UBS Reports SANDS CHINA LTD's 4Q25 EBITDA Falls Short; Maintains Neutral Rating
Macau EBITDA Performance: Las Vegas Sands reported a Macau adjusted property EBITDA of USD608 million for 4Q25, a 6% year-over-year increase, although it fell short of the consensus estimate of USD628 million when adjusted for VIP hold.
Management's Outlook: The company's management reaffirmed its target for annual property EBITDA in Macau at USD2.7 billion, citing improved asset utilization and effective marketing strategies as key drivers for gaming revenue growth.
Market Reaction: CLSA reported that Sands China Ltd's 4Q25 EBITDA missed expectations, leading to a decrease in stock value by 7.909%, with a neutral rating and a target price set at HKD22.4.
Short Selling Activity: There was significant short selling activity on Sands China Ltd, amounting to $123.30 million, with a short selling ratio of 16.754%.
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Hong Kong Stock Performance: On February 16, Hong Kong stocks saw a positive half-day session, with the HSI closing up 138 points (0.5%) at 26,705, marking a strong overall performance in the Year of the Snake with a 32% gain.
HSI Quarterly Review Changes: The quarterly review of the HSI included the addition of CATL, CMOC, and LAOPU GOLD, which saw significant gains, while ZHONGSHENG HLDG was removed from the index.
Individual Stock Movements: Notable stock movements included SANDS CHINA LTD rising 2.7% despite a slight decline in property EBITDA, while ANTA SPORTS experienced a minor drop after shareholder approval for a significant acquisition.
US Department of War Update: The US Department of War's withdrawal of the "List of Chinese Military Companies" impacted stock prices, with BABA-W declining 0.5% and BIDU-SW increasing by 1.3%.

Dividend Announcement: SANDS CHINA LTD declared a final dividend per share (DPS) of $0.5 for FY2025, consistent with expectations, following an interim DPS of $0.25.
Future Dividend Outlook: The final dividend suggests a potential FY2026 DPS of at least $1, contingent on improved operating cash flow, which could lead to increased dividends.
Implied Dividend Yield: UBS estimates the implied dividend yield for FY2026 at approximately 5.4%, which is considered attractive and may support the stock price.
Market Reaction: The stock price is anticipated to respond positively to the dividend announcement and the outlook provided by UBS.

US Inflation and Stock Market Update: US inflation was below expectations while core inflation met them; the DJIA rose by 0.1% last Friday.
Hong Kong Stock Market Performance: The Hong Kong bourse opened lower, with the HSI down 0.2% and other indices also showing declines.
HSI Quarterly Review Changes: CATL, CMOC, and LAOPU GOLD were added to the HSI, while ZHONGSHENG HLDG was removed; CATL and CMOC saw slight increases in their stock prices.
Notable Stock Movements: Stocks like BABA-W and BIDU-SW dropped significantly after being listed as Chinese military companies, while ANTA SPORTS received approval for a stake acquisition in PUMA.
Leadership Change: Robert Glen Goldstein has stepped down as Chairman and Non-Executive Director of SANDS CHINA LTD effective March 1.
New Appointment: Patrick Sydney Dumont has been appointed as the new Chairman of the Board and Chairman of the Nomination Committee, also effective March 1.
Stock Performance: The stock of SANDS CHINA LTD (01928.HK) saw a slight increase of 1.081%, with a short selling amount of $81.80 million.
Market Data: The HK stocks quote is delayed by at least 15 minutes, with short selling data reported as of February 13, 2026.

Collaboration Announcement: SANDS CHINA LTD is enhancing its partnership with Alipay and Macau Pass to launch a special Lunar New Year campaign for the Year of the Horse.
Interactive Technology Integration: The campaign utilizes Alipay's "Alipay Tap!" technology to create engaging check-in interactions, aiming to attract more visitors to Macau and provide a seamless smart spending experience.
Coverage of Integrated Resorts: The "Alipay Tap!" spending model is fully implemented across SANDS CHINA LTD's integrated resorts, which include various sectors such as retail, dining, beauty, fashion, and souvenirs.
Market Activity: As of the latest data, SANDS CHINA LTD's stock is experiencing short selling activity amounting to $33.34 million, with a short selling ratio of 27.915%.

4Q25 Performance: Sands China Ltd reported weaker-than-expected results for 4Q25, with a margin decline attributed to business mix, poor mass-hold, and rising operational expenses, leading JPMorgan to adjust its EBITDA forecast down by about 3%.
Stock Price Reaction: Despite Sands' stock price dropping 10% over the past month, JPMorgan views this reaction as excessive, citing seasonal factors and non-recurring issues as the main reasons for the weak performance.
Future Outlook: Haitong International maintains an "Outperform" rating on Sands China, expecting market share growth and a doubling of the annual dividend per share (DPS) to HKD1, which would yield 5.4% at current prices.
Analyst Ratings: JPMorgan has rated Sands China Ltd as "Overweight," lowering the target price from HKD23 to HKD22, while projecting progressive dividend growth to over HKD1.5 by 2028.





