HG Vora Exits Entire Position in Ryder System, Indicating Caution
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 03 2026
0mins
Should l Buy R?
Source: Fool
Ryder System Inc's stock has dropped 5.01% and hit a 20-day low amid broader market declines, with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.68% and the S&P 500 down 1.33%.
The catalyst for this decline appears to be HG Vora Capital Management's complete exit from its position in Ryder System, selling 335,000 shares for $63.19 million. This liquidation, reducing their stake from 8.6% to zero, signals a cautious outlook on the stock's future performance, especially given the normalization of freight demand that may impact profitability.
Investors are likely to remain vigilant regarding Ryder's future earnings potential, as management has guided for 2026 earnings per share between $13.45 and $14.45, but the market's reaction to HG Vora's exit suggests a need for caution in the logistics sector.
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Analyst Views on R
Wall Street analysts forecast R stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 192.470
Low
197.00
Averages
219.00
High
250.00
Current: 192.470
Low
197.00
Averages
219.00
High
250.00
About R
Ryder System, Inc. is a provider of outsourced logistics and transportation services. The Company provides supply chain, dedicated transportation, and commercial fleet management solutions. It operates through three segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), which provides full service leasing that includes its contractual maintenance offering, commercial rental and maintenance services of trucks, tractors and trailers to customers principally in the United States (U.S.) and Canada; Supply Chain Solutions (SCS), which provides fully integrated port-to-door logistics solutions, including distribution management, dedicated transportation, transportation management, freight brokerage, e-commerce fulfillment, last-mile delivery, contract packaging, and contract manufacturing in North America, and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS), which provides turnkey transportation solutions in the U.S., including dedicated vehicles, professional drivers, management, and administrative support.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Amazon's Contract Negotiations with USPS Collapse
- Contract Negotiation Breakdown: Amazon's contract renewal negotiations with the USPS fell apart when the Postal Service abruptly walked away, leading Amazon to plan a reduction of at least two-thirds in package volumes, which could significantly impact its logistics costs and service capabilities.
- Threat to Long-term Partnership: Amazon indicated that it had been negotiating for over a year to establish a long-term agreement, but the breakdown in talks jeopardizes its future reliance on USPS for package deliveries, potentially affecting customer delivery experiences.
- USPS Financial Crisis: The USPS Postmaster General warned during a congressional hearing that without congressional assistance, the Postal Service would run out of cash in less than 12 months, highlighting the urgency of its financial situation and the potential impact on its partnership with Amazon.
- Rural Delivery Network Expansion: Amazon has committed to investing approximately $4 billion by the end of 2026 to triple the size of its rural delivery network, indicating its strategic focus on the rural market, which is typically serviced by USPS, and demonstrating Amazon's ambition to capture market share.
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Ryder Executive Sells Over 30,000 Shares Amid Stock Surge
- Transaction Overview: John S. Sensing, President of Ryder's Supply Chain Solutions, sold 30,110 shares of common stock on February 19, 2026, for a total of $6.6 million, reflecting confidence in the company's stock performance.
- Ownership Changes: Post-transaction, Sensing retains 49,081 shares, representing approximately 0.12% of outstanding shares, with a direct ownership value of about $10.76 million, indicating a continued optimistic outlook on the company's future.
- Market Performance: The transaction occurred at a stock price of $220.36, which is up 38.55% year-over-year, highlighting the company's strong performance in earnings growth and market demand.
- Investor Strategy: With Ryder's earnings per share (EPS) increasing by 8% to $11.99, and a price-to-earnings ratio around 17, the stock appears overvalued, suggesting investors should wait for a price correction before buying.
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John Sensing Sells Ryder System Shares Worth $6.64 Million
- Sale Overview: John Sensing sold 30,110 shares of Ryder System on February 19, 2026, for approximately $6.64 million at a weighted average price of $220.36 per share, representing 38.02% of his direct holdings, reducing them from 79,000 to 49,081 shares.
- Options Exercise and Market Response: The sale coincided with the exercise of 12,110 options, with all proceeds realized through open-market sales, leaving remaining direct holdings valued at approximately $10.76 million, indicating Sensing's keen market timing.
- Company Performance and Stock Fluctuation: Ryder System achieved an EPS of $11.99 in 2025, an 8% increase year-over-year, despite only a slight revenue growth to $12.67 billion, with shares hitting a 52-week high of $230.39 on February 11, 2026, reflecting excellent expense management.
- Investor Recommendations and Market Outlook: While Ryder's P/E ratio hovers around 17, suggesting a high valuation, analysts recommend selling for current shareholders, whereas potential buyers may consider waiting for a price drop, indicating a cautious market sentiment towards the stock.
See More
HG Vora Exits Entire Position in Ryder System
- Complete Exit: On February 17, 2026, HG Vora Capital Management disclosed in an SEC filing that it sold its entire position of 335,000 shares in Ryder System for $63.19 million, reducing its stake from 8.6% to zero, indicating a cautious outlook on the stock's future performance.
- Stable Performance: Despite HG Vora's exit, Ryder System's stock has risen 35% over the past year, currently priced at $213.93, with fourth-quarter revenue of $3.2 billion remaining consistent with the previous year, reflecting the company's ongoing profitability in the logistics and transportation sector.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: Management has guided for 2026 earnings per share between $13.45 and $14.45; however, the normalization of freight demand may impact future profitability, prompting investors to monitor cyclical changes in the industry.
- Portfolio Shift: HG Vora's current portfolio has shifted focus towards higher conviction stocks like PENN and DRVN, which together account for over 60% of its assets, indicating a preference for investment opportunities with greater growth potential.
See More
HG Vora Fully Exits Ryder System Position
- Exit Transaction: HG Vora sold 335,000 shares of Ryder System in Q4, resulting in a $63.19 million decrease in position value, indicating a complete liquidation and a cautious outlook on future market conditions.
- Position Proportion Shift: Prior to the exit, Ryder System accounted for 8.6% of HG Vora's assets under management, suggesting a strategic pivot towards other higher conviction investments post-liquidation.
- Stable Financial Performance: Ryder System reported fourth-quarter revenue of $3.2 billion, consistent with the previous year, while earnings per share increased by 4%, demonstrating the company's ongoing profitability in the logistics and transportation sector.
- Market Outlook Uncertainty: Although Ryder remains a cash-generative logistics operator, the normalization of freight markets may pressure future profitability, and HG Vora's exit could reflect concerns regarding industry cyclicality.
See More
Ryder System (R.US) Officer Plans to Sell $3.04 Million in Common Stock via Form 144
- Share Sale Announcement: Ryder System Officer Ravindra Rajeev intends to sell 14,367 shares of its common stock.
- Market Value: The total market value of the shares being sold is approximately $3.04 million.
See More
Amazon's Contract Negotiations with USPS Collapse
- Contract Negotiation Breakdown: Amazon's contract renewal negotiations with the USPS fell apart when the Postal Service abruptly walked away, leading Amazon to plan a reduction of at least two-thirds in package volumes, which could significantly impact its logistics costs and service capabilities.
- Threat to Long-term Partnership: Amazon indicated that it had been negotiating for over a year to establish a long-term agreement, but the breakdown in talks jeopardizes its future reliance on USPS for package deliveries, potentially affecting customer delivery experiences.
- USPS Financial Crisis: The USPS Postmaster General warned during a congressional hearing that without congressional assistance, the Postal Service would run out of cash in less than 12 months, highlighting the urgency of its financial situation and the potential impact on its partnership with Amazon.
- Rural Delivery Network Expansion: Amazon has committed to investing approximately $4 billion by the end of 2026 to triple the size of its rural delivery network, indicating its strategic focus on the rural market, which is typically serviced by USPS, and demonstrating Amazon's ambition to capture market share.
See More
Ryder Executive Sells Over 30,000 Shares Amid Stock Surge
- Transaction Overview: John S. Sensing, President of Ryder's Supply Chain Solutions, sold 30,110 shares of common stock on February 19, 2026, for a total of $6.6 million, reflecting confidence in the company's stock performance.
- Ownership Changes: Post-transaction, Sensing retains 49,081 shares, representing approximately 0.12% of outstanding shares, with a direct ownership value of about $10.76 million, indicating a continued optimistic outlook on the company's future.
- Market Performance: The transaction occurred at a stock price of $220.36, which is up 38.55% year-over-year, highlighting the company's strong performance in earnings growth and market demand.
- Investor Strategy: With Ryder's earnings per share (EPS) increasing by 8% to $11.99, and a price-to-earnings ratio around 17, the stock appears overvalued, suggesting investors should wait for a price correction before buying.
See More
John Sensing Sells Ryder System Shares Worth $6.64 Million
- Sale Overview: John Sensing sold 30,110 shares of Ryder System on February 19, 2026, for approximately $6.64 million at a weighted average price of $220.36 per share, representing 38.02% of his direct holdings, reducing them from 79,000 to 49,081 shares.
- Options Exercise and Market Response: The sale coincided with the exercise of 12,110 options, with all proceeds realized through open-market sales, leaving remaining direct holdings valued at approximately $10.76 million, indicating Sensing's keen market timing.
- Company Performance and Stock Fluctuation: Ryder System achieved an EPS of $11.99 in 2025, an 8% increase year-over-year, despite only a slight revenue growth to $12.67 billion, with shares hitting a 52-week high of $230.39 on February 11, 2026, reflecting excellent expense management.
- Investor Recommendations and Market Outlook: While Ryder's P/E ratio hovers around 17, suggesting a high valuation, analysts recommend selling for current shareholders, whereas potential buyers may consider waiting for a price drop, indicating a cautious market sentiment towards the stock.
See More
HG Vora Exits Entire Position in Ryder System
- Complete Exit: On February 17, 2026, HG Vora Capital Management disclosed in an SEC filing that it sold its entire position of 335,000 shares in Ryder System for $63.19 million, reducing its stake from 8.6% to zero, indicating a cautious outlook on the stock's future performance.
- Stable Performance: Despite HG Vora's exit, Ryder System's stock has risen 35% over the past year, currently priced at $213.93, with fourth-quarter revenue of $3.2 billion remaining consistent with the previous year, reflecting the company's ongoing profitability in the logistics and transportation sector.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: Management has guided for 2026 earnings per share between $13.45 and $14.45; however, the normalization of freight demand may impact future profitability, prompting investors to monitor cyclical changes in the industry.
- Portfolio Shift: HG Vora's current portfolio has shifted focus towards higher conviction stocks like PENN and DRVN, which together account for over 60% of its assets, indicating a preference for investment opportunities with greater growth potential.
See More
HG Vora Fully Exits Ryder System Position
- Exit Transaction: HG Vora sold 335,000 shares of Ryder System in Q4, resulting in a $63.19 million decrease in position value, indicating a complete liquidation and a cautious outlook on future market conditions.
- Position Proportion Shift: Prior to the exit, Ryder System accounted for 8.6% of HG Vora's assets under management, suggesting a strategic pivot towards other higher conviction investments post-liquidation.
- Stable Financial Performance: Ryder System reported fourth-quarter revenue of $3.2 billion, consistent with the previous year, while earnings per share increased by 4%, demonstrating the company's ongoing profitability in the logistics and transportation sector.
- Market Outlook Uncertainty: Although Ryder remains a cash-generative logistics operator, the normalization of freight markets may pressure future profitability, and HG Vora's exit could reflect concerns regarding industry cyclicality.
See More
Ryder System (R.US) Officer Plans to Sell $3.04 Million in Common Stock via Form 144
- Share Sale Announcement: Ryder System Officer Ravindra Rajeev intends to sell 14,367 shares of its common stock.
- Market Value: The total market value of the shares being sold is approximately $3.04 million.
See More
