30-year Treasury yield threatening to hit highest level in 18 years
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Source: CNBC
Updated: May 22 2025
0mins
Source: CNBC
Rising Treasury Yields: The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond has reached 5.14%, causing concern among investors and leading to a drop in major stock indices, as fears grow over the increasing U.S. deficit and the impact of President Trump's tax bill.
Impact on Equity Markets: The spike in long-term yields is affecting equity returns, with historical data showing that significant increases in Treasury yields often correlate with declines in the S&P 500, highlighting the tension between rising rates and stock market performance.
WMT.N$0.0000%Past 6 months

No Data
Analyst Views on WMT
Wall Street analysts forecast WMT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WMT is 121.92 USD with a low forecast of 108.00 USD and a high forecast of 130.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast WMT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WMT is 121.92 USD with a low forecast of 108.00 USD and a high forecast of 130.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 114.410

Current: 114.410

maintain
$125 -> $130
Reason
Tigress Financial raised the firm's price target on Walmart to $130 from $125 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said that technology-driven scale and AI acceleration increasingly position the retail giant to deliver greater customer value, drive significant revenue and profitability growth, and create long-term shareholder value. The company also continues to strategically reinvest its substantial cash flow to accelerate innovation in cutting-edge technologies, including generative AI, advanced robotics, and real-time automation, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Overweight -> Equal Weight
downgrade
$66
Reason
Overweight -> Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays downgraded Wal-Mart de Mexico to Equal Weight from Overweight with an unchanged price target of MXN 66. The firm adjusted ratings in the Mexico consumer sector as part of its 2026 outlook. The group is moving into next year with "steady fundamentals but slower growth" along with elevated trade uncertainty, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays believes companies with scale, strong revenue management, and omnichannel depth are best positioned.
Overweight
maintain
$111 -> $123
Reason
Piper Sandler raised the firm's price target on Walmart to $123 from $111 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following "exceptionally strong" Q3 results. The firm notes the company posted strong numbers on all key metrics such as comparable sales, EBIT, and EPS, and numerous KPIs such as e-com and advertising growth -- both of which saw healthy acceleration from the first half of the year. Also, Walmart saw its strongest growth in General Merchandise in several years, Piper adds. Looking forward, guidance was raised, as the company expects a healthy holiday quarter.
maintain
$115 -> $120
Reason
Guggenheim raised the firm's price target on Walmart to $120 from $115 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the company's "meaningful" top line-driven EBIT beat and raise. The firm expects above-algorithm growth during the next six months, mostly driven by accelerating International results and additional progress around U.S. e-commerce profitability, to drive multiple expansion, the analyst tells investors.
About WMT
Walmart Inc. is a technology-powered omnichannel retailer. The Company is engaged in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, as well as eCommerce Websites and mobile applications, located throughout the United States (U.S.), Africa, Canada, Central America, Chile, China, India and Mexico. It operates in three reportable segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International and Sam's Club U.S. The Walmart U.S. segment includes the Company's mass merchandising concept in the U.S., as well as eCommerce, which includes omni-channel initiatives and certain other business offerings such as advertising services. The Walmart International segment consists of the Company's operations outside of the U.S. through its subsidiaries, as well as eCommerce and omni-channel initiatives. The Sam's Club U.S. segment includes the warehouse membership clubs in the U.S., as well as samsclub.com and omni-channel initiatives.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.