Stocks Rise in Anticipation of Fed Chair Powell's Remarks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 22 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Market Performance: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq indexes are experiencing gains after five days of declines, influenced by short covering ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium.
Federal Reserve Outlook: Market expectations for a rate cut have decreased significantly due to hawkish comments from various Fed officials, with current chances for a -25 bp cut at the September FOMC meeting now at 71%.
Geopolitical Developments: US Vice President Vance is negotiating security guarantees for Ukraine in talks aimed at ending the Russia-Ukraine war, while President Trump has expanded tariffs on steel and aluminum products.
Earnings Reports: S&P 500 earnings for Q2 are projected to rise by 9.1% year-over-year, surpassing initial expectations, with many companies exceeding profit estimates, while notable stock movements include gains for chipmakers and Ubiquiti, and losses for Intuit and Workday.
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Analyst Views on TXN
Wall Street analysts forecast TXN stock price to fall
20 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
5 Hold
5 Sell
Hold
Current: 223.000
Low
125.00
Averages
193.53
High
245.00
Current: 223.000
Low
125.00
Averages
193.53
High
245.00
About TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated is a global semiconductor company that designs, manufactures, tests, and sells analog and embedded processing chips for markets, such as industrial, automotive, personal electronics, communications equipment, and enterprise systems. Its Analog segment includes product lines, such as Power and Signal Chain. Power includes products that help customers manage power in electronic systems. Its portfolio is designed to manage power requirements across different voltage levels, including battery-management solutions, DC/DC switching regulators, AC/DC and isolated DC/DC switching regulators, power switches, linear and low-dropout regulators, voltage references, and others. Signal Chain includes products that sense, condition, and measure real-world signals to allow information to be transferred or converted for further processing and control. The Embedded Processing segment includes microcontrollers, digital signal processors (DSPs) and applications processors.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Small Investment Strategy: By starting with a small position of just 1%, investors can gradually build their understanding of a company, reducing risk while increasing the likelihood of long-term success.
- Market Reaction and Opportunity: When stock prices decline and become attractive, those holding starter positions are more likely to buy against the trend rather than retreating out of fear.
- Contrarian Investment Mindset: Small positions can help investors develop a contrarian mindset, enabling them to seize opportunities to acquire quality companies at lower prices when most investors are selling.
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- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: Following the robust employment report, the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut next month dropped from 23% to 6%, with the 10-year T-note yield rising by 3 basis points to 4.17%, reflecting a cautious outlook on future monetary policy.
- Mixed Market Performance: The S&P 500 closed unchanged, the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.29%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.13%, highlighting a contrast between strong tech stock performance and weakness in software stocks.
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- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: Following the stronger-than-expected jobs report, the 10-year T-note yield increased by 3 basis points to 4.17%, with market expectations for a Fed rate cut next month dropping from 23% to 8%, reflecting investor caution regarding future monetary policy.
- Corporate Earnings Performance: So far, 78% of the 319 S&P 500 companies have reported earnings that beat expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience that may support the stock market.
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- Rising Bond Yields: Following the robust payroll report, the 10-year Treasury yield rose by 4 basis points to 4.18%, with market expectations for a Fed rate cut next month dropping from 23% to 6%, reflecting investor caution regarding future monetary policy.
- Mixed Corporate Earnings: Vertiv Holdings saw its stock rise over 23% after forecasting full-year net sales of $13.25 billion to $13.75 billion, significantly above consensus, while Mattel's stock fell over 27% due to weaker-than-expected 2026 adjusted EPS forecasts, highlighting market reactions to varying corporate performances.
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Emotional Investing Strategy: Start Small
- Emotional Impact on Investing: Investors often buy overpriced stocks due to fear of missing out or sell during downturns due to loss aversion, highlighting the importance of emotional management for successful investing.
- Small Investment Strategy: By starting with a small position of just 1%, investors can gradually build their understanding of a company, reducing risk while increasing the likelihood of long-term success.
- Market Reaction and Opportunity: When stock prices decline and become attractive, those holding starter positions are more likely to buy against the trend rather than retreating out of fear.
- Contrarian Investment Mindset: Small positions can help investors develop a contrarian mindset, enabling them to seize opportunities to acquire quality companies at lower prices when most investors are selling.
See More
US Stock Market Close and Employment Data Analysis
- Strong Employment Data: US nonfarm payrolls for January increased by 130,000, surpassing expectations of 65,000, indicating labor market stability, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, which is likely to have a positive impact on economic recovery.
- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: Following the robust employment report, the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut next month dropped from 23% to 6%, with the 10-year T-note yield rising by 3 basis points to 4.17%, reflecting a cautious outlook on future monetary policy.
- Mixed Market Performance: The S&P 500 closed unchanged, the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.29%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.13%, highlighting a contrast between strong tech stock performance and weakness in software stocks.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Over 78% of the 335 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, indicating that sustained corporate profitability will support long-term stock market gains.
See More
US Stocks Mixed as Software Sector Declines
- Strong Employment Data: US nonfarm payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, exceeding expectations of 65,000, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, indicating labor market stability that could influence Fed policy decisions.
- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: Following the stronger-than-expected jobs report, the 10-year T-note yield increased by 3 basis points to 4.17%, with market expectations for a Fed rate cut next month dropping from 23% to 8%, reflecting investor caution regarding future monetary policy.
- Corporate Earnings Performance: So far, 78% of the 319 S&P 500 companies have reported earnings that beat expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience that may support the stock market.
- Market Volatility Overview: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.19%, the S&P 500 dipped 0.02%, while the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.10%, indicating a mixed market performance amid declines in software stocks.
See More
US Stock Market Volatility Driven by Nonfarm Payroll Data
- Strong Nonfarm Payroll Data: The US added 130,000 jobs in January, exceeding expectations of 65,000, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, indicating a stable labor market that could influence Fed rate decisions.
- Rising Bond Yields: Following the robust payroll report, the 10-year Treasury yield rose by 4 basis points to 4.18%, with market expectations for a Fed rate cut next month dropping from 23% to 6%, reflecting investor caution regarding future monetary policy.
- Mixed Corporate Earnings: Vertiv Holdings saw its stock rise over 23% after forecasting full-year net sales of $13.25 billion to $13.75 billion, significantly above consensus, while Mattel's stock fell over 27% due to weaker-than-expected 2026 adjusted EPS forecasts, highlighting market reactions to varying corporate performances.
- Market Focus on Economic Data: This week, the market will focus on corporate earnings and economic indicators, with initial jobless claims expected to drop by 7,000 to 224,000, and January CPI projected to rise by 2.5% year-over-year, which will further influence investor decisions.
See More
Investment Opportunities in AI ETFs
- AI Sector Growth Potential: Artificial intelligence is recognized as the fastest-growing trend today, particularly with Nvidia's GPUs being regarded as the 'gold standard' for training AI models, solidifying its market position and attracting significant investor interest.
- Surge in Memory Chip Demand: Micron Technologies has seen its stock soar amid the AI revolution's insatiable demand for memory chips, creating a supply crunch that underscores the company's critical role and potential profitability within the AI ecosystem.
- ETF Investment Advantages: Investors may prefer ETFs over individual stocks, as evidenced by the VanEck Semiconductor ETF's impressive 62.6% return over the past year, nearly quadrupling the S&P 500's performance, highlighting its strong position in AI infrastructure development.
- Long-Term Growth Outlook: With major tech companies planning to further increase AI spending in 2026, investment opportunities in the semiconductor sector are expected to continue growing, indicating that investing in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF is an effective strategy to capitalize on the AI revolution.
See More
Texas Instruments (TXN.US) Officer Plans to Sell $14.24 Million in Common Stock via Form 144
- Stock Sale Announcement: Officer Rafael Lizardi intends to sell 64,532 shares of its common stock on February 10.
- Market Value: The total market value of the shares to be sold is approximately $14.24 million.
See More
