Weekly U.S. economic data roundup: Year-ahead inflation expectations at 2020 levels
Economic Indicators: Recent economic data indicates a cooling inflation trend, with year-ahead inflation expectations dropping to levels last seen in 2020, while the U.S. economy shows signs of strength despite weakness in manufacturing.
Federal Reserve Outlook: The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting in September is anticipated to result in an interest rate cut, with market expectations leaning towards a 25 basis point reduction, influenced by positive economic indicators and consumer sentiment surveys.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on TQQQ
About the author
FED'S GOOLSBEE: INTEREST RATES COULD DECREASE, BUT INFLATION PROGRESS IS ESSENTIAL
- Federal Reserve's Goals: The Federal Reserve aims to manage interest rates effectively to combat inflation.
- Current Economic Outlook: While rates can still decrease, there is a need for visible progress in reducing inflation.
CITI PREDICTS FIRST RATE CUT OF THE YEAR IN MAY INSTEAD OF MARCH DUE TO JOBS DATA
Economic Forecast: CITI expects to deliver the first rate cut of the year in May, indicating a shift in monetary policy.
Job Market Insights: This forecast follows recent jobs data, suggesting changes in employment trends that may influence economic decisions.
TQQQ and SSO Target Higher Returns, Yet One Stands Out for Investors
Comparison of TQQQ and SSO: TQQQ offers higher leverage (3x) and is heavily concentrated in technology, while SSO provides 2x exposure to the S&P 500 with a more diversified sector allocation, resulting in different risk profiles and volatility levels.
Performance Metrics: TQQQ has shown slightly better one-year returns but has a significantly higher five-year max drawdown compared to SSO, indicating greater downside risk despite similar total returns over the same period.
Investment Suitability: Both ETFs are designed for short-term traders seeking amplified returns, but TQQQ's higher volatility and risk may not justify its performance, making SSO a potentially safer option for investors.
Key Definitions: Important terms such as expense ratio, leverage, drawdown, and beta are defined to help investors understand the risks and characteristics associated with these leveraged ETFs.
Most Active Stocks in Pre-Market on December 19, 2025: FOLD, TQQQ, TSLL, NKE, IBIT, MSTX, NVDA, ORCL, INVH, SMR, VICI, BBAI
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Performance: The NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator is up 80.38 points, reaching 25,099.75, with a total volume of 89,657,766 shares traded.
Active Stocks Overview: Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) leads with a significant increase of 3.26 to $14.15, while Nike, Inc. (NKE) shows a decline of 7.68 to $57.95, representing 68.18% of its target price.
Stock Recommendations: Several stocks, including NVIDIA (NVDA) and Oracle (ORCL), are in the "buy range" according to Zacks, with NVDA's earnings forecast showing positive revisions.
Market Highlights: Other notable stocks include ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) and Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares (TSLL), both showing significant increases from their 52-week lows.
Significant ETF Withdrawals Observed - TQQQ, ADI, HON, CEG
TQQQ Share Price Analysis: TQQQ's 52-week low is $17.50 and high is $60.685, with the last trade at $55.54, indicating a significant range in its trading performance.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Disclaimer on Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
Most Active Stocks in Pre-Market on December 2, 2025: INTC, EB, TSLL, TQQQ, NVDA, IREN, IBIT, SMFG, NIO, T, INVH, PFE
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Performance: The NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator is up 119 points to 25,461.85, with a total pre-market volume of 97,034,402 shares traded.
Active Stocks Overview: Intel Corporation (INTC) and Eventbrite, Inc. (EB) are among the most active stocks, with INTC trading at $40.55 (+0.54) and EB at $4.44 (+1.96), both exceeding their target prices significantly.
Notable Stock Movements: ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) show strong performance, with TQQQ up 212.4% from its 52-week low and NVDA receiving positive earnings forecast revisions.
Mixed Results for Other Stocks: Stocks like IREN Limited (IREN) and NIO Inc. (NIO) are underperforming, trading below their target prices, while AT&T Inc. (T) and Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) remain in the "buy range" according to analysts.
FED'S GOOLSBEE: INTEREST RATES COULD DECREASE, BUT INFLATION PROGRESS IS ESSENTIAL
- Federal Reserve's Goals: The Federal Reserve aims to manage interest rates effectively to combat inflation.
- Current Economic Outlook: While rates can still decrease, there is a need for visible progress in reducing inflation.
CITI PREDICTS FIRST RATE CUT OF THE YEAR IN MAY INSTEAD OF MARCH DUE TO JOBS DATA
Economic Forecast: CITI expects to deliver the first rate cut of the year in May, indicating a shift in monetary policy.
Job Market Insights: This forecast follows recent jobs data, suggesting changes in employment trends that may influence economic decisions.
TQQQ and SSO Target Higher Returns, Yet One Stands Out for Investors
Comparison of TQQQ and SSO: TQQQ offers higher leverage (3x) and is heavily concentrated in technology, while SSO provides 2x exposure to the S&P 500 with a more diversified sector allocation, resulting in different risk profiles and volatility levels.
Performance Metrics: TQQQ has shown slightly better one-year returns but has a significantly higher five-year max drawdown compared to SSO, indicating greater downside risk despite similar total returns over the same period.
Investment Suitability: Both ETFs are designed for short-term traders seeking amplified returns, but TQQQ's higher volatility and risk may not justify its performance, making SSO a potentially safer option for investors.
Key Definitions: Important terms such as expense ratio, leverage, drawdown, and beta are defined to help investors understand the risks and characteristics associated with these leveraged ETFs.
Most Active Stocks in Pre-Market on December 19, 2025: FOLD, TQQQ, TSLL, NKE, IBIT, MSTX, NVDA, ORCL, INVH, SMR, VICI, BBAI
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Performance: The NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator is up 80.38 points, reaching 25,099.75, with a total volume of 89,657,766 shares traded.
Active Stocks Overview: Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) leads with a significant increase of 3.26 to $14.15, while Nike, Inc. (NKE) shows a decline of 7.68 to $57.95, representing 68.18% of its target price.
Stock Recommendations: Several stocks, including NVIDIA (NVDA) and Oracle (ORCL), are in the "buy range" according to Zacks, with NVDA's earnings forecast showing positive revisions.
Market Highlights: Other notable stocks include ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) and Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares (TSLL), both showing significant increases from their 52-week lows.
Significant ETF Withdrawals Observed - TQQQ, ADI, HON, CEG
TQQQ Share Price Analysis: TQQQ's 52-week low is $17.50 and high is $60.685, with the last trade at $55.54, indicating a significant range in its trading performance.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Disclaimer on Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
Most Active Stocks in Pre-Market on December 2, 2025: INTC, EB, TSLL, TQQQ, NVDA, IREN, IBIT, SMFG, NIO, T, INVH, PFE
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Performance: The NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator is up 119 points to 25,461.85, with a total pre-market volume of 97,034,402 shares traded.
Active Stocks Overview: Intel Corporation (INTC) and Eventbrite, Inc. (EB) are among the most active stocks, with INTC trading at $40.55 (+0.54) and EB at $4.44 (+1.96), both exceeding their target prices significantly.
Notable Stock Movements: ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) show strong performance, with TQQQ up 212.4% from its 52-week low and NVDA receiving positive earnings forecast revisions.
Mixed Results for Other Stocks: Stocks like IREN Limited (IREN) and NIO Inc. (NIO) are underperforming, trading below their target prices, while AT&T Inc. (T) and Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) remain in the "buy range" according to analysts.
