Rocket Lab Achieves Milestone In Hypersonic Testing for DoD's MACH-TB Project
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 10 2024
0mins
Source: Benzinga
Rocket Lab's Hypersonic Launch: Rocket Lab USA, Inc. successfully completed a suborbital launch in November to test hypersonic technology for the U.S. Department of Defense, highlighting their capabilities in advanced defense and aerospace technologies.
Upcoming Mission Announcement: The company announced its next mission, "Owl The Way Up," scheduled for December 18th, 2024, from Launch Complex 1 in Mahia, New Zealand, while RKLB shares experienced a slight decline in premarket trading.
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Analyst Views on RKLB
Wall Street analysts forecast RKLB stock price to fall
11 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 107.240
Low
63.00
Averages
86.89
High
120.00
Current: 107.240
Low
63.00
Averages
86.89
High
120.00
About RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation is an end-to-end space company. The Company designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets, spacecraft and spacecraft components, and related software and services to support the space economy. The Company delivers reliable launch services, satellite manufacture, spacecraft design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions that make it easier to access space. Its Launch Services segment provides launch and launch-related services to customers on a dedicated mission or ride-share basis. Its Space Systems segment comprises the design and manufacture of spacecraft components and spacecraft program management services, space data applications, and mission operations. Its space systems solutions are the building blocks for spacecraft, which include composite structures, reaction wheels, star trackers, solar solutions, radios, separation systems, and command and control spacecraft software.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Rapid Revenue Growth: Rocket Lab's revenue has approached $680 million over the past 12 months, and despite a 6.6% drop in stock price following SpaceX's IPO, the company continues to demonstrate significant market potential through its growth trajectory.
- Strategic Importance of Neutron: The Neutron rocket is expected to launch by year-end, capable of carrying heavier payloads at a lower cost than SpaceX's Falcon 9, which could unlock new contract opportunities and enhance Rocket Lab's competitive positioning in the market.
- Valuation Challenges: With a price-to-sales ratio of 100, Rocket Lab is not cheap, although it is slightly more favorable compared to SpaceX's 130 times sales; this reflects the high-risk nature of the investment, necessitating careful consideration by investors.
- Competitive Market Pressure: While Rocket Lab shows strong revenue growth, it faces immense competitive pressure from SpaceX's dominant market position, and future success will heavily depend on the successful launch and market acceptance of the Neutron rocket.
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- Loan for Expansion: Firefly Aerospace is expected to secure a $110 million loan from the U.S. Export-Import Bank, which will fund the expansion of its spacecraft production facilities in Texas, significantly enhancing the company's production capacity and market competitiveness.
- Job Creation: This expansion is projected to create approximately 200 jobs, further driving local economic development while strengthening Firefly's position in the rapidly growing space market.
- International Competition Context: As China's space industry rapidly grows, Firefly's expansion will help U.S. companies compete against foreign rivals, particularly in the fields of artificial intelligence and space technology.
- EXIM Program Support: The loan is part of the U.S. Export-Import Bank's
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- Stock Price Decline: SpaceX's shares fell significantly post-IPO, closing down 16% at $154.6 on Monday, marking a 24% drop over three days, indicating market concerns regarding its valuation.
- ARK Investment Increase: Despite the stock's decline, Cathie Wood's ARK Invest purchased a total of 210,121 shares of SpaceX across four ETFs on Monday, reflecting ongoing confidence in the company, with total purchases valued at $32.5 million.
- Valuation Concerns: Analysts Mohamed El-Erian and Gary Black raised alarms about SpaceX's valuation, citing a 175x EV/EBITDA multiple and 62x EV/revenue multiple as difficult to justify, suggesting potential future pressures on the stock.
- AI Partnership Agreement: SpaceX signed a $6.3 billion compute deal with Reflection AI, which is expected to provide a new revenue stream, although the company reported a $4.9 billion net loss in 2025, highlighting the complexities of its financial situation.
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- Launch Speed Innovation: Rocket Lab successfully launched the Victus Haze mission in just 16 hours and 42 minutes after receiving the official Notice to Launch, breaking a U.S. Space Force record, which highlights its significant improvement in rapid response capability, although shares fell 3% post-announcement.
- Mission Preparation Efficiency: The company's team completed trajectory calculations, flight software updates, and ground station coordination in just four hours before launch, demonstrating high execution efficiency in complex missions and further solidifying its market position in rapid-response space operations.
- Pioneer Spacecraft Performance: The Pioneer spacecraft was fully prepared in 37 hours and 36 minutes, exceeding the strict 72-hour deadline, indicating Rocket Lab's technological advantage in rapid spacecraft deployment and enhancing its strategic importance in national defense.
- Market Sentiment Decline: Despite Rocket Lab's stock surging 234% over the past year, RKLB shares dropped over 6% on Monday due to broader negative sentiment in the space sector, reflecting investor pessimism towards space stocks overall.
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- IPO Popularity: SpaceX's IPO has emerged as one of the hottest events on the financial calendar this year, with an initial price of $135, and many retail investors unable to secure their desired shares, highlighting strong market interest and demand for space exploration.
- ETF Investment Opportunities: Investors can gain indirect exposure to SpaceX by purchasing ETFs that include the company, such as the ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX), which allocates 9.4% to SpaceX; despite a 0.75% expense ratio, it has generated over 65% returns in the past year, indicating significant investment potential.
- Supplier Investment Potential: Major suppliers to SpaceX, like Redwire and Filtronic, are likely to benefit from the company's substantial funding and increased demand, with Redwire focusing on space infrastructure construction, which is expected to drive its stock price higher.
- Long-Term Investment Perspective: Investors should consider their long-term allocation to SpaceX within their portfolios, as companies like Alphabet hold a 6% stake in SpaceX, reflecting confidence from large tech firms in its future growth, and it is advisable to monitor its performance over the next 5 to 25 years.
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- Surge in Supplier Demand: SpaceX's upcoming spending spree is expected to benefit its main suppliers like Redwire, which focuses on building space infrastructure, particularly solar panels, potentially leading to a surge in demand and driving business growth.
- Portfolio Allocation Advice: Investors should consider the long-term potential of SpaceX when allocating their portfolios, especially as its stock is likely to attract more attention once it enters broader indexes like the Nasdaq-100.
- ETF Investment Opportunities: The ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF holds 9.4% of SpaceX, and despite a 0.75% expense ratio, it has generated over 65% returns in the past year, highlighting its investment value in innovation and new technologies.
- Market Volatility Analysis: The post-IPO period for SpaceX is expected to be more volatile than that of other newly listed companies due to untapped space potential and technological uncertainties, necessitating careful risk-reward assessments by investors.
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