Analysis-Renewed inflation worries help drive oil price rally By Reuters
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 27 2025
0mins
Source: Investing.com
Investor Behavior: Investors are increasingly purchasing crude oil futures as a hedge against potential inflation risks due to U.S. trade tariffs, leading to the largest net long position in nine months and contributing to a rally in oil prices.
Inflation Concerns: Rising oil prices are linked to fears of accelerating inflation, which could create a cycle where hedging activities further increase oil prices, thereby fueling more inflation concerns and impacting market dynamics.
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Analyst Views on GLP
Wall Street analysts forecast GLP stock price to fall
1 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 45.480
Low
45.00
Averages
45.00
High
45.00
Current: 45.480
Low
45.00
Averages
45.00
High
45.00
About GLP
Global Partners LP is an integrated owner, supplier, and operator of liquid energy terminals, fueling locations, and guest-focused retail experiences. The Company operates or maintains storage at 54 liquid energy terminals with connectivity to rail, pipeline, and marine assets spanning from Maine to Florida and into the United States Gulf States. It distributes gasoline, distillates, residual oil, and renewable fuels. The Company’s segments include Wholesale, Gasoline Distribution and Station Operations (GDSO) and Commercial. The Wholesale segment is engaged in the logistics of selling, gathering, blending, storing and transporting refined petroleum products, gasoline blend stocks, renewable fuels, crude oil and propane. The GDSO segment includes sales of branded and unbranded gasoline to gasoline station operators and sub-jobbers. The Commercial segment includes sales and deliveries of unbranded gasoline, home heating oil, diesel, kerosene, residual oil and bunker fuel.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Global Partners LP Declares Quarterly Cash Distribution
- Quarterly Cash Distribution: Global Partners LP announced a quarterly cash distribution of $0.59375 per unit, equating to an annualized distribution of $2.375 per unit, to be paid on May 15, 2026, reflecting the company's stable cash flow and commitment to its investors.
- Tax Information for Non-U.S. Investors: Concurrently, the company provided notice to brokers that distributions to non-U.S. investors will be treated as effectively connected income with U.S. trade or business, subject to federal income tax withholding at the highest applicable rate plus 10%, ensuring compliance and transparency.
- Business Network Expansion: Global Partners operates 54 liquid energy terminals along the U.S. East Coast, connecting strategic rail, pipeline, and marine assets, showcasing its critical role in the liquid energy supply chain and effectively meeting the needs of retail and commercial customers.
- Industry Recognition and Development: Recognized as one of Fortune's Most Admired Companies, Global Partners is committed to energy transition and actively diversifying its business to adapt to market changes and customer needs, ensuring long-term sustainable growth.
See More
Global Partners Valuation Analysis Highlights
- Stock Performance: Global Partners units are currently trading at $45, with a recent one-day share price increase of 2.55%, contrasting with a 7.22% decline over the past 30 days, highlighting the volatility in short-term performance against a backdrop of a 83.08% total shareholder return over three years.
- Intrinsic Value Assessment: The current unit price is close to the analyst target of $45.50, with an intrinsic value estimate suggesting a discount of about 38%, indicating that the market may not have fully priced in future growth potential, prompting investors to consider the earnings trajectory.
- Future Earnings Expectations: Analysts project that by 2029, Global Partners will achieve revenues of $43 billion and earnings of $168 million, trading at a PE ratio of 11.4x, which supports the current valuation but also necessitates consideration of risks such as long-term fossil fuel demand pressures.
- Investment Opportunity Exploration: As Global Partners garners attention, investors can leverage the Simply Wall St screener to identify other energy-related investment opportunities that could enhance portfolio diversity by targeting higher yields and stable cash flows.
See More
Top 10 Small-Cap Energy Stocks by Dividend Yield in the U.S.
- Leading Dividend Yield: CrossAmerica Partners LP (CAPL) tops the list with a 10.08% dividend yield, showcasing its strong cash return capability among small-cap energy stocks, attracting income-seeking investors.
- High-Yield Competition: Following closely are Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP) and Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS), offering 10.03% and 9.67% yields respectively, indicating their continued appeal amid current market volatility.
- Diverse Investment Options: The inclusion of TXO Partners, L.P. (TXO) and Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) in the top five highlights the diverse investment opportunities within small-cap energy stocks, catering to various risk appetites.
- Market Outlook Analysis: Although VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY) and World Kinect Corporation (WKC) present lower yields of 3.99% and 3.41%, they still provide investors with stable cash flows, making them suitable for conservative investors.
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Analysis of Upcoming Dividend Increases
- Nasdaq Dividend Growth: Nasdaq (NDAQ) is projected to increase its dividend by 12.5% in 2025, with a current yield of 1.3%, reflecting strong profitability and a consistent dividend growth potential despite its long-term performance mirroring tech-heavy indices.
- Synchrony Financial Outlook: Synchrony Financial (SYF) plans a 20% dividend increase in 2025, with a current yield of 1.8%, and its payout represents only 13% of estimated 2026 earnings, indicating room for further dividend expansion despite earnings variability.
- Victory Capital's Investment Strategy: Victory Capital (VCTR) is expected to raise its dividend by 4.2% in 2025, currently yielding 3.0%, and despite a recent failed acquisition attempt, the company maintains a strong history of dividend growth, with an announcement anticipated in early May.
- Paychex Market Performance: Paychex (PAYX) is projected to increase its dividend by 10.2% in 2025, with a yield of 4.7%, and despite facing economic headwinds, the company is expected to announce a dividend increase in early May, reflecting management's confidence in the current employment landscape.
See More
Global Partners LP COO Sells 15,611 Units for $740,000
- Executive Trading Activity: Mark Romaine, COO of Global Partners LP, disposed of 15,611 common units between March 16 and March 18, 2026, for a total value of approximately $740,000 at a weighted average price of $47.38 per unit, indicating executive confidence in the stock.
- Market Performance Insight: Post-transaction, the units closed at $47.92 on March 18, 2026, suggesting that despite geopolitical tensions, the market remains optimistic about the company's future performance.
- Investor Considerations: As a large-scale energy midstream operator, Global Partners LP's investment structure differs from traditional corporations, with investors becoming limited partners upon purchasing common units, necessitating attention to cash distributions and tax complexities, thus consulting a tax professional is advisable.
- Market Risk Assessment: Current political tensions may threaten global oil supply, and while GLP has not shown volatility in the past two months, investors should proceed with caution as market sentiment could shift rapidly with changing geopolitical conditions.
See More
Global Partners LP COO Sells 15,611 Units in Multiple Transactions
- Transaction Overview: Mark Romaine, COO of Global Partners LP, directly sold 15,611 common units between March 16 and March 18, 2026, totaling approximately $740,000, indicating a strategic adjustment in executive ownership.
- Shareholding Changes: Post-transaction, Romaine holds 146,874 common units directly, valued at around $7.04 million, reflecting sensitivity to market pricing and expectations regarding future stock performance.
- Market Impact: Amid rising global oil supply risks, Romaine's divestment may raise investor concerns about the company's future performance, particularly as gas prices soar, despite GLP's stock showing stability over the past two months.
- Investor Considerations: Investors should understand the unique structure of MLPs, as cash distributions from common units often exceed typical corporate dividends, but the tax implications can be complex, making it advisable to consult tax professionals to navigate potential issues.
See More
Global Partners LP Declares Quarterly Cash Distribution
- Quarterly Cash Distribution: Global Partners LP announced a quarterly cash distribution of $0.59375 per unit, equating to an annualized distribution of $2.375 per unit, to be paid on May 15, 2026, reflecting the company's stable cash flow and commitment to its investors.
- Tax Information for Non-U.S. Investors: Concurrently, the company provided notice to brokers that distributions to non-U.S. investors will be treated as effectively connected income with U.S. trade or business, subject to federal income tax withholding at the highest applicable rate plus 10%, ensuring compliance and transparency.
- Business Network Expansion: Global Partners operates 54 liquid energy terminals along the U.S. East Coast, connecting strategic rail, pipeline, and marine assets, showcasing its critical role in the liquid energy supply chain and effectively meeting the needs of retail and commercial customers.
- Industry Recognition and Development: Recognized as one of Fortune's Most Admired Companies, Global Partners is committed to energy transition and actively diversifying its business to adapt to market changes and customer needs, ensuring long-term sustainable growth.
See More
Global Partners Valuation Analysis Highlights
- Stock Performance: Global Partners units are currently trading at $45, with a recent one-day share price increase of 2.55%, contrasting with a 7.22% decline over the past 30 days, highlighting the volatility in short-term performance against a backdrop of a 83.08% total shareholder return over three years.
- Intrinsic Value Assessment: The current unit price is close to the analyst target of $45.50, with an intrinsic value estimate suggesting a discount of about 38%, indicating that the market may not have fully priced in future growth potential, prompting investors to consider the earnings trajectory.
- Future Earnings Expectations: Analysts project that by 2029, Global Partners will achieve revenues of $43 billion and earnings of $168 million, trading at a PE ratio of 11.4x, which supports the current valuation but also necessitates consideration of risks such as long-term fossil fuel demand pressures.
- Investment Opportunity Exploration: As Global Partners garners attention, investors can leverage the Simply Wall St screener to identify other energy-related investment opportunities that could enhance portfolio diversity by targeting higher yields and stable cash flows.
See More
Top 10 Small-Cap Energy Stocks by Dividend Yield in the U.S.
- Leading Dividend Yield: CrossAmerica Partners LP (CAPL) tops the list with a 10.08% dividend yield, showcasing its strong cash return capability among small-cap energy stocks, attracting income-seeking investors.
- High-Yield Competition: Following closely are Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP) and Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS), offering 10.03% and 9.67% yields respectively, indicating their continued appeal amid current market volatility.
- Diverse Investment Options: The inclusion of TXO Partners, L.P. (TXO) and Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) in the top five highlights the diverse investment opportunities within small-cap energy stocks, catering to various risk appetites.
- Market Outlook Analysis: Although VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY) and World Kinect Corporation (WKC) present lower yields of 3.99% and 3.41%, they still provide investors with stable cash flows, making them suitable for conservative investors.
See More
Analysis of Upcoming Dividend Increases
- Nasdaq Dividend Growth: Nasdaq (NDAQ) is projected to increase its dividend by 12.5% in 2025, with a current yield of 1.3%, reflecting strong profitability and a consistent dividend growth potential despite its long-term performance mirroring tech-heavy indices.
- Synchrony Financial Outlook: Synchrony Financial (SYF) plans a 20% dividend increase in 2025, with a current yield of 1.8%, and its payout represents only 13% of estimated 2026 earnings, indicating room for further dividend expansion despite earnings variability.
- Victory Capital's Investment Strategy: Victory Capital (VCTR) is expected to raise its dividend by 4.2% in 2025, currently yielding 3.0%, and despite a recent failed acquisition attempt, the company maintains a strong history of dividend growth, with an announcement anticipated in early May.
- Paychex Market Performance: Paychex (PAYX) is projected to increase its dividend by 10.2% in 2025, with a yield of 4.7%, and despite facing economic headwinds, the company is expected to announce a dividend increase in early May, reflecting management's confidence in the current employment landscape.
See More
Global Partners LP COO Sells 15,611 Units for $740,000
- Executive Trading Activity: Mark Romaine, COO of Global Partners LP, disposed of 15,611 common units between March 16 and March 18, 2026, for a total value of approximately $740,000 at a weighted average price of $47.38 per unit, indicating executive confidence in the stock.
- Market Performance Insight: Post-transaction, the units closed at $47.92 on March 18, 2026, suggesting that despite geopolitical tensions, the market remains optimistic about the company's future performance.
- Investor Considerations: As a large-scale energy midstream operator, Global Partners LP's investment structure differs from traditional corporations, with investors becoming limited partners upon purchasing common units, necessitating attention to cash distributions and tax complexities, thus consulting a tax professional is advisable.
- Market Risk Assessment: Current political tensions may threaten global oil supply, and while GLP has not shown volatility in the past two months, investors should proceed with caution as market sentiment could shift rapidly with changing geopolitical conditions.
See More
Global Partners LP COO Sells 15,611 Units in Multiple Transactions
- Transaction Overview: Mark Romaine, COO of Global Partners LP, directly sold 15,611 common units between March 16 and March 18, 2026, totaling approximately $740,000, indicating a strategic adjustment in executive ownership.
- Shareholding Changes: Post-transaction, Romaine holds 146,874 common units directly, valued at around $7.04 million, reflecting sensitivity to market pricing and expectations regarding future stock performance.
- Market Impact: Amid rising global oil supply risks, Romaine's divestment may raise investor concerns about the company's future performance, particularly as gas prices soar, despite GLP's stock showing stability over the past two months.
- Investor Considerations: Investors should understand the unique structure of MLPs, as cash distributions from common units often exceed typical corporate dividends, but the tax implications can be complex, making it advisable to consult tax professionals to navigate potential issues.
See More
