<Research>Jefferies Identifies Favorable Factors for BYD COMPANY (01211.HK), Increases Price Target to $105
Jefferies' Analysis: Jefferies believes that most negative factors affecting BYD COMPANY's share price have already been priced in, leading to an upgrade of its A-/H-shares to Hold.
Target Price Adjustments: The broker raised the target price for BYD's A-shares from RMB92 to RMB88 and for H-shares to $105, based on a projected 2026 PE ratio of 20x.
Upcoming Catalysts: Positive catalysts are anticipated, including a Tech Day event and the launch of new models and technologies, which could help BYD regain market share in China.
Sales Forecast: BYD is expected to achieve overseas sales of 1.5 million units this year, a 43% increase year-over-year, which may counterbalance weak domestic performance due to reduced subsidies and competition.
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Short Selling Turnover: The short selling turnover in the Hong Kong market reached $38.4 billion at midday, accounting for 22.8% of the eligible securities turnover, an increase from 19.3% on the previous trading day.
Top Short Selling Shares: The top five shares with the highest short selling amounts include TRACKER FUND (02800.HK) with $8.62 billion, CSOP HS TECH (03033.HK) with $2.97 billion, and XIAOMI-W (01810.HK) with $1.59 billion.
Short Selling Ratios: TRACKER FUND has the highest short selling ratio at 49.3%, followed by CSOP HS TECH at 39.3% and XIAOMI-W at 36.9%.
Other Notable Stocks: HSCEI ETF (02828.HK) and BYD COMPANY (01211.HK) also featured in the top five, with short selling amounts of $1.32 billion and ratios of 20.3% and 28.3%, respectively.

Market Overview: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell 3.5% to 24,400, with significant declines in the HSCEI and HSTECH, reflecting a total market turnover of HKD192.375 billion.
Tech Sector Performance: Major tech stocks like TENCENT, BABA-W, and MEITUAN-W experienced declines of 1.9% to 3.7%, with high short selling ratios indicating bearish sentiment.
Gold and Silver Stocks: Gold and silver stocks faced substantial losses, with companies like CHINAGOLDINTL and ZHAOJIN MINING dropping 4.5% to 6.2%, while ZIJIN MINING reported a profit increase but still saw a 5.4% decline.
Auto Sector Trends: BYD COMPANY and XPENG-W showed slight gains, while other auto stocks like XIAOMI-W and NIO-SW fell between 3.9% and 5.1%, indicating mixed performance in the sector.

Export Orders: BYD's factory in Brazil has received export orders for 100,000 vehicles, split equally between Argentina and Mexico, with each country ordering 50,000 vehicles.
Production Capacity: The Camacari plant in Brazil currently has an annual output of 150,000 vehicles, with plans to increase production to 600,000 vehicles in phases, including the manufacturing of PHEVs and BEVs.

Market Volatility: The market has seen significant fluctuations due to the ongoing Mideast war and changing policies from leaders, prompting caution among investors.
Investment Advice: Daiwa recommends avoiding stocks impacted by Mideast tensions, such as shippers and airlines, and suggests focusing on undervalued stocks instead.
Stock Recommendations: The report highlights specific stocks to consider, including BYD COMPANY, WEICHAI POWER, MINTH GROUP, JD LOGISTICS, and ZOOMLION.
Short Selling Data: The article provides short selling statistics for various stocks, indicating the level of market activity and investor sentiment towards these companies.

Expansion Plans: BYD is considering building a factory in Canada and is open to acquiring established global automobile manufacturers, although joint ventures are not an option.
Sales Performance: The company's sales dropped by 36% in the first two months of the year, totaling around 400,000 units, but recent product launches are expected to attract new customers and help reverse this decline.

Profitability Outlook: BMW expects its profitability to remain flat this year due to tariff costs and increased competition in China, with automotive manufacturing margins projected between 4% and 6%.
Electric Vehicle Investment: The company has invested approximately EUR10 billion in developing its new electric vehicle series, "Neue Klasse," and plans to release a sedan from this series next week.
Market Competition: BMW aims to compete with brands like BYD, Tesla, and Xiaomi in the electric vehicle market as it launches its new model.
Sales Stability in China: Despite the challenges, BMW anticipates that sales in the Chinese market will remain stable overall.




