 2023 is believed to constitute a significant portion of the $51 million invested during the quarter, and with Anthropic's soaring valuation, Zoom's stake is now valued at over $3 billion, showcasing the investment's immense potential.
- Core Business Recovery: Zoom's core business saw a 5.5% revenue increase last quarter, with enterprise revenue climbing 7.2% and a notable rise in customers generating over $100,000 in trailing revenue, laying a solid foundation for future growth and supporting its investment ahead of Anthropic's IPO.
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- Earnings Highlights: Zoom's recent earnings report showcased a 140 basis point beat, particularly with positive momentum in large enterprise segments, indicating strong performance in AI tools among the +100K and +1M user cohorts.
- User Growth: The AI Companion saw triple-digit growth in paid monthly active users, while My Notes reached 1.5 million users within four months of launch, demonstrating significant progress in diversified AI monetization pathways.
- Revenue Guidance Adjustment: Zoom raised its FY27 revenue guidance by $15 million to a range of $5.08 billion to $5.09 billion, although the constant currency basis did not fully reflect the beat, suggesting a potential deceleration in growth for the second half of the fiscal year, indicating a cautious outlook from the company.
- Analyst Rating: Citi maintained a Buy rating on Zoom and increased its price target from $122 to $126, reflecting analysts' optimistic expectations for the company's future performance, despite ongoing challenges in overall growth.
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- Significant Investment Returns: Zoom's initial investment of approximately $51 million in Anthropic in May 2023 has surged to over $1.3 billion, demonstrating the company's strategic foresight and ability to generate substantial returns in the AI sector.
- Strong Financial Performance: Zoom reported Q1 revenue of $1.24 billion, a 5.5% year-over-year increase, with adjusted earnings rising to $1.55 per share, exceeding analyst expectations and prompting an upward revision of its full-year guidance, indicating robust market demand.
- Share Buyback Initiative: The company has authorized a $1 billion share buyback program aimed at enhancing shareholder value, reflecting confidence in future growth and further bolstering market sentiment towards its stock.
- Optimistic Analyst Ratings: According to Koyfin, 17 out of 30 analysts rate Zoom as a 'buy', indicating strong market confidence in its future performance, particularly in the context of its transition towards AI-driven business tools.
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- Revenue Growth: Zoom's total revenue for Q1 FY2027 rose 5.5% year-over-year to $1.2 billion, primarily driven by a 7.2% increase in enterprise revenue to $755.7 million, indicating strong performance in the corporate market.
- Customer Expansion: The number of customers contributing over $100,000 in trailing-12-month revenue grew by 8.2% to 4,534, demonstrating Zoom's success in maintaining and expanding its high-value customer base, which further strengthens its market position.
- AI Product Adoption: The number of AI Companion paid users surged by 184%, while My Notes reached 1.5 million licensed users within just four months of launch, reflecting strong demand for AI-driven tools and propelling the company's transformation into a comprehensive business communications platform.
- Optimistic Profit Forecast: Management expects full-year revenue of approximately $5.1 billion, adjusted earnings per share between $5.96 and $6.00, and free cash flow of $1.7 billion, reflecting confidence in future growth and commitment to shareholder returns.
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