American Bitcoin Stock Plummets Over 70% Since Launch: Here's Why One Firm Just Rated It as a Buy.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 10 2025
0mins
Should l Buy MSTR?
Source: Barron's
- Investor Reaction: Investors sold their shares of American Bitcoin at the first opportunity, indicating a lack of confidence in the company.
- Market Analysis: Despite the sell-off, one firm has labeled the stock as a "Buy," suggesting potential for recovery or growth.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy MSTR?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on MSTR
Wall Street analysts forecast MSTR stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 186.970
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
Current: 186.970
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
About MSTR
Strategy Inc. is a bitcoin treasury and business intelligence company. The Company provides cloud-native, artificial intelligence (AI)-powered enterprise analytics software to thousands of global customers. Its Software Business segment is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of enterprise analytics software platform through cloud subscriptions and licensing arrangements and related services. Its Strategy ONE platform provides access to AI-powered workflows, unlimited data sources, cloud-native technologies, and performance to speed up time from data to action. Strategy One delivers visualization, reporting, and embedded analytics capabilities across retail, banking, technology, manufacturing, insurance, consulting, healthcare, public sector, and others. Its Strategy Mosaic is a universal intelligence layer that provides enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Analysis of Bitcoin ETF vs XRP Investment
- Bitcoin ETF Attracts Capital: The iShares Bitcoin Trust holds 810,000 bitcoins valued at approximately $65 billion, and since its launch in early 2024, it has seen cumulative net capital inflows exceeding $58 billion, indicating institutional recognition of Bitcoin as a store of value, which is expected to drive long-term price increases.
- XRP ETF Market Performance: Launched in November 2025, the Bitwise XRP ETF charges an annual fee of 0.34% and has gathered around $354 million in assets; although it has attracted new capital, it remains insignificant compared to Bitcoin ETFs, reflecting a different investment logic for XRP.
- Market Demand and Supply: Bitcoin's supply is permanently capped at 21 million coins, with 95% already mined, and as new buyers and holders emerge, including corporate treasuries and asset managers, demand is expected to continue rising, further enhancing its price.
- XRP Investment Risks: Despite XRP ranking 11th in tradable tokenized assets with a current market value of $428.1 million, Ripple must continuously close deals with financial institutions to boost demand; however, its price has only increased by 11% over the past five years, necessitating cautious risk assessment by investors.
See More
Bitcoin Faces Pressure from Rising Bond Yields and Corporate Moves
- Market Volatility Reasons: Bitcoin slid nearly 3% in late Friday trading, primarily driven by rising bond yields, reflecting investor concerns over the stalemate in the Iran war and its impact on oil prices, which fuels inflation expectations and increases the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
- Bond Market Impact: The inverse relationship between bond prices and yields means that rising yields diminish demand for riskier assets like Bitcoin, exacerbating price pressures and leaving the market uneasy about Bitcoin's future trajectory.
- Corporate Moves: Strategy indicated it might sell some Bitcoin to repurchase its 0% convertible senior notes; while it did not explicitly commit to this, the potential for such action has spooked investors already sensitive to bond market movements, increasing anxiety around Bitcoin holdings.
- Investment Opportunity: Despite the current price weakness, analysts suggest that a resolution to the Iran war could alleviate pressure on Bitcoin, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors looking to acquire Bitcoin at a discounted price.
See More
Analysis of Strategy's Financial Structure
- Financial Flexibility: Strategy holds a $2.3 billion cash reserve, $62.3 billion in common equity, and $8.5 billion in perpetual preferred stock, providing significant financial flexibility to navigate market fluctuations and seize investment opportunities.
- Bitcoin Exposure: With a massive $64.8 billion exposure to Bitcoin, Strategy is one of the largest corporate Bitcoin holders globally, which ties its stock price closely to Bitcoin price movements, reflecting a high-risk, high-reward investment strategy.
- Debt Load: The company carries $8.3 billion in debt; however, its strong asset base and Bitcoin investments provide a relative safety margin, allowing it to maintain stability amid market volatility.
- Market Reaction: As Bitcoin slipped back toward the $79,000 level, Strategy's stock fell approximately 5%, indicating a tight correlation between its stock price and crypto asset prices, while the progress of the CLARITY Act may bring more attention to companies holding Bitcoin reserves.
See More
Strategy to Repurchase $1.50B Convertible Notes
- Repurchase Overview: Strategy plans to repurchase $1.50 billion of its 0% convertible senior notes due 2029 for an estimated cash price of approximately $1.38 billion, indicating proactive management of its capital structure.
- Funding Sources: The buyback will be financed through available cash reserves, proceeds from sales of securities under its at-the-market offering program, and/or proceeds from bitcoin sales, showcasing the company's flexibility in diversifying its funding sources.
- Market Reaction: During pre-market trading on Friday, Strategy's shares fell by 2.39% to $182.50, reflecting a cautious market response to the repurchase plan, which may impact investor confidence.
- Future Outlook: The repurchase is expected to settle on or about May 19, leaving approximately $1.50 billion of the 2029 notes outstanding, which could influence the company's cost of capital and future financing strategies.
See More
Cryptocurrencies Surge After Clarity Act Passes Senate Committee
- Legislative Impact: The passage of the Clarity Act through the Senate Banking Committee with bipartisan support has led to a broad surge in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin rising 2.46% to $81,561.50, reflecting positive market sentiment towards regulatory clarity.
- Volume Surge: A 27% increase in trading volume over the past 24 hours indicates a resurgence of investor confidence in the market, which could lead to increased capital inflows into crypto assets.
- Market Capitalization Trends: The global cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at $2.65 trillion, having declined by 1.35% in the last 24 hours, yet the overall market shows strong growth potential, particularly following the legislative developments.
- Technical Analysis Outlook: Analysts note that Bitcoin is testing the support level at $79,000, and if this floor holds, a rebound towards $86,000 is anticipated, further fueling optimistic market sentiment.
See More
Bitcoin-Linked Stocks Rise as Starbucks Gets Upgrade
- Bitcoin-Linked Stocks Rise: Bitcoin rose 2% as the Senate Banking Committee discussed a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, with Coinbase shares jumping nearly 9%, indicating growing market confidence that could drive future growth for related companies.
- Starbucks Upgrade: TD Cowen upgraded Starbucks from hold to buy, raising its price target from $106 to $120, with analysts noting multiple positive sales drivers in a strong market backdrop, suggesting improved performance ahead.
- Ford Stock Surge: Ford shares rose 7%, adding to a 13% gain from Wednesday, as Morgan Stanley highlighted its energy storage business and partnership with CATL, projecting a $3 billion incremental revenue opportunity for Ford's Model e segment.
- Applied Materials Earnings Outlook: Applied Materials saw a 2% increase in shares ahead of its fiscal second-quarter results, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.66 per share and revenue of $7.68 billion, reflecting sustained optimism about semiconductor equipment demand.
See More
Analysis of Bitcoin ETF vs XRP Investment
- Bitcoin ETF Attracts Capital: The iShares Bitcoin Trust holds 810,000 bitcoins valued at approximately $65 billion, and since its launch in early 2024, it has seen cumulative net capital inflows exceeding $58 billion, indicating institutional recognition of Bitcoin as a store of value, which is expected to drive long-term price increases.
- XRP ETF Market Performance: Launched in November 2025, the Bitwise XRP ETF charges an annual fee of 0.34% and has gathered around $354 million in assets; although it has attracted new capital, it remains insignificant compared to Bitcoin ETFs, reflecting a different investment logic for XRP.
- Market Demand and Supply: Bitcoin's supply is permanently capped at 21 million coins, with 95% already mined, and as new buyers and holders emerge, including corporate treasuries and asset managers, demand is expected to continue rising, further enhancing its price.
- XRP Investment Risks: Despite XRP ranking 11th in tradable tokenized assets with a current market value of $428.1 million, Ripple must continuously close deals with financial institutions to boost demand; however, its price has only increased by 11% over the past five years, necessitating cautious risk assessment by investors.
See More
Bitcoin Faces Pressure from Rising Bond Yields and Corporate Moves
- Market Volatility Reasons: Bitcoin slid nearly 3% in late Friday trading, primarily driven by rising bond yields, reflecting investor concerns over the stalemate in the Iran war and its impact on oil prices, which fuels inflation expectations and increases the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
- Bond Market Impact: The inverse relationship between bond prices and yields means that rising yields diminish demand for riskier assets like Bitcoin, exacerbating price pressures and leaving the market uneasy about Bitcoin's future trajectory.
- Corporate Moves: Strategy indicated it might sell some Bitcoin to repurchase its 0% convertible senior notes; while it did not explicitly commit to this, the potential for such action has spooked investors already sensitive to bond market movements, increasing anxiety around Bitcoin holdings.
- Investment Opportunity: Despite the current price weakness, analysts suggest that a resolution to the Iran war could alleviate pressure on Bitcoin, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors looking to acquire Bitcoin at a discounted price.
See More
Analysis of Strategy's Financial Structure
- Financial Flexibility: Strategy holds a $2.3 billion cash reserve, $62.3 billion in common equity, and $8.5 billion in perpetual preferred stock, providing significant financial flexibility to navigate market fluctuations and seize investment opportunities.
- Bitcoin Exposure: With a massive $64.8 billion exposure to Bitcoin, Strategy is one of the largest corporate Bitcoin holders globally, which ties its stock price closely to Bitcoin price movements, reflecting a high-risk, high-reward investment strategy.
- Debt Load: The company carries $8.3 billion in debt; however, its strong asset base and Bitcoin investments provide a relative safety margin, allowing it to maintain stability amid market volatility.
- Market Reaction: As Bitcoin slipped back toward the $79,000 level, Strategy's stock fell approximately 5%, indicating a tight correlation between its stock price and crypto asset prices, while the progress of the CLARITY Act may bring more attention to companies holding Bitcoin reserves.
See More
Strategy to Repurchase $1.50B Convertible Notes
- Repurchase Overview: Strategy plans to repurchase $1.50 billion of its 0% convertible senior notes due 2029 for an estimated cash price of approximately $1.38 billion, indicating proactive management of its capital structure.
- Funding Sources: The buyback will be financed through available cash reserves, proceeds from sales of securities under its at-the-market offering program, and/or proceeds from bitcoin sales, showcasing the company's flexibility in diversifying its funding sources.
- Market Reaction: During pre-market trading on Friday, Strategy's shares fell by 2.39% to $182.50, reflecting a cautious market response to the repurchase plan, which may impact investor confidence.
- Future Outlook: The repurchase is expected to settle on or about May 19, leaving approximately $1.50 billion of the 2029 notes outstanding, which could influence the company's cost of capital and future financing strategies.
See More
Cryptocurrencies Surge After Clarity Act Passes Senate Committee
- Legislative Impact: The passage of the Clarity Act through the Senate Banking Committee with bipartisan support has led to a broad surge in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin rising 2.46% to $81,561.50, reflecting positive market sentiment towards regulatory clarity.
- Volume Surge: A 27% increase in trading volume over the past 24 hours indicates a resurgence of investor confidence in the market, which could lead to increased capital inflows into crypto assets.
- Market Capitalization Trends: The global cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at $2.65 trillion, having declined by 1.35% in the last 24 hours, yet the overall market shows strong growth potential, particularly following the legislative developments.
- Technical Analysis Outlook: Analysts note that Bitcoin is testing the support level at $79,000, and if this floor holds, a rebound towards $86,000 is anticipated, further fueling optimistic market sentiment.
See More
Bitcoin-Linked Stocks Rise as Starbucks Gets Upgrade
- Bitcoin-Linked Stocks Rise: Bitcoin rose 2% as the Senate Banking Committee discussed a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, with Coinbase shares jumping nearly 9%, indicating growing market confidence that could drive future growth for related companies.
- Starbucks Upgrade: TD Cowen upgraded Starbucks from hold to buy, raising its price target from $106 to $120, with analysts noting multiple positive sales drivers in a strong market backdrop, suggesting improved performance ahead.
- Ford Stock Surge: Ford shares rose 7%, adding to a 13% gain from Wednesday, as Morgan Stanley highlighted its energy storage business and partnership with CATL, projecting a $3 billion incremental revenue opportunity for Ford's Model e segment.
- Applied Materials Earnings Outlook: Applied Materials saw a 2% increase in shares ahead of its fiscal second-quarter results, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.66 per share and revenue of $7.68 billion, reflecting sustained optimism about semiconductor equipment demand.
See More
