Analyst Ratings Show Mixed Outlook for Alpha Metallurgical Resources
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 29 2024
0mins
Source: 144
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. saw its stock price drop by 7.93% as it crossed below the 5-day SMA, despite the broader market gains with Nasdaq-100 up 0.46% and S&P 500 up 0.35%.
The recent analyst ratings indicate varied interpretations of AMR's future performance, with a low rank suggesting potential downside risk. However, this could also attract contrarian investors looking for rebound opportunities. The stock has been outperforming peers in the mining sector, which may enhance investor interest despite the current price decline.
This mixed outlook highlights the importance of understanding market trends and investor sentiment, as AMR's performance may still present opportunities for value investments in a fluctuating market.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy AMR?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on AMR
Wall Street analysts forecast AMR stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 213.720
Low
203.00
Averages
204.00
High
205.00
Current: 213.720
Low
203.00
Averages
204.00
High
205.00
About AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. is a mining company with operations across Virginia and West Virginia. The Company is a supplier of metallurgical (met) coal products to the steel industry. Its portfolio of mining operations consists of over 14 active underground mines, five active surface mines and eight active coal preparation plants. It operates met coal mines across the Central Appalachia (CAPP) coal basin. It produces, processes, and sells met coal and thermal coal as byproducts. It also sells coal produced by some of which is processed and/or blended with coal produced from its mines with the remainder purchased for resale. The Company operates in one segment: Met, which consists of six active mining complexes whose primary product is metallurgical coal that is extracted, processed, and marketed to domestic and international steel and coke producers. It conducts mining operations only in the United States with mines in Central Appalachia.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Analyst Ratings Impact on AMR Stock Performance
- Analyst Rating Summary: The ranking of AMR within the Metals Channel Global Mining Titans Index was assessed and averaged based on major brokerage opinions, indicating varied market interpretations of its future performance; while a low rank may suggest downside risk, it could also present contrarian investors with upside potential.
- Market Performance Comparison: AMR is currently trading up approximately 4.4%, outperforming peers like Southern Copper Corp (SCCO) which is up 1.9% and Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) which is up 0.9%, indicating a relatively strong position in the non-precious and non-metallic mining sector that may attract more investor interest.
- Diverse Investor Interpretations: Although low analyst rankings may raise concerns about AMR's future performance, investors might view this as a potential rebound opportunity, enhancing market diversity and vitality by seeking value investments during downturns.
- Price History Analysis: A three-month price history chart of AMR illustrates its stock price fluctuations, enabling investors to better understand market trends and AMR's relative performance, thereby facilitating more informed investment decisions.
See More
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Q1 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Overview: Alpha Metallurgical reported an adjusted EBITDA of $30 million for Q1 2026, up from $28.5 million in Q4 2025, indicating efforts in cost control, yet still facing high cost pressures that could impact profitability.
- Cost Pressure Analysis: The cost of coal sales reached $108 per ton, influenced by rising diesel and supply costs, with management warning of potential upward adjustments to cost guidance if the Iranian conflict persists, highlighting external risks to financial stability.
- Market Dynamics Shift: Due to supply issues from flooding in Australia, the low-volatility index prices increased, allowing Alpha to achieve a weighted average realization of $128.40 per ton for metallurgical sales, reflecting a recovery in market demand, although challenges remain in the high-volatility coal market structure.
- Future Outlook and Risks: Management anticipates improved coal volumes and sales costs in the latter half of 2026, despite Q1 shipments of 3.6 million tons being lower than Q4's 3.8 million tons, indicating a cautious approach to navigating market fluctuations and cost pressures.
See More
Alpha Metallurgical Q1 Earnings Report Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Alpha Metallurgical reported a Q1 GAAP EPS of -$0.86, aligning with expectations, but revenue of $524.99 million fell short by $14.56 million, indicating competitive pressures in the market.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The adjusted EBITDA for Q1 reached $30 million, up from $28.5 million in Q4 2025, suggesting improvements in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Cash Flow Improvement: Cash provided by operating activities increased to $29 million in Q1, compared to $19 million in Q4 2025, reflecting positive progress in cash management practices.
- Coal Sales Commitment: As of April 29, 2026, Alpha has committed and priced approximately 48% of its metallurgical coal at an average price of $132.37 per ton, demonstrating confidence in future market demand.
See More
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Reports Q1 2026 Financial Results
- Declining Financial Performance: Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a net loss of $11 million for Q1 2026, translating to a loss of $0.86 per share, which, while an improvement from the $17.3 million loss in Q4 2025, still indicates ongoing financial pressures.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $30 million in Q1, up from $28.5 million in Q4 2025, reflecting efforts in cost control, although overall profitability remains constrained.
- Stable Coal Sales Volume: Alpha sold 3.6 million tons of coal in Q1, consistent with Q4 2025, indicating stable market demand, yet facing challenges from rising costs, particularly in diesel and supply prices.
- Increased Capital Expenditures: Capital expenditures rose to $40.7 million in Q1 from $29 million in Q4 2025, demonstrating the company's ongoing investment in expanding and upgrading facilities, which may impact cash flow in the short term.
See More
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Reports Q1 Financial Results
- Net Loss Overview: Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a net loss of $11 million for Q1 2026, translating to a loss of $0.86 per diluted share, which is an improvement from the $17.3 million loss in Q4 2025, yet indicates ongoing financial strain.
- Adjusted EBITDA Performance: The adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter stood at $30 million, slightly up from $28.5 million in Q4 2025, suggesting progress in cost management, although overall profitability remains under pressure.
- Coal Sales Data: The company sold 3.6 million tons of coal in Q1, generating revenues of $523.5 million, reflecting a stable sales performance despite market fluctuations, underscoring Alpha's significant role in the steel industry.
- Capital Expenditures and Liquidity: Capital expenditures increased to $40.7 million in Q1 from $29 million in the previous quarter, indicating a proactive investment strategy for expansion and maintenance, while maintaining liquidity at $476.2 million ensures operational stability moving forward.
See More
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCES REPORTS Q1 EPS OF USD -0.86
- Alpha Metallocene Resources: The article discusses the performance and market trends of Alpha Metallocene Resources in Q1, highlighting its EPS of USD -0.86.
- Financial Overview: It provides insights into the financial health and operational challenges faced by the company during the quarter.
See More
Analyst Ratings Impact on AMR Stock Performance
- Analyst Rating Summary: The ranking of AMR within the Metals Channel Global Mining Titans Index was assessed and averaged based on major brokerage opinions, indicating varied market interpretations of its future performance; while a low rank may suggest downside risk, it could also present contrarian investors with upside potential.
- Market Performance Comparison: AMR is currently trading up approximately 4.4%, outperforming peers like Southern Copper Corp (SCCO) which is up 1.9% and Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) which is up 0.9%, indicating a relatively strong position in the non-precious and non-metallic mining sector that may attract more investor interest.
- Diverse Investor Interpretations: Although low analyst rankings may raise concerns about AMR's future performance, investors might view this as a potential rebound opportunity, enhancing market diversity and vitality by seeking value investments during downturns.
- Price History Analysis: A three-month price history chart of AMR illustrates its stock price fluctuations, enabling investors to better understand market trends and AMR's relative performance, thereby facilitating more informed investment decisions.
See More
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Q1 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Overview: Alpha Metallurgical reported an adjusted EBITDA of $30 million for Q1 2026, up from $28.5 million in Q4 2025, indicating efforts in cost control, yet still facing high cost pressures that could impact profitability.
- Cost Pressure Analysis: The cost of coal sales reached $108 per ton, influenced by rising diesel and supply costs, with management warning of potential upward adjustments to cost guidance if the Iranian conflict persists, highlighting external risks to financial stability.
- Market Dynamics Shift: Due to supply issues from flooding in Australia, the low-volatility index prices increased, allowing Alpha to achieve a weighted average realization of $128.40 per ton for metallurgical sales, reflecting a recovery in market demand, although challenges remain in the high-volatility coal market structure.
- Future Outlook and Risks: Management anticipates improved coal volumes and sales costs in the latter half of 2026, despite Q1 shipments of 3.6 million tons being lower than Q4's 3.8 million tons, indicating a cautious approach to navigating market fluctuations and cost pressures.
See More
Alpha Metallurgical Q1 Earnings Report Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Alpha Metallurgical reported a Q1 GAAP EPS of -$0.86, aligning with expectations, but revenue of $524.99 million fell short by $14.56 million, indicating competitive pressures in the market.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The adjusted EBITDA for Q1 reached $30 million, up from $28.5 million in Q4 2025, suggesting improvements in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Cash Flow Improvement: Cash provided by operating activities increased to $29 million in Q1, compared to $19 million in Q4 2025, reflecting positive progress in cash management practices.
- Coal Sales Commitment: As of April 29, 2026, Alpha has committed and priced approximately 48% of its metallurgical coal at an average price of $132.37 per ton, demonstrating confidence in future market demand.
See More
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Reports Q1 2026 Financial Results
- Declining Financial Performance: Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a net loss of $11 million for Q1 2026, translating to a loss of $0.86 per share, which, while an improvement from the $17.3 million loss in Q4 2025, still indicates ongoing financial pressures.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $30 million in Q1, up from $28.5 million in Q4 2025, reflecting efforts in cost control, although overall profitability remains constrained.
- Stable Coal Sales Volume: Alpha sold 3.6 million tons of coal in Q1, consistent with Q4 2025, indicating stable market demand, yet facing challenges from rising costs, particularly in diesel and supply prices.
- Increased Capital Expenditures: Capital expenditures rose to $40.7 million in Q1 from $29 million in Q4 2025, demonstrating the company's ongoing investment in expanding and upgrading facilities, which may impact cash flow in the short term.
See More
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Reports Q1 Financial Results
- Net Loss Overview: Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a net loss of $11 million for Q1 2026, translating to a loss of $0.86 per diluted share, which is an improvement from the $17.3 million loss in Q4 2025, yet indicates ongoing financial strain.
- Adjusted EBITDA Performance: The adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter stood at $30 million, slightly up from $28.5 million in Q4 2025, suggesting progress in cost management, although overall profitability remains under pressure.
- Coal Sales Data: The company sold 3.6 million tons of coal in Q1, generating revenues of $523.5 million, reflecting a stable sales performance despite market fluctuations, underscoring Alpha's significant role in the steel industry.
- Capital Expenditures and Liquidity: Capital expenditures increased to $40.7 million in Q1 from $29 million in the previous quarter, indicating a proactive investment strategy for expansion and maintenance, while maintaining liquidity at $476.2 million ensures operational stability moving forward.
See More
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCES REPORTS Q1 EPS OF USD -0.86
- Alpha Metallocene Resources: The article discusses the performance and market trends of Alpha Metallocene Resources in Q1, highlighting its EPS of USD -0.86.
- Financial Overview: It provides insights into the financial health and operational challenges faced by the company during the quarter.
See More
