DoorDash forecasts strong Q2 order value, boosting stock
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 24 2026
0mins
Should l Buy DASH?
Source: CNBC
DoorDash Inc. shares surged by 8.89% in pre-market trading, reaching a 5-day high, following positive forecasts for its second-quarter marketplace gross order value.
The company anticipates its Q2 marketplace gross order value to range between $32.4 billion and $33.4 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $31.8 billion. This forecast indicates strong demand driven by its expansion into grocery, retail, and international markets. Additionally, DoorDash reported adjusted earnings of 42 cents per share for Q1, surpassing the expected 36 cents, despite a revenue shortfall of $4.04 billion against the $4.14 billion forecast, reflecting ongoing profitability amid fierce competition.
The optimistic outlook for Q2, coupled with improved order processing and customer engagement, suggests that DoorDash is well-positioned for future growth, despite challenges from rising operational costs.
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Analyst Views on DASH
Wall Street analysts forecast DASH stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 171.350
Low
224.00
Averages
278.67
High
330.00
Current: 171.350
Low
224.00
Averages
278.67
High
330.00
About DASH
DoorDash, Inc. is engaged in providing services that reduce friction in local commerce and help merchants connect with consumers in their communities. The Company's primary offerings include the DoorDash Marketplace and the Wolt Marketplace (together, the Marketplaces), and its Commerce Platform. The Company's Marketplaces operate in over 30 countries across the globe and provide an integrated suite of services that help merchants establish an online presence, connect with consumers in their communities, and solve mission-critical challenges, such as customer acquisition, demand generation, order fulfillment, merchandising, payment processing, and customer support. It also offers advertising as a value-added service through its Marketplaces to help merchants and consumer packaged goods companies increase consumer engagement. The Company also has offsite advertising capabilities. Its white-label delivery fulfillment services include DoorDash Drive On-Demand and Wolt Drive.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Morgan Stanley Identifies Five Trends in Gig Economy
- Strong User Growth: Following simultaneous earnings reports from DoorDash, Uber, and Instacart, robust user growth and order frequency were evident, particularly with DoorDash's DashPass membership accelerating in Q1, indicating enhanced market competitiveness through lower churn rates.
- Market Share Expansion: Morgan Stanley estimated DoorDash's online grocery and retail gross order value reached $4.1 billion in Q1, growing 32% year-over-year, while Uber's stood at $3.5 billion, up 40%, showcasing rapid expansion for both companies in the market.
- Revenue Forecast Increase: Morgan Stanley raised DoorDash's price target to $275, implying a 48% upside from its current price of $167.97, while projecting a 2027 adjusted EBITDA of $4.806 billion, reflecting strong profitability expectations.
- Competitive Landscape Analysis: Instacart's gross order value of $10.3 billion, despite only a 13% growth, dwarfs both DoorDash and Uber, with Morgan Stanley highlighting Amazon's
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- Economic Data Support: Despite the market decline, initial jobless claims rose by 10,000 to 200,000, below the expected 205,000, indicating resilience in the labor market, while Q1 nonfarm productivity increased by 0.8%, surpassing the 0.6% forecast, providing some support to the market.
- Earnings Report Impact: As of Thursday, 84% of the 425 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q1 earnings projected to rise by 12% year-over-year, although growth outside the tech sector is only expected to be around 3%, indicating a divergence that may influence investor allocation strategies.
- Oil Price Recovery: WTI crude oil prices rebounded after a 4% decline on Thursday, as the market focused on the potential resumption of US military operations to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, which is expected to have ongoing implications for global oil prices and related stocks.
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- Fuel Subsidy Initiative: DoorDash plans to invest over $50 million this spring to assist delivery drivers in coping with sharply rising fuel costs, primarily through temporary pay boosts and gas rewards, aimed at alleviating economic pressure on drivers.
- Subsidy Structure: The program offers weekly fuel relief payments ranging from $5 to $15 for drivers who cover at least 125 miles, with the amount increasing based on total miles driven, ensuring income stability for drivers in a high fuel price environment.
- Market Response: According to AAA, the current national average gas price is $4.56 per gallon, significantly up from $3.15 a year ago, and DoorDash's subsidy program aims to ease driver burdens without directly raising consumer fees.
- Future Outlook: While DoorDash has not yet decided on extending the program, CFO Ravi Inukonda noted that the overall EBITDA outlook remains unchanged, reflecting the company's close monitoring of market dynamics and its ability to respond flexibly.
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- Strong Employment Data: Initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose by 10,000 to 200,000, indicating a stronger labor market than the expected 205,000, while continuing claims unexpectedly fell by 10,000 to a 2.25-year low of 1.766 million, showcasing economic resilience.
- Productivity and Costs: U.S. Q1 nonfarm productivity increased by 0.8%, surpassing expectations of 0.6%, while unit labor costs rose by 2.3%, below the anticipated 2.5%, which may influence future inflation expectations and Fed policy decisions.
- Fed Policy Outlook: Boston Fed President indicated that interest rates should remain at “mildly restrictive” levels, suggesting that if inflation trends worsen significantly, a reassessment of policy would be necessary, with markets pricing in only a 6% chance of a rate cut at the next FOMC meeting.
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- Stable Labor Market: Initial jobless claims rose by 10,000 to 200,000, lower than the expected 205,000, indicating resilience in the labor market, while continuing claims unexpectedly fell by 10,000 to a 2.25-year low of 1.766 million, further enhancing market confidence.
- Crude Oil Price Decline: WTI crude oil prices fell by more than 4% as markets await updates on a potential US-Iran peace deal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, negatively impacting energy producers and leading to widespread declines in related stocks.
- Fed Policy Outlook: Boston Fed President indicated that interest rates should remain at
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- Vital Farms Surprise Loss: Vital Farms, the egg producer, dropped 20% following a surprise loss of 3 cents per share in Q1, against analyst expectations of a 6-cent profit, and the company also cut its full-year earnings outlook, indicating increasing industry pressures.
- Datadog Exceeds Expectations: Datadog shares surged 28% after reporting Q1 earnings of 61 cents per share, surpassing the 51-cent consensus, with Q2 revenue guidance between $1.07 billion and $1.08 billion, reflecting strong market demand.
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Morgan Stanley Identifies Five Trends in Gig Economy
- Strong User Growth: Following simultaneous earnings reports from DoorDash, Uber, and Instacart, robust user growth and order frequency were evident, particularly with DoorDash's DashPass membership accelerating in Q1, indicating enhanced market competitiveness through lower churn rates.
- Market Share Expansion: Morgan Stanley estimated DoorDash's online grocery and retail gross order value reached $4.1 billion in Q1, growing 32% year-over-year, while Uber's stood at $3.5 billion, up 40%, showcasing rapid expansion for both companies in the market.
- Revenue Forecast Increase: Morgan Stanley raised DoorDash's price target to $275, implying a 48% upside from its current price of $167.97, while projecting a 2027 adjusted EBITDA of $4.806 billion, reflecting strong profitability expectations.
- Competitive Landscape Analysis: Instacart's gross order value of $10.3 billion, despite only a 13% growth, dwarfs both DoorDash and Uber, with Morgan Stanley highlighting Amazon's
See More
US Stocks Close Lower Amid Cautious Market Sentiment
- Market Weakness: On Thursday, the S&P 500 Index fell by 0.38%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.63%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index decreased by 0.12%, reflecting investor skepticism regarding a potential US-Iran peace deal, which led to a reversal of early gains and impacted market confidence.
- Economic Data Support: Despite the market decline, initial jobless claims rose by 10,000 to 200,000, below the expected 205,000, indicating resilience in the labor market, while Q1 nonfarm productivity increased by 0.8%, surpassing the 0.6% forecast, providing some support to the market.
- Earnings Report Impact: As of Thursday, 84% of the 425 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q1 earnings projected to rise by 12% year-over-year, although growth outside the tech sector is only expected to be around 3%, indicating a divergence that may influence investor allocation strategies.
- Oil Price Recovery: WTI crude oil prices rebounded after a 4% decline on Thursday, as the market focused on the potential resumption of US military operations to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, which is expected to have ongoing implications for global oil prices and related stocks.
See More
DoorDash Allocates Over $50M for Driver Fuel Cost Relief
- Fuel Subsidy Initiative: DoorDash plans to invest over $50 million this spring to assist delivery drivers in coping with sharply rising fuel costs, primarily through temporary pay boosts and gas rewards, aimed at alleviating economic pressure on drivers.
- Subsidy Structure: The program offers weekly fuel relief payments ranging from $5 to $15 for drivers who cover at least 125 miles, with the amount increasing based on total miles driven, ensuring income stability for drivers in a high fuel price environment.
- Market Response: According to AAA, the current national average gas price is $4.56 per gallon, significantly up from $3.15 a year ago, and DoorDash's subsidy program aims to ease driver burdens without directly raising consumer fees.
- Future Outlook: While DoorDash has not yet decided on extending the program, CFO Ravi Inukonda noted that the overall EBITDA outlook remains unchanged, reflecting the company's close monitoring of market dynamics and its ability to respond flexibly.
See More
U.S. Stock Market Retreats as Oil Prices Surge
- Market Retreat: The S&P 500 Index fell by 0.40%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.51%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.28%, indicating a retreat in market sentiment as rising oil prices weigh on investor confidence and raise concerns about future economic prospects.
- Strong Employment Data: Initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose by 10,000 to 200,000, indicating a stronger labor market than the expected 205,000, while continuing claims unexpectedly fell by 10,000 to a 2.25-year low of 1.766 million, showcasing economic resilience.
- Productivity and Costs: U.S. Q1 nonfarm productivity increased by 0.8%, surpassing expectations of 0.6%, while unit labor costs rose by 2.3%, below the anticipated 2.5%, which may influence future inflation expectations and Fed policy decisions.
- Fed Policy Outlook: Boston Fed President indicated that interest rates should remain at “mildly restrictive” levels, suggesting that if inflation trends worsen significantly, a reassessment of policy would be necessary, with markets pricing in only a 6% chance of a rate cut at the next FOMC meeting.
See More
US Stocks Show Mixed Movement, Tech Stocks Surge
- Tech Stock Surge: Datadog reported Q1 revenue of $1.01 billion, exceeding the consensus of $957.8 million, leading to a stock price increase of over 30%, which boosts overall market sentiment and reflects strong recovery in the tech sector amid high investor expectations for artificial intelligence.
- Stable Labor Market: Initial jobless claims rose by 10,000 to 200,000, lower than the expected 205,000, indicating resilience in the labor market, while continuing claims unexpectedly fell by 10,000 to a 2.25-year low of 1.766 million, further enhancing market confidence.
- Crude Oil Price Decline: WTI crude oil prices fell by more than 4% as markets await updates on a potential US-Iran peace deal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, negatively impacting energy producers and leading to widespread declines in related stocks.
- Fed Policy Outlook: Boston Fed President indicated that interest rates should remain at
See More
Midday Stock Movements of Major Companies
- Planet Fitness Earnings Downgrade: Planet Fitness shares fell nearly 33% after the gym operator lowered its full-year earnings outlook, now projecting only a 4% year-over-year growth, down from a previous forecast of 9%-10%, which negatively impacts market confidence.
- Vital Farms Surprise Loss: Vital Farms, the egg producer, dropped 20% following a surprise loss of 3 cents per share in Q1, against analyst expectations of a 6-cent profit, and the company also cut its full-year earnings outlook, indicating increasing industry pressures.
- Datadog Exceeds Expectations: Datadog shares surged 28% after reporting Q1 earnings of 61 cents per share, surpassing the 51-cent consensus, with Q2 revenue guidance between $1.07 billion and $1.08 billion, reflecting strong market demand.
- AAON Revenue Surge: AAON, the air conditioning and heating equipment manufacturer, saw its shares soar 40% after Q1 earnings, EBITDA, and revenue all exceeded Wall Street estimates, raising its full-year revenue guidance by as much as 45%, showcasing robust growth potential.
See More
