Builders FirstSource Inc rises amid sector rotation
Builders FirstSource Inc saw a price increase of 5.61% during regular trading, as the stock crossed above its 5-day SMA. This movement occurs amid broader market weakness, with the Nasdaq-100 down 0.77% and the S&P 500 down 0.03%. The stock's rise suggests sector rotation as investors shift their focus towards construction and building materials companies, despite the overall market decline.
The positive movement aligns with a shift in investor sentiment towards sectors that are expected to benefit from ongoing infrastructure spending and housing demand. Builders FirstSource, being a key player in the building materials sector, is likely to attract more attention as these trends continue to unfold.
Investors are encouraged to monitor the stock closely, as further developments in the housing market and infrastructure projects could provide additional support for Builders FirstSource's growth trajectory.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on BLDR
About BLDR
About the author

- Disappointing Earnings: Builders FirstSource reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.12, missing the analyst consensus of $1.22, indicating ongoing pressure in core markets that may affect investor confidence moving forward.
- Sales Decline: The company posted quarterly sales of $3.358 billion, down 12.1% year-over-year, falling short of the Street's expectation of $3.459 billion, reflecting dual pressures from lower core organic net sales and commodity deflation.
- Decreased Profitability: Gross profit was $1.0 billion compared to $1.2 billion in the prior year, with gross profit margin decreasing by 250 basis points to 29.8%, primarily driven by a below-normal starts environment, which could lead to sustained pressure on future profitability.
- Cautious Outlook: Builders FirstSource expects fiscal 2026 sales between $14.8 billion and $15.8 billion, while planning to deliver $50 million to $70 million in productivity savings in 2026, reflecting a cautious stance in an uncertain market environment.
- Sales Decline: In Q4 2025, Builders FirstSource reported a 12% decrease in sales to $3.4 billion, primarily driven by weak core organic sales and commodity deflation, indicating a challenging sales environment that may negatively impact future performance.
- Significant EBITDA Drop: The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $275 million, down approximately 44% year-over-year, primarily due to lower gross profit, reflecting increased financial pressure that could affect profitability.
- Capital Expenditures and Consolidation: The company invested $86 million in capital expenditures in 2025 and consolidated 25 facilities during the year, aiming to enhance operational efficiency through resource optimization, demonstrating efforts in cost management despite market challenges.
- Cautious 2026 Outlook: Builders FirstSource's guidance for 2026 indicates net sales between $14.8 billion and $15.8 billion, with adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1.3 billion to $1.7 billion, reflecting a challenging macroeconomic environment with expectations of flat single-family and multifamily starts, suggesting limited growth prospects.
- Sales Decline: Net sales for Q4 2025 decreased by 12% to $3.4 billion, with single-family and multifamily sales dropping by 15% and 20% respectively, highlighting the direct impact of market weakness and ongoing housing affordability challenges on the company's performance.
- Strategic Acquisitions: The company executed several acquisitions in 2025, including Pleasant Valley Homes, aimed at addressing challenges in the housing industry by providing cost-competitive factory-built options, thereby enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- Digital Transformation: The digital platform processed nearly $7 billion in quotes through 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of over 130%, indicating that the company's ongoing investment in digital transformation has become integral to its operations, improving business efficiency.
- Future Outlook: Guidance for 2026 includes net sales projected between $14.8 billion and $15.8 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $1.3 billion to $1.7 billion; despite a persistently weak market environment, the company is laying the groundwork for future growth through strategic investments and cost controls.
- Disappointing Earnings: Builders FirstSource reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.12, missing expectations by $0.16, indicating a significant decline in profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company's Q4 revenue of $3.4 billion represents a 10.5% year-over-year decrease, falling short of market expectations by $60 million, reflecting a weak demand environment for building materials.
- Significant EBITDA Drop: Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 44.3% to $274.9 million, primarily driven by lower gross margins and reduced operating leverage, highlighting challenges in cost management.
- Cautious Outlook: The company projects net sales for 2026 to range between $14.8 billion and $15.8 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected between $1.3 billion and $1.7 billion, indicating potential growth but necessitating close monitoring of market fluctuations' impact on performance.

- Market Performance: Equities experienced a decline last week, with all three major indexes falling by at least 1.2%.
- Economic Indicators: This downturn occurred despite a better-than-expected jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and a relatively stable inflation report.
- Earnings Announcement: Builders FirstSource (BLDR) is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 17 before the market opens, with consensus EPS estimate at $1.28, reflecting a 44.6% year-over-year decline, and revenue estimate at $3.46 billion, down 8.9% year-over-year.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, BLDR has consistently beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a strong track record of financial performance.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and six downward revisions, while revenue estimates have also experienced one upward revision and six downward revisions, suggesting a cautious market outlook for the company.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Despite analysts maintaining a neutral stance on Builders FirstSource, suggesting it is neither worth shorting nor overly exciting, there remains a level of market interest regarding the company's future profitability.









