UK Gilt Yields Surge to Highest Level Since 2008
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Surge in Gilt Yields: Following the U.S. and Israel's attacks on Iran, the yield on the UK 10-year gilt skyrocketed from 4.3% to 5.115% in just days, reflecting heightened market concerns regarding the UK economy's outlook as it added over 80 basis points.
- Increased Fiscal Pressure: The independent Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts that the UK will spend £109.7 billion ($147 billion) servicing its debt in 2025-26, and the current rise in yields complicates the government's ability to meet fiscal targets, especially if the conflict persists.
- Comparison with Peers: In the same timeframe, yields on 10-year German bunds, U.S. Treasuries, and French OATs rose by only 42, 48, and 64 basis points respectively, indicating that UK gilts carry a significantly higher risk premium compared to other G7 nations, with only Australia having a higher yield on its 10-year debt.
- Political Uncertainty Impact: Growing market unease regarding UK politics, particularly concerns over the upcoming local elections potentially challenging Prime Minister Keir Starmer's leadership, has further exacerbated investors' demand for a premium to hold UK gilts.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy PWP?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on PWP
Wall Street analysts forecast PWP stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 17.230
Low
20.00
Averages
20.00
High
20.00
Current: 17.230
Low
20.00
Averages
20.00
High
20.00
About PWP
Perella Weinberg Partners is an independent advisory company that provides strategic and financial advice to clients across active industry sectors and international markets. Its single business segment is to provide advisory services, including advice related to strategic and financial decisions, mergers and acquisitions execution, shareholder engagement advisory, financing and capital solutions advice, with a focus on restructuring and liability management, capital markets advisory, and private capital placement, as well as specialized underwriting and research services for the energy and related industries. Its range of global clients includes large public multinational corporations, mid-sized public and private companies, financial sponsors, individual entrepreneurs, private and institutional investors, creditor committees and government institutions. Its areas of industry focus include consumer and retail, energy & energy transition, financial services & fintech, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
UK Gilt Yields Surge to Highest Level Since 2008
- Surge in Gilt Yields: Following the U.S. and Israel's attacks on Iran, the yield on the UK 10-year gilt skyrocketed from 4.3% to 5.115% in just days, reflecting heightened market concerns regarding the UK economy's outlook as it added over 80 basis points.
- Increased Fiscal Pressure: The independent Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts that the UK will spend £109.7 billion ($147 billion) servicing its debt in 2025-26, and the current rise in yields complicates the government's ability to meet fiscal targets, especially if the conflict persists.
- Comparison with Peers: In the same timeframe, yields on 10-year German bunds, U.S. Treasuries, and French OATs rose by only 42, 48, and 64 basis points respectively, indicating that UK gilts carry a significantly higher risk premium compared to other G7 nations, with only Australia having a higher yield on its 10-year debt.
- Political Uncertainty Impact: Growing market unease regarding UK politics, particularly concerns over the upcoming local elections potentially challenging Prime Minister Keir Starmer's leadership, has further exacerbated investors' demand for a premium to hold UK gilts.
See More
Rolls-Royce CEO Aims to Become Largest Company on London Stock Exchange
- Market Value Ambition: Rolls-Royce CEO Tufan Erginbilgiç aims to increase the company's market value by approximately £124 billion ($167.34 billion) to surpass AstraZeneca, targeting a growth of around 110%.
- Guidance Upgrade: The company raised its full-year underlying operating profit forecast for 2025 to between £3.1 billion and £3.2 billion, up from the previous range of £2.7 billion to £2.9 billion, indicating robust growth across civil aerospace, defense, and power systems.
- Strong Defense Demand: With governments increasing spending in response to security threats, Rolls-Royce's defense business is thriving, and the recent news of the UK government potentially hitting its 3% GDP defense spending target earlier has contributed to the stock reaching an all-time high.
- Nuclear Business Prospects: Rolls-Royce's investment in small modular reactors (SMRs) is expected to become profitable by 2030, showcasing the company's unique capabilities and growth potential in the nuclear energy market, which has garnered government interest and support.
See More
Compass to Change Share Trading Currency to USD
- Currency Change Announcement: Compass has announced that starting April 1, 2024, it will change its share trading currency from GBP to USD, aiming to reduce foreign exchange volatility and simplify the investment case for global investors, which is expected to enhance its appeal in international markets.
- Revenue Source Insight: With approximately 75% of Compass's revenue denominated in dollars, this currency shift will align its financial reporting with market performance, thereby boosting investor confidence and potentially attracting more international investments.
- Market Reaction: Despite Compass's commitment to continue paying dividends in GBP, concerns about its potential migration to the New York Stock Exchange have intensified, reflecting a decline in investor confidence in the UK market, which could impact its stock price performance.
- Industry Trend: This decision by Compass mirrors actions taken by other large multinationals like InterContinental Hotels Group, indicating a growing trend among UK companies to adopt USD as their trading currency to better align with global competitors.
See More
Perella Weinberg Partners Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings
- Significant Revenue Growth: Perella Weinberg Partners reported full-year revenues of $751 million and fourth-quarter revenues of $219 million, marking the third-highest revenue year in the firm's 20-year history, demonstrating strong business resilience amid market fluctuations.
- Innovative Talent Investment: The firm added 23 senior bankers in 2025 and two more partners in early 2026, indicating a proactive strategy in recruiting and promoting talent aimed at enhancing service quality and market competitiveness.
- Robust Shareholder Returns: In 2025, the company returned over $163 million to equity holders through dividends, RSU settlements, and share repurchases, retiring 6.5 million shares, reflecting strong capital management practices.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management expressed confidence in 2026, anticipating continued benefits from strong client demand and record-high business pipelines, particularly in large-scale M&A transactions, indicating significant growth potential ahead.
See More
Perella Weinberg Partners Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Perella Weinberg Partners has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.07 per share, consistent with previous distributions, demonstrating the company's ongoing ability to maintain stable cash flow, which is likely to attract income-seeking investors.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.3% reflects the company's appeal in the current market environment, potentially increasing investor interest in its stock, especially in a low-interest-rate context.
- Consistent Dividend Record: The company has now announced a $0.07 dividend for nineteen consecutive quarters, indicating consistency and stability in its dividend policy, which enhances investor confidence in its financial health.
- Shareholder Record Dates: The dividend will be payable on March 9, with a record date of February 17 and an ex-dividend date also on February 17, ensuring shareholders receive their dividends promptly, further solidifying the relationship between the company and its investors.
See More
Perella Weinberg Partners Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Perella Weinberg Partners reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.17, exceeding expectations by $0.07, indicating the company's ability to maintain profitability in a competitive market.
- Revenue Performance: The company's Q4 revenue reached $219 million, a 3.1% year-over-year decline, yet it surpassed analyst expectations by $47.36 million, demonstrating relative revenue stability amid challenging market conditions.
- Dividend Declaration: The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.07 per share, payable on March 9, 2026, to Class A common stockholders of record on February 17, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder returns.
- Market Environment Challenges: Despite facing year-over-year challenges, the company did not experience significant sequential declines, showcasing its resilience and adaptability in the current economic landscape.
See More
UK Gilt Yields Surge to Highest Level Since 2008
- Surge in Gilt Yields: Following the U.S. and Israel's attacks on Iran, the yield on the UK 10-year gilt skyrocketed from 4.3% to 5.115% in just days, reflecting heightened market concerns regarding the UK economy's outlook as it added over 80 basis points.
- Increased Fiscal Pressure: The independent Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts that the UK will spend £109.7 billion ($147 billion) servicing its debt in 2025-26, and the current rise in yields complicates the government's ability to meet fiscal targets, especially if the conflict persists.
- Comparison with Peers: In the same timeframe, yields on 10-year German bunds, U.S. Treasuries, and French OATs rose by only 42, 48, and 64 basis points respectively, indicating that UK gilts carry a significantly higher risk premium compared to other G7 nations, with only Australia having a higher yield on its 10-year debt.
- Political Uncertainty Impact: Growing market unease regarding UK politics, particularly concerns over the upcoming local elections potentially challenging Prime Minister Keir Starmer's leadership, has further exacerbated investors' demand for a premium to hold UK gilts.
See More
Rolls-Royce CEO Aims to Become Largest Company on London Stock Exchange
- Market Value Ambition: Rolls-Royce CEO Tufan Erginbilgiç aims to increase the company's market value by approximately £124 billion ($167.34 billion) to surpass AstraZeneca, targeting a growth of around 110%.
- Guidance Upgrade: The company raised its full-year underlying operating profit forecast for 2025 to between £3.1 billion and £3.2 billion, up from the previous range of £2.7 billion to £2.9 billion, indicating robust growth across civil aerospace, defense, and power systems.
- Strong Defense Demand: With governments increasing spending in response to security threats, Rolls-Royce's defense business is thriving, and the recent news of the UK government potentially hitting its 3% GDP defense spending target earlier has contributed to the stock reaching an all-time high.
- Nuclear Business Prospects: Rolls-Royce's investment in small modular reactors (SMRs) is expected to become profitable by 2030, showcasing the company's unique capabilities and growth potential in the nuclear energy market, which has garnered government interest and support.
See More
Compass to Change Share Trading Currency to USD
- Currency Change Announcement: Compass has announced that starting April 1, 2024, it will change its share trading currency from GBP to USD, aiming to reduce foreign exchange volatility and simplify the investment case for global investors, which is expected to enhance its appeal in international markets.
- Revenue Source Insight: With approximately 75% of Compass's revenue denominated in dollars, this currency shift will align its financial reporting with market performance, thereby boosting investor confidence and potentially attracting more international investments.
- Market Reaction: Despite Compass's commitment to continue paying dividends in GBP, concerns about its potential migration to the New York Stock Exchange have intensified, reflecting a decline in investor confidence in the UK market, which could impact its stock price performance.
- Industry Trend: This decision by Compass mirrors actions taken by other large multinationals like InterContinental Hotels Group, indicating a growing trend among UK companies to adopt USD as their trading currency to better align with global competitors.
See More
Perella Weinberg Partners Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings
- Significant Revenue Growth: Perella Weinberg Partners reported full-year revenues of $751 million and fourth-quarter revenues of $219 million, marking the third-highest revenue year in the firm's 20-year history, demonstrating strong business resilience amid market fluctuations.
- Innovative Talent Investment: The firm added 23 senior bankers in 2025 and two more partners in early 2026, indicating a proactive strategy in recruiting and promoting talent aimed at enhancing service quality and market competitiveness.
- Robust Shareholder Returns: In 2025, the company returned over $163 million to equity holders through dividends, RSU settlements, and share repurchases, retiring 6.5 million shares, reflecting strong capital management practices.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management expressed confidence in 2026, anticipating continued benefits from strong client demand and record-high business pipelines, particularly in large-scale M&A transactions, indicating significant growth potential ahead.
See More
Perella Weinberg Partners Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Perella Weinberg Partners has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.07 per share, consistent with previous distributions, demonstrating the company's ongoing ability to maintain stable cash flow, which is likely to attract income-seeking investors.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.3% reflects the company's appeal in the current market environment, potentially increasing investor interest in its stock, especially in a low-interest-rate context.
- Consistent Dividend Record: The company has now announced a $0.07 dividend for nineteen consecutive quarters, indicating consistency and stability in its dividend policy, which enhances investor confidence in its financial health.
- Shareholder Record Dates: The dividend will be payable on March 9, with a record date of February 17 and an ex-dividend date also on February 17, ensuring shareholders receive their dividends promptly, further solidifying the relationship between the company and its investors.
See More
Perella Weinberg Partners Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Perella Weinberg Partners reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.17, exceeding expectations by $0.07, indicating the company's ability to maintain profitability in a competitive market.
- Revenue Performance: The company's Q4 revenue reached $219 million, a 3.1% year-over-year decline, yet it surpassed analyst expectations by $47.36 million, demonstrating relative revenue stability amid challenging market conditions.
- Dividend Declaration: The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.07 per share, payable on March 9, 2026, to Class A common stockholders of record on February 17, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder returns.
- Market Environment Challenges: Despite facing year-over-year challenges, the company did not experience significant sequential declines, showcasing its resilience and adaptability in the current economic landscape.
See More
