GAP Reports Growth in Passenger Traffic Amid Market Recovery
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB de CV (GAP) saw its stock rise by 4.08% as it reached a 52-week high. The company reported a 1.2% increase in passenger traffic across its 12 Mexican airports in January 2026 compared to the previous year, with notable growth in Guadalajara and Puerto Vallarta airports. This growth is expected to enhance overall company revenue, despite a decline in international traffic due to external factors like Hurricane Melissa affecting Montego Bay airport.
The increase in domestic passenger traffic and seating capacity indicates a potential recovery in the market, which could lead to improved profitability for GAP in the future. However, the drop in load factor suggests that demand may not fully align with the increased capacity, posing challenges ahead.
Overall, the positive domestic traffic growth signals a favorable outlook for GAP as tourism recovers, potentially attracting more travelers and boosting revenue.
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- Annual Report Filing: Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (GAP) has filed its 2025 annual report and Form 20-F with the Mexican National Banking and Securities Commission and the SEC, ensuring compliance and enhancing investor confidence through transparency.
- Airport Operations Overview: GAP operates 12 airports in Mexico's Pacific region, including major cities like Guadalajara and Tijuana, covering several tourist destinations, which underscores its significant influence in the aviation market.
- Compliance Measures: In accordance with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, GAP has implemented a whistleblower program that allows anonymous reporting of suspicious activities, aimed at improving corporate governance and protecting investor interests.
- Investor Relations: GAP offers free hard copies of its audited financial statements to shareholders, enhancing communication and demonstrating the company's commitment to transparency, thereby further solidifying its market position.
- Earnings Release Preview: Major companies including AGNC Investment Corp., Alaska Air Group, Steel Dynamics, Lynas Rare Earths Limited, and Zions Bancorporation are set to report earnings after Monday's close, which is expected to impact market sentiment.
- Investor Focus: Investors will closely monitor these earnings reports to assess the financial health and growth potential of these companies, particularly in the current economic climate.
- Additional Earnings Announcements: In addition to the major players, companies such as NTST, PAC, WASH, and WTFC are also scheduled to release their earnings after Monday's close, providing further insights into market trends.
- Earnings Season Calendar: Seeking Alpha offers a comprehensive earnings season calendar, assisting investors in tracking upcoming earnings releases to optimize their investment strategies.
- Reshoring Investment Theme: The reshoring trend in the U.S. positions Mexico as a key beneficiary, particularly in the aviation sector, which is expected to drive growth in airport stocks like Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico and Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte.
- Tourism Recovery: Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico's stock is under scrutiny due to the recovery of Mexico's tourism sector, having dropped 15% recently due to cartel violence, but the long-term increase in international visitors is likely to boost its revenue.
- Market Potential: Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte focuses on reshoring, with Monterrey airport's passenger traffic growing 8.5% year-over-year in 2025, and Monterrey itself growing 15%, reflecting the region's industrial strength and market demand.
- Attractive Dividend Yield: Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte offers a 4.2% dividend yield and trades at 11.5 times EBITDA, indicating a more attractive investment value compared to Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, drawing investor interest.
- Tourism and Industrial Growth: Mexican airports are expected to see increased traffic due to tourism and industrial development, with Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico and Grupo Centro Norte poised to benefit, particularly as Monterrey solidifies its status as a manufacturing hub.
- Reshoring Trend: The reshoring trend in the U.S. positions Mexico as a key beneficiary, with Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte attracting numerous international flights through its Monterrey airport, driving local economic growth and expected to continue benefiting from this macroeconomic theme.
- Stock Performance: Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico's stock currently offers a 3.5% dividend yield and has seen a 286% revenue growth over the past decade despite global pandemic challenges, indicating strong market potential and presenting a buying opportunity for investors.
- Price Adjustment Rights: Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte has been granted the right to increase prices by 38% over the next five years, which will enhance its profitability further, combined with a 4.2% dividend yield, making it a focal point for investors.

- Traffic Decline: Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico reported an 8.9% decrease in passenger traffic for March 2026 compared to March 2025, with Puerto Vallarta experiencing the largest drop at 24.4%, indicating a significant weakening in regional travel demand that could adversely affect overall revenue.
- Reduced Seat Availability: The number of available seats in March 2026 decreased by 4.5% compared to the previous year, reflecting the company's contraction strategy in response to market volatility, which may impact future flight schedules and customer options.
- Load Factor Drop: The load factor fell from 81.5% in March 2025 to 75.5% in March 2026, indicating a significant decline in passenger fill rates, which could put pressure on the company's operational efficiency and profitability.
- Natural Disaster Impact: Hurricane Melissa caused a 25.7% plunge in traffic at Montego Bay, while Kingston saw a slight gain of 1.0%, highlighting the potential instability in regional markets due to natural disasters affecting the aviation sector.
- Overall Traffic Decline: In March 2026, GAP's 12 Mexican airports experienced a 7.6% decrease in total passenger traffic compared to March 2025, indicating weak market demand that could adversely affect the company's future revenue growth.
- Major Airport Performance Issues: Airports in Puerto Vallarta, Tijuana, Los Cabos, and Guadalajara reported declines of 24.4%, 8.7%, 6.9%, and 2.3% respectively, suggesting challenges in tourism recovery that may lead to a loss of market share in these regions.
- International Flight Fluctuations: While Kingston airport saw a 1.0% increase in passenger traffic, Montego Bay suffered a 25.7% drop due to Hurricane Melissa, highlighting the significant impact of natural disasters on the aviation sector, which could result in short-term revenue volatility.
- New Route Launches: GAP introduced several new routes in March 2026, including Guadalajara to Mazatlan and Puerto Vallarta to San Diego, which, despite the overall traffic decline, may provide opportunities for future passenger recovery.









